Now we are half way through August it is perhaps time to think about what
the CET maybe for this month.
Although I have not kept written records. From what I have seen so far,
at a reasonable guess I would say my mean is in excess of 21C. There have
been no single figure minimums. I have had 7 days with maximums in excess of
30. 4 of those have been in excess of 32C with a 34 and a 38. Those days
with maximums over 30 were followed by minimums of between 16 and 18 so it
stands to reason what the mean is for those.
August 1st so far is the only cool day I have had.
From looking at forecasts for the next week or so it seems that the
intense heat will not be repeated. This will not be an August like 1995.
Anyway it is still too early to say. I wonder what others think.

--
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"Gavin Staples" wrote in message
...
Now we are half way through August it is perhaps time to think about
what
the CET maybe for this month.
Although I have not kept written records. From what I have seen so
far,
at a reasonable guess I would say my mean is in excess of 21C. There
have
been no single figure minimums. I have had 7 days with maximums in
excess of
30. 4 of those have been in excess of 32C with a 34 and a 38. Those
days
with maximums over 30 were followed by minimums of between 16 and 18
so it
stands to reason what the mean is for those.
August 1st so far is the only cool day I have had.
From looking at forecasts for the next week or so it seems that
the
intense heat will not be repeated. This will not be an August like
1995.
Anyway it is still too early to say. I wonder what others think.

--
My mean monthly temperature is currently 22°C up to 0900 hrs on the 14th
so the actual will be slightly higher. It will drop given that it less
hot but it is likely that this August will be exceptionally warm given
the forecasts.

Alan

In message
"Gavin Staples" wrote:

Now we are half way through August it is perhaps time to think about what
the CET maybe for this month.
Although I have not kept written records. From what I have seen so far,
at a reasonable guess I would say my mean is in excess of 21C. There have
been no single figure minimums. I have had 7 days with maximums in excess of
30. 4 of those have been in excess of 32C with a 34 and a 38. Those days
with maximums over 30 were followed by minimums of between 16 and 18 so it
stands to reason what the mean is for those.
August 1st so far is the only cool day I have had.
From looking at forecasts for the next week or so it seems that the
intense heat will not be repeated. This will not be an August like 1995.
Anyway it is still too early to say. I wonder what others think.


Too early as you say. But a week ago, when I last updated my spreadsheet, my
average was nearly 23C, 6 degrees above the mean CET. Being in a suburban
location outside Leicester, I usually beat the CET, but not by that much.

I would expect that this wil come down but IMO there is a real possibility
that the CET for this month will be above the 1995 record of 19.20C

Martin
--
Created on the Iyonix PC - the new RISC OS computer.

Martin Dixon wrote in message ...
In message
"Gavin Staples" wrote:

Now we are half way through August it is perhaps time to think about what
the CET maybe for this month.
Although I have not kept written records.

.... as of 14th, the provisional CET was 20.0degC, an anomaly on the
6190 set of +4.2degC, or on the 7100 set of +3.8degC. Although we
should now 'relax' more to the average values across the CET domain,
it looks unlikely to become significantly lower than average, and
there are indications that values may climb again several degrees
above ....

.... what is more interesting to my mind is the running *annual*
anomaly of around +1.4degC up to the 14th: If we carry on like this,
we will drive a 'coach and horses' through the previous record annual
CET values (set in 1949, 1990, 1999 & 2002)... 1990 and 1999
technically the highest with 10.63degC.

Martin.