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Old January 20th 05, 10:42 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default GFS cancels TWO's and Will's "prolonged freeze" in MILD switch!

I hate being the bearer of bad news, I really do.

We've all seen the undoubtedly most premature - in every sense of the
word! - headline. Now, the following toppler has appeared on the
WetterZentrale:
http://www2.wetter3.de/Animation_18_UTC/150_30.gif
http://64.246.48.81/wz/pics/Rtavn961.gif
putting an end, once again, to the snow dreams of Presutti, Pratridge,
Sarre, Snow Hoper, Easterly, and countless others. However, with
pathetic little comments like:
"I think we can safely say that for consistency, the GFS is all over
the place."
the community is, at the very least, trying to add at least SOME degree
of optimism to the whole scene.
Oh well, at least the Slavs will be happy with that set up.:-)

D.


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Old January 20th 05, 11:03 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default GFS cancels TWO's and Will's "prolonged freeze" in MILD switch!

On 20 Jan 2005 14:42:37 -0800, Damien wrote in
oups.com

I hate being the bearer of bad news, I really do.

We've all seen the undoubtedly most premature - in every sense of the
word! - headline. Now, the following toppler has appeared on the
WetterZentrale:
http://www2.wetter3.de/Animation_18_UTC/150_30.gif
http://64.246.48.81/wz/pics/Rtavn961.gif


But that is very little different from the ECMWF chart for that day:

http://www.ecmwf.int/products/foreca...test!chart.gif

Yet by Thursday the same model is forecasting this, with some retrogression
of the high visible:

http://www.ecmwf.int/products/foreca...test!chart.gif

I agree with others though who indicate the air over E Europe is very mild
ATM so any easterly isn't going to be a classic, at least early in the
period.

--
Mike 55.13°N 6.69°W Coleraine posted to uk.sci.weather 20/01/2005 23:03:24 UTC
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Old January 20th 05, 11:12 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default GFS cancels TWO's and Will's "prolonged freeze" in MILD switch!

I agree with others though who indicate the air over E Europe is very
mild
ATM so any easterly isn't going to be a classic, at least early in

the
period.


Thanks Mike, that cheers me up a bit.:-)

Plus, remember how quick 1947 was to cool down after an also very much
mild early-mid January - even though I wasn't actually there?

Do you agree that the people over at The Weather Outlook discussion
forum once again have egg on their faces though, if just temporarily,
against what I am suggesting?

D.

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Old January 20th 05, 11:43 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default GFS cancels TWO's and Will's "prolonged freeze" in MILD switch!


Do you agree that the people over at The Weather Outlook discussion forum
once again have egg on their faces though, if just temporarily, against what
I am suggesting?

D.

Look, they're young, they're eager, they're inexperienced. They're pointing
at the wrong charts. - It's called premature gesticulation!
Sorry Lawrence, but someone's got to do it ;-)
Dave


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Old January 21st 05, 12:01 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default GFS cancels TWO's and Will's "prolonged freeze" in MILD switch!

Look, they're young, they're eager, they're inexperienced. They're
pointing
at the wrong charts. - It's called premature gesticulation!
Sorry Lawrence, but someone's got to do it ;-)
Dave


LOL!

1. Brian Gaze is about early-mid 30s, I recall him *or somebody else*
once saying on the website forum,
2. Will Hand I'm not *that* sure about, but, looking at his website, it
gave the impression that he was a little bit older.

I would hardly call these two men "young" in the negative, almost
condescending way that you have employed that particular word to your
use. They remain great forecasters though, in spite of their former
forecasted flaws, and whatever age they are.

D.



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Old January 21st 05, 12:17 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default GFS cancels TWO's and Will's "prolonged freeze" in MILD switch!

1. Brian Gaze is about early-mid 30s, I recall him *or somebody else* once
saying on the website forum,
2. Will Hand I'm not *that* sure about, but, looking at his website, it


Ermm - I don't think I meant them.



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Old January 21st 05, 12:23 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default GFS cancels TWO's and Will's "prolonged freeze" in MILD switch!

The majority of the members on TWO aren't 'young' actually. Desperate for an
easterly yes, but not particularly young.

It's a myth I tell ya ;-)

Best Regards

Joe

"Dave.C" wrote in message
k...
1. Brian Gaze is about early-mid 30s, I recall him *or somebody else* once
saying on the website forum,
2. Will Hand I'm not *that* sure about, but, looking at his website, it


Ermm - I don't think I meant them.





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Old January 21st 05, 12:23 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default GFS cancels TWO's and Will's "prolonged freeze" in MILD switch!

Ermm - I don't think I meant them.

If there were emoticons I would now be using the "embarrassed" face
picture.

However, instead, you can have this - :-) .

On a MUCH MORE serious note though, Andrew Bond has just posted this,
regarding the current coming "cold snap", which, in itself, deserves
another :-( :

"GFS, but the input data (BUFR) from the satellites such as MODIS is
also provided to the other modellers. As such, I wouldn't be surprised
to see some of the others follow suit :-("

D.

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Old January 21st 05, 12:33 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default GFS cancels TWO's and Will's "prolonged freeze" in MILD switch!

The majority of the members on TWO aren't 'young' actually. Desperate
for an
easterly yes, but not particularly young.


It's a myth I tell ya ;-)


"Dan Duncan" - SENIOR ADMINISTRATOR(!) - was born in 1987, so he is,
therefore, MUCH YOUNGER THAN ME. Somebody oughta tell that KID to
RESPECT HIS ELDERS!!!:-( :-( :-(
Read what he wrote about ME in his thread about ME?!!!

D.

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Old January 21st 05, 12:57 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default GFS cancels TWO's and Will's "prolonged freeze" in MILD switch!

"Damien" wrote in news:1106267631.687290.41350
@c13g2000cwb.googlegroups.com:

"Dan Duncan" - SENIOR ADMINISTRATOR(!) - was born in 1987, so he is,
therefore, MUCH YOUNGER THAN ME. Somebody oughta tell that KID to
RESPECT HIS ELDERS!!!:-( :-( :-(
Read what he wrote about ME in his thread about ME?!!!


*plonk*

For heavens' sake can we please just talk about the weather and not about
bloody internet weather egos which seem to have taken over things over the
past few years?!!

Apologies for my abruptness but I hope some share my feelings!

Richard


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