Home |
Search |
Today's Posts |
![]() |
|
uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
Reply |
|
LinkBack | Thread Tools | Display Modes |
#1
![]() |
|||
|
|||
![]()
Here is a summary of the latest NWP output for noon on Saturday. Issued
0541z, 4 Apr 06. The runs are mixed today. Generally the picture is a chilly one, but there are massive differences regarding the location of low pressure. MetO, for example, keeps it over Scandinavia, whereas GFS has it affecting Scotland and Northern Ireland. Both GFS and ECM hint at low pressure moving up from the south into next week, which would ensure all areas of the UK see rain at some stage in the next 5 to 7 days. However, with models such as the MetO keeping the lows at bay, confidence in an unsettled outlook is only moderate. As ever, more runs are needed. ECMWF: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Recm1201.gif Low pressure is close to NE Scotland, leading to NW'lies for Scotland and westerlies or WSW'lies elsewhere. The winds become NW'lies for most at T+144 as the low moves slowly eastwards, followed by NE'lies over England, Wales and Northern Ireland at T+168 as complex low pressure deepens over Biscay. Scotland, meanwhile, lies under NW'lies. MetO: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Rukm1201.gif MetO brings a NW'ly flow over the UK, with low pressure well to the NE and a high to the SW of Iceland. The high sinks southwards at T+144, maintaining NW'lies over the UK. GFS: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Rtavn1201.png SW'lies and southerlies cover the UK, due to a low to the west of Scotland. The low fills and loses its identity at T+144, with a new low moving over France. Winds are light and chilly NE'lies over the UK, followed by stronger NE'lies at T+168 as the French low deepens and becomes complex. GEM: http://meteocentre.com/models/glb00_120.html Northerlies and NW'lies cover the UK, with lows to the north and south. JMA: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Rjma1201.gif Unavailable again. NOGAPS: http://217.160.75.104/pics/ngp10.prp.120.europeg.gif A trough covers the UK, bringing heavy rain over northern England and the Midlands. Winds are SE'lies to the north and SW'lies to the south. |
Reply |
Thread Tools | Search this Thread |
Display Modes | |
|
|
![]() |
||||
Thread | Forum | |||
Today's model interpretation (10/07/03) | uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) | |||
Today's model interpretation (9/07/03) | uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) | |||
Today's model interpretation (8/7/03) | uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) | |||
Today's model interpretation (7/6/03) | uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) | |||
Today's model interpretation (5/07/03) | uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) |