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uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
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Here is a summary of the latest NWP output for noon on Easter Monday. Issued
0537z, 13 Apr 06. The models show westerlies to start next week, with a good chance of SW'lies to follow. With high pressure to the south, southern and eastern areas will see the least of any rain as per usual. Towards next weekend the models diverge with everything from southerlies (GEM) to cold NW'lies (GFS) on offer. As ever, more runs are needed. ECMWF: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Recm1201.gif NW'lies cover the UK with low pressure to the north. NW'lies persist at T+144 but by day 7 a weak ridge moves eastwards with westerlies and SW'lies as a result. MetO: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Rukm1201.gif A ridge lies to the SW, with westerlies across the UK. Low pressure moves SE'wards and deepens to the west at T+144, bringing SW'lies for all. GFS: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Rtavn1201.png The UK lies under westerlies with a ridge to the SW. A trough moves across the UK at T+144, leaving WNW'lies in its wake. By day 7 a deep low lies to the WNW with SW'lies across the UK as a result. GEM: http://meteocentre.com/models/glb00_120.html High pressure is located to the south and to the north is a large low. Westerlies are the result, strongest over northern areas. JMA: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Rjma1201.gif The Japanese run shows high pressure to the west and a ridge across Biscay and Germany. Winds over the UK are westerlies, followed by NW'lies at T+144 as a trough moves swiftly SE'wards over the British Isles. NOGAPS: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Rngp1201.gif NGP is similar to the Japanese run, this timw with a mixture of westerlies and NW'lies over the UK due to low pressure to the north and a high to the west. |
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