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uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
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Here is a summary of the latest NWP output for noon on Saturday. Issued
0530z, 23 May 06. The models show low pressure to the north for the weekend with westerlies likely; the further north you are the more likely it is you'll see rain, but all areas are at risk. Beyond that there are still signs that the low will move away, to be replaced with a high bringing increasingly settled conditions from the west. ECMWF: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Recm1201.gif A low lies to the NW, with a mixture of westerlies and SW'lies for the UK. The low moves eastwards and deepens at T+144, introducing NW'lies and WNW'lies for many areas. NW'lies affect the UK at T+168 as a ridge moves eastwards. MetO: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Rukm1201.gif Low pressure lies to the north with westerlies for all as a result. GFS: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Rtavn1201.png Westerlies cover the UK due to a low to the north. The low moves away to the east at T+144 with NW'lies as the result. The winds become lighter NW'lies at T+168 as a small high moves over Ireland. GEM: http://meteocentre.com/models/glb00_120.html Unavailable today. JMA: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Rjma1201.gif The Japanese run brings westerlies across most areas with a low to the west of Scotland. The low moves over the North Sea at T+144, leaving a trough over England and Wales. Winds are westerlies for southern areas of England with northerlies elsewhere. NOGAPS: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Rngp1201.gif NOGAPS also shows a low near Scotland, this time to the NW. Winds are westerlies for all. |
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