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uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
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#1
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On this programme a few minutes ago David Attenborough said that sea
temperature over the Australian Great Barrier Reef are much higher than normal this year. The present temperature anomaly maps don't agree with this. For example see http://www.weatherzone.com.au/charts...SSTAnomaly.jsp Overall, an interesting programme but I worry about the number of scientists that appear on such programmes making very positive pronouncements that certain changes "will" occur as a result of global warming rather than "may" occur. Nothing is certain until after it has occurred. And what about the inevitable changes that no-one has even thought about yet. Have the very complex feed-back loops been adequately modelled. I am no expert on this but it's such a complex subject that I find it very difficult to believe that the modelling is free from significant flaws. Norman. (delete "thisbit" twice to e-mail) -- Norman Lynagh Weather Consultancy Chalfont St Giles 85m a.s.l. England |
#2
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![]() For example see http://www.weatherzone.com.au/charts...SSTAnomaly.jsp Isn't that just a snapshot on one day though? Hopefully, and I wouldn't know if it is, the reference would be to the mean for the last year. I see there is a programme on later "The great global warming conspiracy" which may be of interest to some ;-) I have a great faith in scientists in general (unlike the politicians' spin put on scientific results); I have met a large number and have rarely found one with an agenda other than to try and interpret facts accurately. I have known them get this wrong, but not intentionally. Dave |
#3
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![]() Dave.C wrote: I have a great faith in scientists in general (unlike the politicians' spin put on scientific results); I have met a large number and have rarely found one with an agenda other than to try and interpret facts accurately. I have known them get this wrong, but not intentionally. The fact they tend to get wrong is to give their name to a BBC documentary. The one good thing about David Attenborough is that he will eventually meet his ancestors whether they be fish or fowl. In the meantime the facts will soldier on no matter who turns up next to interpret them. When the ridiculous has been spouted even to the fullness of time, the truth must still come out. The BBC and the rest of them miss out one amazing opportunity in exchange for appeasing the directors and producers, the opportunity of getting their facts right. But concerning the debate in general: The fact is very true that there is something dreadfully wrong with the climate. Whether it is that the snow is falling in the wrong places or the glaciers are actually getting warmer, what is in doubt is whether the cause is carbon dioxide emissions or; more likely, the running of effluent straight into the sea to destroy the coral that way, hunting fish and animals to destruction and burning down substantial sections of forest. I find it difficult to believe that volcanic activity (which produces many times more carbon and sulphur dioxide than men ever have) and the venting of natural gas resevoirs by natural means (which produces and has always produced more methane and etc., than we have ever manufactured) should, over the last few decades, suddenly have been eclipsed by us. |
#4
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On 24 May 2006 17:46:24 -0700, "Weatherlawyer"
wrote: I find it difficult to believe that volcanic activity (which produces many times more carbon and sulphur dioxide than men ever have) and the venting of natural gas resevoirs by natural means (which produces and has always produced more methane and etc., than we have ever manufactured) should, over the last few decades, suddenly have been eclipsed by us. ISTM that the CO2 growth graph is remarkably similar to the population growth curve. How much CO2 is produced by the 6.5 billion of us breathing? Is a Golgafrinchan B-Ark the answer? -- Regards, Paul Herber, Sandrila Ltd. http://www.pherber.com/ Electronics for Visio http://www.electronics.sandrila.co.uk/ |
#5
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![]() The one good thing about David Attenborough is that he will eventually meet his ancestors whether they be fish or fowl. Fairly typical of your comments. In my opinion David Attenborough is one of the most eminent zoologists of our time, certainly the most influential in producing fantastic TV programmes and inspiring young people to take an interest in nature and the world around them. He also comes across as a very kind, generous and humble person. I don't take kindly to people wishing other people dead. Dave. |
#6
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![]() Dave.C wrote: The one good thing about David Attenborough is that he will eventually meet his ancestors whether they be fish or fowl. Fairly typical of your comments. In my opinion David Attenborough is one of the most eminent zoologists of our time, certainly the most influential in producing fantastic TV programmes and inspiring young people to take an interest in nature and the world around them. He also comes across as a very kind, generous and humble person. I don't take kindly to people wishing other people dead. I don't wish him dead. I wish he was honest. |
#7
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![]() Norman Lynagh wrote: On this programme a few minutes ago David Attenborough said that sea temperature over the Australian Great Barrier Reef are much higher than normal this year. The present temperature anomaly maps don't agree with this. For example see http://www.weatherzone.com.au/charts...SSTAnomaly.jsp Overall, an interesting programme but I worry about the number of scientists that appear on such programmes making very positive pronouncements that certain changes "will" occur as a result of global warming rather than "may" occur. Nothing is certain until after it has occurred. And what about the inevitable changes that no-one has even thought about yet. Have the very complex feed-back loops been adequately modelled. I am no expert on this but it's such a complex subject that I find it very difficult to believe that the modelling is free from significant flaws. Norman. (delete "thisbit" twice to e-mail) -- Norman Lynagh Weather Consultancy Chalfont St Giles 85m a.s.l. England Most fishermen rely on sea temperatures to gauge the location of fish,the mackeral fisheries of Tasmania went from the purse seining method (cold surface temps) to midwater or bottom trawling as the surface temperatures increased hence the fish relocated to deeper and colder depths. Fishermen need no convincing that climate imbalances exist due to the appearance of certain species of fish at unusual times of the year,for instance bluefish on the NY offshore grounds in March or earlier.I remember only the surprise of the skipper and his prescient comments at the time. |
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