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Old May 28th 06, 06:30 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Today's model interpretation (28/05/06)

Here is a summary of the latest NWP output for noon on Thursday. Issued
0526z, 28 May 06.

The models show a change on the way, with high pressure becoming slow moving
near Ireland towards the end of the week. England and Wales will see light
winds, settled conditions and will become increasingly warm. Scotland is
likely to see more in the way of cloud and cooler temperatures as a result,
but eastern areas may see a fair bit of sunshine. Northern Ireland has a
less certain outlook, as depending on where the high settles it'll bring
either a fair bit of sunshine (as with England and Wales) or cloud (if it's
centred a bit further south). Whatever the specifics, the outlook is a
generally settled one.

ECMWF: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Recm1201.gif
England, Wales and Northern Ireland lie under a ridge, with light winds;
Scotland is affected by SW'lies. The ridge moves SE'wards at T+144, leaving
the UK under WNW'lies. Day 7 sees a ridge over Ireland, resulting in NW'lies
for England and Wales with SW'lies elsewhere.

MetO: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Rukm1201.gif
A mixture of WNW'lies and NW'lies covers the UK with high pressure centred
to the SSW of Ireland. There's little change at T+144.

GFS: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Rtavn1201.png
High pressure is centred to the west of Ireland, bringing westerlies to
Northern Ireland and Scotland with northerlies elsewhere. There's little
change at T+144 or T+168, with the high persisting near Ireland.

GEM: http://meteocentre.com/models/glb00_120.html
Unavailable today.

JMA: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Rjma1201.gif
The Japanese run brings westerlies across the UK, this time with a high to
the SW. Nothing much changes at T+144 with the high remaining to the SW.

NOGAPS: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Rngp1201.gif
NOGAPS shows NW'lies for all due to a ridge to the west.




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Old May 28th 06, 12:59 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Today's model interpretation (28/05/06)


Darren Prescott wrote:
Here is a summary of the latest NWP output for noon on Thursday. Issued
0526z, 28 May 06.


They are for Friday now. The maps I need are 120 less 24 I take it?
I'll have a go at the URLs in a bit.

For the moment the maps look like showing a predominant Atlantic high
pressure system just off the coast. (It might interest my fans to
follow the centre of the high over the next fortnight in comparison
with the lunar decliation on a navigator's almanack.

The moon is at or near it's northern node atm: declination +28 degrees
or so. It will be heading south around the equator next weekend and
near the southern node on the 10 th or 11th of June when the high
should have moved over to give rise to conditions allowing a tropical
cyclone at least to form in the southern reaches of the N Atlantic.

Oops I have just snipped all the maps before checking the urls over
that 120 hrs thingie. Sorry.

I will let others do it as I am not interested in detailed work like
that. It's too fiddly. Firefox with TabBrowser extension allows you to
open all the sites at once though and save some meddling.



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