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uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
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Here is a summary of the latest NWP output for noon on Friday. Issued 0517z,
5 June 06. The models still show a generally settled and warm start to the weekend with a risk of low pressure moving up from the south for Sunday. The models differ greatly regarding its track though, so as ever more runs are needed. ECMWF: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Recm1201.gif SE'lies cover the UK with low pressure over Biscay and a high to the east. The low fills over France at T+144, leading to further SE'lies for the UK. By T+168 a ridge builds over England and Wales with light winds there and southerlies elsewhere. MetO: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Rukm1201.gif High pressure covers the North Sea with a ridge over the UK. Winds are easterlies and SE'lies over England, Wales and Northern Ireland with SSE'lies for Scotland. GFS: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Rtavn1201.png GFS, like ECM, shows a high to the east and a low over Biscay with SE'lies for all. The low moves over the English Channel at T+144 with further SE'lies. By T+168 the low fills over the North Sea with a mixture of westerlies and SW'lies for the UK. GEM: http://meteocentre.com/models/glb00_120.html Unavailable today. JMA: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Rjma1201.gif The Japanese run shows warm southerlies for the UK due to a high to the east. There's little change at T+144. NOGAPS: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Rngp1201.gif NOGAPS shows SE'lies, again with a low over Biscay and a high to the east. |
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