uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged.

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Old June 12th 06, 01:01 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Why so wrong?

"Stuart Brooks" wrote in message


http://www.meto.gov.uk/lib/includes/...y/ipswich.html

is only giving 25C as a max for Ipswich itself.


The former is quality controlled the latter unadjusted model data.



Stuart, the above is also (subjectively) quality controlled and
adjusted.

Jon.


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Old June 12th 06, 01:50 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Why so wrong?

Jon O Rourke wrote:
"Stuart Brooks" wrote in message


http://www.meto.gov.uk/lib/includes/...y/ipswich.html

is only giving 25C as a max for Ipswich itself.


The former is quality controlled the latter unadjusted model data.



Stuart, the above is also (subjectively) quality controlled and
adjusted.

Jon.


Oh. I thought it was just the "eleven cities" which were adjusted.
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Old June 12th 06, 08:19 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
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"Dave Ludlow" wrote in message
...
On Sun, 11 Jun 2006 14:29:59 +0100, "V-Tec" wrote:

Do forecasters get conservative at the extreme ends of weather?

It always seems to be colder than forecast in winter and today...

Forecast was 22/23 on average. It is currently 29.1 here in Ipswich -
confirmed by other stations +/- 1 deg.

How can they be 5/6/7 degrees out like this consistently?

I don't understand this, the BBC News 24 weather forecasts that I
heard yesterday evening forecast maxima in parts of Eastern England
of 29 to 30 degrees C.. which is correct. I remember thinking "Wow!".

Perhaps you (and all of us) should ignore internet website forecasts,
potted 10 second radio forecasts and any "bimbo" forecasts broadcast
on the other TV stations?


Here was my forecast issued last thursday:

" Very high confidence that most of Britain will continue to be very warm or
even hot next week. Temperature levels in the south could possibly reach 28-32
deg C for a time. Generally in the range 25-30 deg C in the south but cooler
(18-24 deg C) in Scotland, Northern Ireland and northern England for a while
mid-week as winds freshen from the west, but turning hot here again later.
60% chance that any one spot in Britain will see at least one thunderstorm next
week. 15% chance of those storms turning severe with damaging hail and a tornado
risk, Sunday to Tuesday is the most likely period for severe storms. After then
the risk decreases but is still there.

Not quite as sunny next week with a lot more cloud generally. More humid too,
making it sultry in some of the larger cities where night time temperatures
could remain high. Perhaps a lot of sea mist and low cloud in east coast areas
in beginning of week. Winds generally light but gusty in storms and sea breezes
on brighter days. "

Will.
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Old June 12th 06, 02:33 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Why so wrong?

On Mon, 12 Jun 2006 08:19:23 +0100, "Will Hand"
wrote:

"Dave Ludlow" wrote in message
.. .
On Sun, 11 Jun 2006 14:29:59 +0100, "V-Tec" wrote:

How can they be 5/6/7 degrees out like this consistently?

I don't understand this, the BBC News 24 weather forecasts that I
heard yesterday evening forecast maxima in parts of Eastern England
of 29 to 30 degrees C.. which is correct. I remember thinking "Wow!".

Perhaps you (and all of us) should ignore internet website forecasts,
potted 10 second radio forecasts and any "bimbo" forecasts broadcast
on the other TV stations?


Here was my forecast issued last thursday:

" Very high confidence that most of Britain will continue to be very warm or
even hot next week. Temperature levels in the south could possibly reach 28-32
deg C for a time. Generally in the range 25-30 deg C in the south...


Hehe, I wasn't thinking of YOUR forecasts Will, not even medium range
forecasts in general (and yours are better than most). I meant the
short to medium range automated website forecasts and the way too
short 'bimbo forecasts' lacking detail, that may have led to the
perceived error reported by the original poster (when in fact there
was no error in the "proper" BBC TV weather forecasts).

Cheers,

--
Dave


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