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Old June 11th 06, 10:07 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Expected Storms

Hi,

As an occasional poster and lurker, thought Les Crossan would be interested
in the latest update from Estofex.

http://www.europeantour.com/ looks interesting for some?

Tony
Still sultry 20c at 2205BST, but mainly clear in Newbury, Berkshire



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Old June 11th 06, 10:24 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Estofex Heads Up, not weather for golf.


"Tony Powell" wrote in message
...
Hi,

http://www.europeantour.com/ looks interesting for some?


Forget the golf, I meant peeps to check out the latest update from
http://estofex.org/

Stupid mistake, anyway I'd watch it if out on the golf courses tomorrow
lads.

Tony
'crawling slowly back to his den.'


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Old June 11th 06, 10:28 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Estofex Heads Up, not weather for golf.

Thanks Tony.... will be awaiting the 0z soundings with interest! But not
the golf.

Ping Waghorne / Joe / etc etc....

les

Tony Powell wrote:
"Tony Powell" wrote in message
...
Hi,

http://www.europeantour.com/ looks interesting for some?


Forget the golf, I meant peeps to check out the latest update from
http://estofex.org/

Stupid mistake, anyway I'd watch it if out on the golf courses tomorrow
lads.

Tony
'crawling slowly back to his den.'




--
Les Crossan,
Wallsend, Tyne & Wear
54.95N 1.5W
Home of the Wallsend StormCam and the Backup USW FAQ -
www.uksevereweather.org.uk
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Old June 12th 06, 07:30 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Estofex Heads Up, not weather for golf.


Les Crossan wrote:
Thanks Tony.... will be awaiting the 0z soundings with interest! But not
the golf.

Ping Waghorne / Joe / etc etc....

les


I think that's fair enough, the dynamical set up seems much more
favourable today, whereas y'day deep convection failed to trigger over
eastern England despite favourable thermodynamics. I spose a tornado
might be possible where interaction with a sea breeze boundary occurs,
most likely in the E/NE?
Caveat on the GFS CAPE given high/medium level cloud.
A point not mentioned -central southern England will be under the right
entance of the jet so the severe risk area cld extend W/SW of London
later in the day?
regards,
David

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Old June 12th 06, 08:30 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Estofex Heads Up, not weather for golf.


Waghorn wrote:
Les Crossan wrote:


Ping Waghorne / Joe / etc etc....


I think that's fair enough, ..................


Looking at the 06Z satellite imagery and the sky in SE London (7/8
dense As) I wonder if this cloud, debris from France and the west, is
going to reduce the potential.Are the high surface temperatures gonna
be achieved except in a few places in the far east ?
Initiation might be possible where there are holes in the overcast.
However, there's a big cluster of storms in Biscay which shld move into
southern England later,
D



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