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uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
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#1
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=== This forecast represents the *PERSONAL OPINION* of the Chief forecaster at the privately run Haytor meteorological office in Devon on how the weather may unfold next week. The Chief forecaster will take no responsibility whatsoever for any actions arising from its use. It is provided freely in the spirit of freedom and the great love for meteorology that we personally enjoy and wish to share freely with others. ================================================== ============================== === Summary valid for Sunday 18/06/06 to Saturday 24/06/06/ TOI (time of issue) Thursday 15/06/06 0900 UK local time This summary is based on a quick appraisal of the GFS, JMA, ECMWF, UKMO, FAX, and ENS (NCEP ensemble) labelled charts available from the superb http://www.wetterzentrale.de/topkarten For Scotland, Northern Ireland and northern England high confidence (80%) that the week will be changeable with rain at times and sunny intervals. Temperatures near average (15C-20C) but occasionally cool in moderate to fresh SW to NW winds. Rest of England and Wales, moderate confidence (60%) for a mainly dry week with high pressure close by. Some rain, but mostly showery with spells of sunshine. Warm at times with temperatures 20C-25C, warmest in the SE where 27C is possible on the odd day. Thunderstorms persisting on the near continent and 20% chance that these could affect the SE at times later in the week. Winds generally light with sea breezes. Prospects for haymaking: Chance of 4 days completely dry weather at any one spot in England and Wales is low at 30%. Scotland and Northern Ireland - zero. Will Hand Chief Forecaster " Visit Dartmoor National Park and see the ponies " ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- A COL BH site in East Dartmoor at Haytor, Devon 310m asl (1017 feet). mailto: www: http://www.lyneside.demon.co.uk/Hayt...antage_Pro.htm DISCLAIMER - All views and opinions expressed by myself are personal and do not necessarily represent those of my employer. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- |
#2
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In article ,
Will Hand writes: Prospects for haymaking: Chance of 4 days completely dry weather at any one spot in England and Wales is low at 30%. Scotland and Northern Ireland - zero. It's a brave man who ever uses 0% or 100% probabilities in connection with the British weather. ![]() -- John Hall "The covers of this book are too far apart." Ambrose Bierce (1842-1914) |
#3
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Yes but at least it gives as a reasonable likelihood and is realistic in
predictions, unlike forecasters who predict something is going to happen and when it doesnt completely ignore the fact that it hasnt. "John Hall" wrote in message ... In article , Will Hand writes: Prospects for haymaking: Chance of 4 days completely dry weather at any one spot in England and Wales is low at 30%. Scotland and Northern Ireland - zero. It's a brave man who ever uses 0% or 100% probabilities in connection with the British weather. ![]() -- John Hall "The covers of this book are too far apart." Ambrose Bierce (1842-1914) |
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