Here is a summary of the latest NWP output for noon on Tuesday. Issued
0531z, 16 June 06.

The models differ regarding the effects of ex-Alberto on the UK. MetO, GEM
and NGP show it bringing a spell of wet and windy weather for all, whereas
GFS and ECM are less keen and keep much of England and Wales settled. As
ever, more runs are needed.

ECMWF: http://85.214.49.20/pics/Recm1201.gif
A ridge covers England and Wales with light winds. A trough lies to the west
and this brings SW'lies across Northern Ireland and Scotland. The trough
crosses Scotland at T+144 with a mixture of WNW'lies and westerlies for the
UK. By T+168 a ridge builds again over the UK with light winds for England
and Wales; elsewhere winds are SW'lies.

MetO: http://85.214.49.20/pics/Rukm1201.gif
The MetO run shows a deep low to the NW and strong to gale force SW'lies
over much of the UK; the exception is SE England which lies under much
lighter SW'lies due to the proximity of a ridge over France. Day 6 sees a
trough cross the UK and westerlies or WNW'lies as a result.

GFS: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Rtavn1201.png
Ireland lies under a weak trough, leading to WSW'lies for all. Westerlies
cover the UK at T+144 as the trough moves eastwards and by day 7 the
westerlies ease somewhat as pressure builds from the SW.

GEM: http://meteocentre.com/models/glb00_120.html
As with MetO, a deep low lies to the NW and this time WSW'lies cover the UK.

JMA: http://85.214.49.20/pics/Rjma1201.gif
SW'lies cover the UK ahead of a trough to the west. The trough crosses the
UK at T+144, with a mixture of westerlies and WNW'lies as a result.

NOGAPS: http://85.214.49.20/pics/Rngp1201.gif
NOGAPS brings a deep low to the NW of the UK, leading to moderate to strong
SW'lies across the British Isles.