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uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
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#1
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*Note: this may appear twice as demon news does'nt seem to be getting
through tonight* https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/products/...sstanomaly.gif Somethings completely different with this image. All the arctic SST anomalies are negative (blue), the last few years we have been seeing nothing but reds and yellows. Is something going on up there? -- Keith (Southend) http://www.southendweather.net e-mail: kreh at southendweather dot net |
#2
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![]() "Keith (Southend)G" wrote in message oups.com... *Note: this may appear twice as demon news does'nt seem to be getting through tonight* https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/products/...sstanomaly.gif Somethings completely different with this image. All the arctic SST anomalies are negative (blue), the last few years we have been seeing nothing but reds and yellows. Is something going on up there? -- Keith (Southend) http://www.southendweather.net e-mail: kreh at southendweather dot net Yep it's all that ice melt combined with the fall in Arctic sea levels at a 2mm per year . This combined has produced negative sea temperatures. Of course I have no proof whats so ever for this but will you accept my Nectar card as ID |
#3
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In message .com,
"Keith (Southend)G" writes *Note: this may appear twice as demon news does'nt seem to be getting through tonight* https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/products/....NCODA.glbl_ss tanomaly.gif Somethings completely different with this image. All the arctic SST anomalies are negative (blue), the last few years we have been seeing nothing but reds and yellows. Is something going on up there? -- Keith (Southend) http://www.southendweather.net e-mail: kreh at southendweather dot net I noticed that as well Keith - it seemed to suddenly change, and having checked with one of the other SST anomaly sites I think I would personally conclude it is a website or database/programming anomaly. Not sure who to contact to get it corrected though. Cheers James -- James Brown |
#4
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"James Brown" wrote in message
... | In message .com, | "Keith (Southend)G" writes | *Note: this may appear twice as demon news does'nt seem to be getting | through tonight* | | https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/products/....NCODA.glbl_ss | tanomaly.gif | | Somethings completely different with this image. All the arctic SST | anomalies are negative (blue), the last few years we have been seeing | nothing but reds and yellows. Is something going on up there? | -- | Keith (Southend) | http://www.southendweather.net | e-mail: kreh at southendweather dot net | | | I noticed that as well Keith - it seemed to suddenly change, and having | checked with one of the other SST anomaly sites I think I would | personally conclude it is a website or database/programming anomaly. Not | sure who to contact to get it corrected though. | I'm sure you're right. Until very recently the NCODA chart had all the ice area "blanked out", ie it only showed the greenish colour for no anomaly. Now, large areas of ice covered sea are showing dark blue. That would be OK if this indicated ice that should have melted by now, but I suspect actually we are no longer comparing "like with like". A better tell-tale is surely the the fringe of bright red and orange colours where open water several degrees above the nominal -2C for freezing seawater is present where climatologically ice should be. From the ice concentration images, it looks like the NE passage will very soon be open, and the NW passage is also thawing quickly. And, once again, the Labrador Current has been partly cut off and sea surface temperatures around Nova Scotia are several degrees above normal. I suspect another low sea-ice year is in prospect, especially after reports that some fjords in Svalbard (Spitzbergen) which normally freeze over at least partially have remained open this last winter. -- - Yokel - oo oo OOO OOO OO 0 OO ) ( I ) ( ) ( /\ ) ( "Yokel" now posts via a spam-trap account. Replace my alias with stevejudd to reply. |
#5
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Yokel wrote:
"James Brown" wrote in message ... | In message .com, | "Keith (Southend)G" writes | https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/products/....NCODA.glbl_ss | tanomaly.gif | | Somethings completely different with this image. All the arctic SST | anomalies are negative (blue), the last few years we have been seeing | nothing but reds and yellows. Is something going on up there? | | I noticed that as well Keith - it seemed to suddenly change, and having | checked with one of the other SST anomaly sites I think I would | personally conclude it is a website or database/programming anomaly. Not | sure who to contact to get it corrected though. | I'm sure you're right. Until very recently the NCODA chart had all the ice area "blanked out", ie it only showed the greenish colour for no anomaly. Now, large areas of ice covered sea are showing dark blue. That would be OK if this indicated ice that should have melted by now, but I suspect actually we are no longer comparing "like with like". I'm sure you're correct. I wonder whether the computer work for this has been handled by programmers who know little or nothing about oceanography? A better tell-tale is surely the the fringe of bright red and orange colours where open water several degrees above the nominal -2C for freezing seawater is present where climatologically ice should be. From the ice concentration images, it looks like the NE passage will very soon be open, and the NW passage is also thawing quickly. And, once again, the Labrador Current has been partly cut off and sea surface temperatures around Nova Scotia are several degrees above normal. The NE passage has ice conditions that are worse than last year, as does the western part of the NW passage. Barents Sea, Hudson Bay, and Baffin Bay are lighter than last year. It appears as though the winds this winter and spring have, for the most part, been blowing from the Barents Sea area towards the Bering Strait. One difference I noticed this year that I've never seen before is the smaller amount of fast ice (solid ice-sheet attached to the land) in the Canadian Arctic. In particular the Amundsen Gulf was covered with pack-ice instead of fast ice. Also the fast-ice edge in McClure Strait is a couple of hundred miles East of its usual position. This suggests its been a very mild winter in that area. I suspect another low sea-ice year is in prospect, especially after reports that some fjords in Svalbard (Spitzbergen) which normally freeze over at least partially have remained open this last winter. The southern edge of the pack-ice in that area this winter was, at times, further north than ever recorded - even in summer. If the wind pattern continues as it has for the past six months or more, the ice cover in the Arctic may be larger this summer than last. The ice will not be forced out of the Arctic as much as it has been in the last couple of years. -- Graham Davis Bracknell |
#6
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Keith (Southend)G wrote:
https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/products/...sstanomaly.gif Somethings completely different with this image. All the arctic SST anomalies are negative (blue), the last few years we have been seeing nothing but reds and yellows. Is something going on up there? Looks a load of rubbish. How can they come up with a negative anomaly for an ice-covered area which is normally ice-covered such as the Canadian Arctic? They've either got a problem with their normals, their data, their program logic, or the lot. The blue area in the Barents Sea, where it's ice-free and normally ice-covered is almost as stupid. Perhaps they don't apply values of -2C to ice-covered areas where they have no SST measurements. For more sensible charts see http://www.osdpd.noaa.gov/PSB/EPS/SST/climo.html. -- Graham Davis Bracknell |
#7
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"Keith (Southend)G" wrote in message
oups.com... *Note: this may appear twice as demon news does'nt seem to be getting through tonight* https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/products/...sstanomaly.gif Somethings completely different with this image. All the arctic SST anomalies are negative (blue), the last few years we have been seeing nothing but reds and yellows. Is something going on up there? -- Here's some links to other SST charts for comparison... It does look like the above chart was in itself an anomaly!!! ;-) http://weather.unisys.com/surface/sst.gif http://85.214.49.20/wz/pics/Ransst.gif http://weatheroffice.ec.gc.ca/saison...l?img=tm_gl_sd J. |
#8
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![]() Keith (Southend)G wrote: *Note: this may appear twice as demon news does'nt seem to be getting through tonight* https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/products/...sstanomaly.gif Somethings completely different with this image. All the arctic SST anomalies are negative (blue), the last few years we have been seeing nothing but reds and yellows. Is something going on up there? -- Keith (Southend) http://www.southendweather.net e-mail: kreh at southendweather dot net |
#9
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![]() Keith (Southend)G wrote: *Note: this may appear twice as demon news does'nt seem to be getting through tonight* https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/products/...sstanomaly.gif Somethings completely different with this image. All the arctic SST anomalies are negative (blue), the last few years we have been seeing nothing but reds and yellows. Is something going on up there? -- Keith (Southend) http://www.southendweather.net e-mail: kreh at southendweather dot net Just shows what a change in background climatology can do!. Now if a similar thing happened for gloabl warming this could throw the whole debate wide open!!! |
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