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Old June 19th 06, 06:44 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Today's model interpretation (19/06/06)

Here is a summary of the latest NWP output for noon on Friday. Issued 0541z,
19 June 06.

The models vary regarding their handling of low pressure towards the end of
the week, with some bringing it across the UK (GEM, MetO) while others keep
it further north, setting up a NW/SE split (eg ECM). Temperatures look like
being average to slightly below average, but even that varies a fair bit
between models. As ever, more runs are needed.

ECMWF: http://85.214.49.20/pics/Recm1201.gif
A deep low lies to the north with westerlies for all. Winds become NW'lies
at T+144 as a ridge builds to the NW, followed by WNW'lies at T+168 as the
ridge topples over the UK.

MetO: http://85.214.49.20/pics/Rukm1201.gif
The MetO run shows high pressure to the west and a trough atop the British
Isles. Winds are light across England and Wales with northerlies elsewhere.
The trough moves eastwards at T+144, allowing northerlies to affect the UK.

GFS: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Rtavn1201.png
A mixture of northerlies and NW'lies covers the UK with a ridge to the NW.
The ridge moves over Ireland at T+144, bringing westerlies to Scotland and
Northern Ireland with northerlies elsewhere. England and Wales are affected
by light and variable winds at T+168 as the ridge continues moving SE'wards,
whilst Scotland and Northern Ireland lie under westerlies.

GEM: http://meteocentre.com/models/glb00_120.html
The UK lies under an area of low pressure with easterlies for Scotland,
northerlies for Northern Ireland and westerlies for most other areas.

JMA: http://85.214.49.20/pics/Rjma1201.gif
The Japanese run brings a trough across the UK with westerlies for most as a
result. The trough develops into a low over East Anglia at T+144 with
northerlies or NW'lies for the majortity of the UK.

NOGAPS: http://85.214.49.20/pics/Rngp1201.gif
A ridge covers Ireland with NW'lies across the UK.



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