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uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
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Here is a summary of the latest NWP output for noon on Friday. Issued 0541z,
19 June 06. The models vary regarding their handling of low pressure towards the end of the week, with some bringing it across the UK (GEM, MetO) while others keep it further north, setting up a NW/SE split (eg ECM). Temperatures look like being average to slightly below average, but even that varies a fair bit between models. As ever, more runs are needed. ECMWF: http://85.214.49.20/pics/Recm1201.gif A deep low lies to the north with westerlies for all. Winds become NW'lies at T+144 as a ridge builds to the NW, followed by WNW'lies at T+168 as the ridge topples over the UK. MetO: http://85.214.49.20/pics/Rukm1201.gif The MetO run shows high pressure to the west and a trough atop the British Isles. Winds are light across England and Wales with northerlies elsewhere. The trough moves eastwards at T+144, allowing northerlies to affect the UK. GFS: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Rtavn1201.png A mixture of northerlies and NW'lies covers the UK with a ridge to the NW. The ridge moves over Ireland at T+144, bringing westerlies to Scotland and Northern Ireland with northerlies elsewhere. England and Wales are affected by light and variable winds at T+168 as the ridge continues moving SE'wards, whilst Scotland and Northern Ireland lie under westerlies. GEM: http://meteocentre.com/models/glb00_120.html The UK lies under an area of low pressure with easterlies for Scotland, northerlies for Northern Ireland and westerlies for most other areas. JMA: http://85.214.49.20/pics/Rjma1201.gif The Japanese run brings a trough across the UK with westerlies for most as a result. The trough develops into a low over East Anglia at T+144 with northerlies or NW'lies for the majortity of the UK. NOGAPS: http://85.214.49.20/pics/Rngp1201.gif A ridge covers Ireland with NW'lies across the UK. |
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