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Old June 22nd 06, 06:26 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Today's model interpretation (22/06/06)

Here is a summary of the latest NWP output for noon on Monday. Issued 0523z,
22 June 06.

The models are still somewhat mixed but the general picture is one of
increasingly warm conditions for England and Wales with Scotland and
Northern Ireland becoming less settled as a trough moves in from the
Atlantic.

ECMWF: http://85.214.49.20/pics/Recm1201.gif
A ridge covers the UK, bringing a mixture of NW'lies and WNW'lies for most
areas. The ridge sinks southwards at T+144, leaving the UK under mainly
light westerlies. By T+168 a trough moves over Scotland and Northern
Ireland, introducing SW'lies across the UK.

MetO: http://85.214.49.20/pics/Rukm1201.gif
The MetO run shows a ridge from the Azores High over the UK. SW'lies cover
Northern Ireland and Scotland with easterlies across much of England and
Wales. The ridge moves ESE'wards at T+144 with light winds for England and
Wales. Elsewhere winds are SW'lies due to a shallow low to the NW.

GFS: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Rtavn1201.png
The UK lies between a ridge over Ireland and a low over Denmark, with light
NNW'lies for most places as a result. The winds back SW'ly at T+144 as a
trough moves over Northern Ireland and Scotland, followed by WSW'lies at
T+168 as pressure builds over France.

GEM: http://meteocentre.com/models/glb00_120.html
Unavailable today.

JMA: http://85.214.49.20/pics/Rjma1201.gif
The Japanese run shows the UK under a ridge at both T+120 and T+144 with
light winds for most areas. The exception is southern England, which lies
under ENE'lies from low pressure to the SE and south.

NOGAPS: http://85.214.49.20/pics/Rngp1201.gif
A deep low lies to the NW and a ridge covers Biscay. This brings a mixture
of westerlies and WNW'lies over the UK, with the lightest winds over
England.



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