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uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
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Here is a summary of the latest NWP output for noon on Friday. Issued 0519z,
26 June 06. The models continue to show high pressure to the NE to end the week with southerlies or SE'lies likely across the UK. There are considerable differences regarding the outlook though, with the GFS bringing some heavy rain across the UK and the ECM keeping things drier. It looks like turning increasingly warm, if not hot, across parts of England, although western areas may see more in the way of cloud due to the low to the west. As ever, more runs are needed. ECMWF: http://85.214.49.20/pics/Recm1201.gif SSE'lies cover the UK with high pressure to the ENE. Winds fall light due to a col on day 6 and by day 7 a ridge to the west brings northerlies over Northern Ireland and Scotland, with light winds elsewhere. MetO: http://85.214.49.20/pics/Rukm1201.gif The MetO run shows a large high over Scandinavia and a mixture of westerlies and SE'lies for the UK. A col covers England and Wales at T+144 with SE'lies elsewhere. GFS: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Rtavn1201.png High pressure is centred over southern Scandinavia, leading to easterlies across England and Wales with SE'lies elsewhere. A trough moves across England and Wales at T+144 with SE'lies in advance and NW'lies following behind. By day 7 much of the UK lies under a col with light winds. GEM: http://meteocentre.com/models/glb00_120.html Unavailable today. JMA: http://85.214.49.20/pics/Rjma1201.gif The Japanese run shows a trough over the UK with low pressure to the WNW. Winds are SW'lies for all as a result. NOGAPS: http://85.214.49.20/pics/Rngp1201.gif Complex low pressure lies to the west and NW with southerlies as a result. The southerlies strengthen at T+144 as the lows merge and deepen to the west. |
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