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uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
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Here is a summary of the latest NWP output for noon on Friday. Issued 0535z,
27 June 06. The models are mixed today. There are signs from the GFS and ECM that initially warm and settled conditions will give way to showery rain pushing up from the south by the start of next week, although MetO is less keen. Nonetheless, at present the most likely option is for things to turn less settled by next Monday. ECMWF: http://85.214.49.20/pics/Recm1201.gif A ridge from the east covers the UK, bringing easterlies to England and Wales with southerlies elsewhere. Easterlies cover most areas at T+144 as pressure falls to the south and by day 7 the easterlies strengthen. MetO: http://85.214.49.20/pics/Rukm1201.gif The MetO run shows a llow to the NW bringing SW'lies to Scotland and Northern Ireland. England and Wales and lie under a col and light winds. Most of the UK lies under a col at T+144 with the exception of East Anglia and SE England, which are affected by a shallow low. GFS: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Rtavn1201.png The UK lies under SE'lies, with complex low pressure to the south and SW and a high to the NE. The lows merge and move northwards at T+144, leading to easterlies and ESE'lies for the UK. Easterlies persist at T+168 as the low becomes complex again, with centres to the SE and SW. GEM: http://meteocentre.com/models/glb00_120.html Low pressure is centred to the WNW and a secondary low lies to the SW. Winds are southerlies across the UK as a result. JMA: http://85.214.49.20/pics/Rjma1201.gif The Japanese run shows a col and light winds for all. NOGAPS: http://85.214.49.20/pics/Rngp1201.gif NGP brings a trough over Ireland and southerlies or SSE'lies affect the UK as a result. |
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