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uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
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#1
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The latest run of the GFS displaying what many would regard as a perfect
winter scenario. http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn2883.gif A high moving from the east into Scandinavia and a strong, long and cold easterly fetch for the UK. Shame its 12 days out. But we can dream. Alex. บบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบ Conditions in Wishaw @ 3:45pm , 27/1/05 Temperature 6.6 ฐC. Dew point 2.1 บC. 73.0 %RH Mean wind speed 1 mph from the North . Gusting to 3 mph. 0.0 mm precipitation in the past hour. Cloud cover: Partly cloudy. MSLP 1029.3 mb, Falling . Remarks: Lovely, sunny day. Today's Max. 8.1 ฐC at 1:36pm . Today's min. -1.2 ฐC at 8:44am . Today's rain 0.0 mm Wishaw, North Lanarkshire, Scotland N55บ47'14", W3บ55'15". 360ft/117m amsl http://www.alex114.pwp.blueyonder.co.uk/ บบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบ |
#2
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Give it a chance
![]() One day the models will have to be right if you do a statisical model of a statistical model the probability of an event occouring is 0 and this could be it *please* liam "Alex Stephens Jr" wrote in message ... The latest run of the GFS displaying what many would regard as a perfect winter scenario. http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn2883.gif A high moving from the east into Scandinavia and a strong, long and cold easterly fetch for the UK. Shame its 12 days out. But we can dream. Alex. บบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบ Conditions in Wishaw @ 3:45pm , 27/1/05 Temperature 6.6 ฐC. Dew point 2.1 บC. 73.0 %RH Mean wind speed 1 mph from the North . Gusting to 3 mph. 0.0 mm precipitation in the past hour. Cloud cover: Partly cloudy. MSLP 1029.3 mb, Falling . Remarks: Lovely, sunny day. Today's Max. 8.1 ฐC at 1:36pm . Today's min. -1.2 ฐC at 8:44am . Today's rain 0.0 mm Wishaw, North Lanarkshire, Scotland N55บ47'14", W3บ55'15". 360ft/117m amsl http://www.alex114.pwp.blueyonder.co.uk/ บบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบ |
#3
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![]() "Alex Stephens Jr" wrote in message ... The latest run of the GFS displaying what many would regard as a perfect winter scenario. http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn2883.gif A high moving from the east into Scandinavia and a strong, long and cold easterly fetch for the UK. Shame its 12 days out. But we can dream. Alex. That situation is evident for the south after 7 days on the GFS but I suspect that is a close as it will get. Alan |
#4
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![]() "Alex Stephens Jr" wrote in message ... The latest run of the GFS displaying what many would regard as a perfect winter scenario. http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn2883.gif A high moving from the east into Scandinavia and a strong, long and cold easterly fetch for the UK. Shame its 12 days out. But we can dream. Alex. 27/12Z DT GFS has a similar idea. Best of luck to Will for his forecast tonight....! Joe |
#5
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About 3 weeks left, after that it's to late.
Keith (Southend) *********************** Weather Home & Abroad http://www.southendweather.net On Thu, 27 Jan 2005 16:43:29 -0000, "Alan Gardiner" wrote: "Alex Stephens Jr" wrote in message ... The latest run of the GFS displaying what many would regard as a perfect winter scenario. http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn2883.gif A high moving from the east into Scandinavia and a strong, long and cold easterly fetch for the UK. Shame its 12 days out. But we can dream. Alex. That situation is evident for the south after 7 days on the GFS but I suspect that is a close as it will get. Alan |
#6
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If I had a pound for every time........... ;-)
Dave "Alex Stephens Jr" wrote in message ... The latest run of the GFS displaying what many would regard as a perfect winter scenario. http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn2883.gif A high moving from the east into Scandinavia and a strong, long and cold easterly fetch for the UK. Shame its 12 days out. But we can dream. Alex. บบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบ Conditions in Wishaw @ 3:45pm , 27/1/05 Temperature 6.6 ฐC. Dew point 2.1 บC. 73.0 %RH Mean wind speed 1 mph from the North . Gusting to 3 mph. 0.0 mm precipitation in the past hour. Cloud cover: Partly cloudy. MSLP 1029.3 mb, Falling . Remarks: Lovely, sunny day. Today's Max. 8.1 ฐC at 1:36pm . Today's min. -1.2 ฐC at 8:44am . Today's rain 0.0 mm Wishaw, North Lanarkshire, Scotland N55บ47'14", W3บ55'15". 360ft/117m amsl http://www.alex114.pwp.blueyonder.co.uk/ บบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบ |
#7
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http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn2883.gif
It's a beauty, there's no question about that! That said, it is somewhat hard to tell, at first glance, just from where that wind direction is coming from using slide 3. I would assume the east then, shall I?:-) Shame its 12 days out. But we can DREAM. ;-) I find it no coincidence that: 1. Since SEPTEMBER, almost, the SLRs have been calling February as "cold", per se, i.e.: NCEP in America, 2. This is happening just as we are nearing the solar minimum. As I said, we are CLOSE to mending the wrong that 2002 started, I am pleased to say!:-) :-( No, this is not a ramp. Just a reminder. In fact, I made a rather detailed post about back in NOVEMBER on The Weather Outlook forum. Try and dig it up - it's in one of the old "Winter Talk" threads, most likely before Justin Williams blew my cover.:-( D. |
#8
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![]() "Keith (Southend)" wrote in message news ![]() About 3 weeks left, after that it's to late. Not at all, our best winter for many many years started on 28th Feb http://www.wetterzentrale.de/archive...0120010227.gif Roads blocked for days, No electric for 5 days Big drifts, evening lows -10 to -18ฐC ......absolute chaos! Take a look at the archive gfs for this period, it was a low over Norway that decided to tracked back accross the North Sea, These retrogressions (I think thats the right word) don't happen often, but when they do it is always interesting! |
#9
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That produced a snowstorm to remember here Stuart. Severe drifting and 18
inches of snow, Followed by severe frosts on the next few nights (-13.1บC was the low at this site). I'm not so sure it was anything to write home about in Keith's neck of the woods though? But I would have to say that particular winter started long before late February, with a very memorable Christmas period (late december 2000). There was 4 inches of snow here on that instance and more remakably, more than 120 continuous hours of sub-zero temperatures. Alex. บบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบ Wishaw, North Lanarkshire, Scotland N55บ47'14", W3บ55'15". 360ft/117m amsl http://www.alex114.pwp.blueyonder.co.uk/ บบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบ "Stuart" wrote in message ... Not at all, our best winter for many many years started on 28th Feb http://www.wetterzentrale.de/archive...0120010227.gif Roads blocked for days, No electric for 5 days Big drifts, evening lows -10 to -18ฐC ......absolute chaos! Take a look at the archive gfs for this period, it was a low over Norway that decided to tracked back accross the North Sea, These retrogressions (I think thats the right word) don't happen often, but when they do it is always interesting! |
#10
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Ah
they got Christmas snow right at 12 days ahead!! Rob Farsley "Alex Stephens Jr" wrote in message ... The latest run of the GFS displaying what many would regard as a perfect winter scenario. http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn2883.gif A high moving from the east into Scandinavia and a strong, long and cold easterly fetch for the UK. Shame its 12 days out. But we can dream. Alex. บบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบ Conditions in Wishaw @ 3:45pm , 27/1/05 Temperature 6.6 ฐC. Dew point 2.1 บC. 73.0 %RH Mean wind speed 1 mph from the North . Gusting to 3 mph. 0.0 mm precipitation in the past hour. Cloud cover: Partly cloudy. MSLP 1029.3 mb, Falling . Remarks: Lovely, sunny day. Today's Max. 8.1 ฐC at 1:36pm . Today's min. -1.2 ฐC at 8:44am . Today's rain 0.0 mm Wishaw, North Lanarkshire, Scotland N55บ47'14", W3บ55'15". 360ft/117m amsl http://www.alex114.pwp.blueyonder.co.uk/ บบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบ |
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