Just wondering after yesterdays record temps and forecasts for the next few
days looking very warm of the likelihood of this July beating the July 1983
record.

Any thoughts?

Mike P. wrote:
Just wondering after yesterdays record temps and forecasts for the next few
days looking very warm of the likelihood of this July beating the July 1983
record.

Any thoughts?

The mean temperature for the month so far here (including an
assumed max of 29 today) is 19.8° whereas the warmest month (July
1983) had a mean of 20.1°C. To beat that the mean here for the next
11 days will have to be 20.8°C, which looks possible. (Say a mean max
of 27 and a mean min of 15). Of course even if this happens the July
CET record may not be broken but probably would be.

Tudor Hughes, Warlingham, NE Surrey, 556 ft.

Tudor Hughes wrote:
Mike P. wrote:
Just wondering after yesterdays record temps and forecasts for the next few
days looking very warm of the likelihood of this July beating the July 1983
record.

Any thoughts?


Here, my mean max so far this month is identical to July 1983 so far
(26.8°C) but my mean minimum is well down, 11.9°C vs 14.8°C in 1983.
As a result the mean temperature to date is over 1 degC lower than July
1983's monthly mean.

Now that may not be the case everywhere, because we have caught a few
(very welcome!) cool nights this month, probably because of the rural
location - some of the local towns have had much higher minima on
several nights and the difference may not be so great elsewhere. Of
course, the next few days may well bring some very warm nights - oh joy
:-( - and this might redress the balance somewhat. But I think without
quite a few warm nights to come as well as warm days, we may struggle
to reach 1983's CET mean ...

Stephen Burt
Stratfield Mortimer, Berkshire