http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/5219848.stm

Any comments on this?
From the models I have seen, it looks like being cooler, perhaps actually
*below* average for a time next week. Then the GFS at least seems to
buiild high pressure back in again. But that's more than a week off.
--
Col

Bolton, Lancashire
160m asl

Col wrote:

http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/5219848.stm

Any comments on this?
From the models I have seen, it looks like being cooler, perhaps actually
*below* average for a time next week. Then the GFS at least seems to
buiild high pressure back in again. But that's more than a week off.


I think this line from the article says it all.
"Statistically August tends to be hotter than July."

--
Gareth

"Gareth Slee" wrote in message
. ..
Col wrote:

http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/5219848.stm

Any comments on this?
From the models I have seen, it looks like being cooler, perhaps actually
*below* average for a time next week. Then the GFS at least seems to
buiild high pressure back in again. But that's more than a week off.


I think this line from the article says it all.
"Statistically August tends to be hotter than July."

Yup, that's right. A meaningless statement as regards the liklihood this
August being hotter
than an already exceptionally hot July. But most people will read that as
being that it
is *likely* to be hotter.
--
Col

Bolton, Lancashire
160m asl

I was told by our recptionist that it would be 40 degrees this weeked,
she claimed to have read it in the newspaer, didn't ask which one. I
have given up trying to tell people not to believe all they read in the
red tops.

Col wrote:
"Gareth Slee" wrote in message
. ..
Col wrote:

http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/5219848.stm

Any comments on this?
From the models I have seen, it looks like being cooler, perhaps actually
*below* average for a time next week. Then the GFS at least seems to
buiild high pressure back in again. But that's more than a week off.


I think this line from the article says it all.
"Statistically August tends to be hotter than July."

Yup, that's right. A meaningless statement as regards the liklihood this
August being hotter
than an already exceptionally hot July. But most people will read that as
being that it
is *likely* to be hotter.
--
Col

Bolton, Lancashire
160m asl

I was told by our recptionist that it would reach 45 degrees during August. Any advances? ;-)

Gareth Slee wrote:



I think this line from the article says it all.
"Statistically August tends to be hotter than July."

--
Gareth

Even that statement is wrong. July is warmer than August in
all except the far west of the UK and Ireland. Maybe that's what you
meant. :-)

Tudor Hughes.

"Tudor Hughes" wrote in message
oups.com...

Gareth Slee wrote:



I think this line from the article says it all.
"Statistically August tends to be hotter than July."

--
Gareth

Even that statement is wrong. July is warmer than August in
all except the far west of the UK and Ireland. Maybe that's what you
meant. :-)

I must admit, after I posted my reply I thought that.
Perhaps not by much, half a degree or so?
--
Col

Bolton, Lancashire
160m asl

Gareth Slee wrote:
Col wrote:

http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/5219848.stm

Any comments on this?
From the models I have seen, it looks like being cooler, perhaps actually
*below* average for a time next week. Then the GFS at least seems to
buiild high pressure back in again. But that's more than a week off.


I think this line from the article says it all.
"Statistically August tends to be hotter than July."

We have a couple of bona fide nice weather spells coming up in August
with the phases from the 9th and the 31st. I will be watching for rain
in the SE of England during those spells. Tey will explain a lot about
what I have written in the past about the shipping bulletin the BBC
used to produce when the BBC was a service.

But why are July and August so hot? Do they remember something about
June? Or is it that both Siberian/Scandinavian ridges and Azores Highs
tend to wabble our way a lot in those months?

"Tudor Hughes" wrote in message
oups.com...

Gareth Slee wrote:



I think this line from the article says it all.
"Statistically August tends to be hotter than July."

--
Gareth

Even that statement is wrong. July is warmer than August in
all except the far west of the UK and Ireland. Maybe that's what you
meant. :-)

Tudor Hughes.


In Haytor average July max. is 18.6 deg C
Average August max. is 18.4 deg C

I don't buy newspapers but I heard about the Sexpress headline :-)

Will.
--

"Will Hand" wrote in message
...

"Tudor Hughes" wrote in message
oups.com...

Gareth Slee wrote:



I think this line from the article says it all.
"Statistically August tends to be hotter than July."

--
Gareth

Even that statement is wrong. July is warmer than August in
all except the far west of the UK and Ireland. Maybe that's what you
meant. :-)

Tudor Hughes.


In Haytor average July max. is 18.6 deg C
Average August max. is 18.4 deg C

I don't buy newspapers but I heard about the Sexpress headline :-)

It is now generally accepted at work that it's going to be even hotter
in August than in July. I do what I can to to dispel this 'fact' but it's
a hopeless task.....
--
Col

Bolton, Lancashire
160m asl