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Old September 10th 06, 03:36 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Hurricane 'Florence' closing on Bermudan waters

From Miami - latest (15Z) .....

HOWEVER...IN THE PAST HOUR OR TWO THE EYE APPEARS TO HAVE
BECOME BETTER DEFINED. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER
AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM AROUND 1800 UTC
TODAY AND SHOULD PROVIDE A BETTER ASSESSMENT OF THE INTENSITY.
CIRRUS OUTFLOW IS WELL DEFINED EXCEPT TO THE EAST...AND FLORENCE
WILL BE TRAVERSING SSTS 28 DEGREES CELSIUS OR HIGHER FOR THE NEXT
24 HOURS. STRENGTHENING IS THEREFORE FORECAST AND FLORENCE COULD
BE A STRONG CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE WHEN IT IS NEAR BERMUDA.
AFTERWARDS...INCREASING SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR AND COOLER SSTS SHOULD
IMPART A GRADUAL WEAKENING. HOWEVER... FLORENCE IS EXPECTED TO
REMAIN A VERY LARGE AND POWERFUL CYCLONE ONCE IT UNDERGOES
EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IN ABOUT 72 HOURS.

and Kindley Field beginning to feel the 'outer' effects of the
approaching storm.

TXKF 101504Z 10021G28KT 2SM -TSRA SCT014CB BKN020 BKN050 OVC100 A2984
RMK OCNL LTG ASOCTD CB EMBDD SE-W SLP104
TXKF 101455Z 09019G30KT 3SM -TSRA SCT014CB BKN022 BKN048 OVC100 27/26
A2985 RMK OCNL LTG ASOCTD EMBDD CB SE-W SLP107
TXKF 101414Z 10023G30KT 8SM TS VCSH SCT015CB BKN023 BKN080 OVC120 A2986
RMK CB EMBDD APRX 15 SE-SW SLP111
TXKF 101355Z 10019G26KT 8SM SCT015 BKN075 OVC120 27/26 A2985 RMK HZ
SLP110 Satellite imagery he-
(VIS)http://www.goes.noaa.gov/HURRLOOPS/huvsloop.htmlLinks to sites from
Q/A 3.19 of the FAQ

(and no doubt it will have an impact on our weather in a few days time -
despite the forecaster trying to hide it behind his shoulder at
lunchtime!)

Martin.


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