Here is a summary of the latest NWP output for noon on Wednesday. Issued
0549z, 16 September 2006.

The models show a wet and windy spell for the middle of the week with low
pressure close by. After that things diverge, with the GFS showing
increasingly settled conditions moving in.

ECMWF: http://85.214.49.20/pics/Recm1201.gif
A deep low lies to the west with strong SW'lies for all. The low fills as it
moves eastwards at T+144, with southerlies and SSW'lies for the UK. By T+168
the low lies over Shetland, leaving Scotland and Northern Ireland under
NW'lies. Elsewhere winds are light due to a col.

MetO: http://85.214.49.20/pics/Rukm1201.gif
The MetO run shows a southerly flow over the UK with low pressure to the
west. The low fills at T+144 with southerlies persisting.

GFS: http://expert.weatheronline.co.uk/pslv_frame.htm
A large and deep low is located to the WNW, bringing strong southerlies and
SSW'lies for the UK. The winds ease somewhat at T+144 as the low moves
NE'wards and by day 7 a weak ridge covers Scotland, with easterlies
elsewhere.

GEM: http://meteocentre.com/models/glb00_120.html
The Canadian run brings a trough over the UK with SSW'lies as a result.

JMA: http://85.214.49.20/pics/Rjma1201.gif
An intense low lies to the south of Iceland with a secondary low to the SW.
Strong to gale force SSW'lies cover the UK as a result.

NOGAPS: http://85.214.49.20/pics/Rngp1201.gif
NOGAPS brings low pressure to the west of Scotland, with SW'lies for the UK.