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uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
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Here is a summary of the latest NWP output for noon on Monday. Issued 0515z,
21 September 2006. The models are mixed today as the result of differences regarding ex-Helene. MetO brings wet and windy weather for all, whereas ECM is much more settled. At the moment it's looking like the north and west will see the wettest and windiest weather, with the south and east seeing much less in the way of rain. Temperatures will remain on the warm side. ECMWF: http://85.214.49.20/pics/Recm1201.gif High pressure covers the UK with light winds for all. There's little change for most at T+144, but by then a southerly wind picks up over Northern Ireland due to a low to the west. The low moves NNE'wards at T+168, bringing SW'lies to Scotland and Northern Ireland. Elsewhere a ridge brings light winds. MetO: http://85.214.49.20/pics/Rukm1201.gif The MetO run shows a low to the north and a deep low to the WSW. Winds are WSW'lies, strong in the north and moderate in the south. By T+144 a deep low lies to the west of Scotland with strong SW'lies for all. GFS: http://expert.weatheronline.co.uk/pslv_frame.htm A large high lies to the north with easterlies and ESE'lies for Scotland. Elsewhere winds are light due to a col, followed by further light winds at T+144 for England and Wales. A low lies to the WSW though and this brings southerlies to Scotland and Northern Ireland. By T+168 the low lies to the west of Ireland with southerlies for all. GEM: http://meteocentre.com/models/glb00_120.html Unavailable at time of issue. JMA: http://85.214.49.20/pics/Rjma1201.gif The Japanese run shows an easterly flow over the UK with a low over France and a high to the north. NOGAPS: http://85.214.49.20/pics/Rngp1201.gif Moderate SE'lies cover the UK as the result of a trough to the SW. |
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