Here is a summary of the latest NWP output for noon on Tuesday. Issued
0515z, 22 September 2006.

The models are mixed again as they continue to struggle with ex-Helene. For
the time being it looks like staying warm for the beginning of the week with
winds from a southerly quarter. The winds will be strongest in the west and
that's where the greatest risk of rain will be. Longer term it's likely
cooler westerlies will affect the UK, but as ever more runs are needed.

ECMWF: http://85.214.49.20/pics/Recm1201.gif
A deep low lies to the west of Ireland, leading to southerlies for all. The
winds become westerlies at T+144 as the low moves NNE'wards over Scotland.
There's little change at T+168 with low pressure to the north and westerlies
as a result.

MetO: http://85.214.49.20/pics/Rukm1201.gif
The MetO run shows a low to the west and southerlies for all as a result. A
trough moves NE'wards over Ireland at T+144, bringing stronger SSE'lies to
most areas.

GFS: http://expert.weatheronline.co.uk/pslv_frame.htm
A col covers much of the UK with light winds for all. The winds become
southerlies at T+144 as low pressure moves ENE'wards to the south of
Ireland. By T+168 the low fills over the English Channel with SE'lies for
England and Wales, southerlies for Scotland and variable winds for Northern
Ireland.

GEM: http://meteocentre.com/models/glb00_120.html
Unavailable at time of issue.

JMA: http://85.214.49.20/pics/Rjma1201.gif
The Japanese run shows a col and light winds for the UK.

NOGAPS: http://85.214.49.20/pics/Rngp1201.gif
A trough covers Scotland and low pressure lies to the west. Winds are
SW'lies and SSW'lies across the UK.