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This forecast represents the *PERSONAL OPINION* of the Chief forecaster at the
privately run Haytor meteorological office in Devon on how the weather may
unfold next week. The Chief forecaster will take no responsibility whatsoever
for any actions arising from its use. It is provided freely in the spirit of
freedom and the great love for meteorology that we personally enjoy and wish to
share freely with others.

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Summary valid for Sunday 24/09/06 to Saturday 30/09/06
TOI (time of issue) Friday 22/09/06 2100 UK local time

This summary is based on a quick appraisal of the GFS, JMA, ECMWF, UKMO, FAX,
and ENS (NCEP ensemble) labelled charts available from the superb
http://www.wetterzentrale.de/topkarten

Impossibly low confidence in the forecast this week after Tuesday. Up to Tuesday
moderately confident that it looks like staying warm with sunny spells and
showers after rain in the east on Sunday clears away. Showers locally heavy with
hail and thunder with winds becoming light and variable, but east or southeast
moderate or fresh on Sunday.

The weather after Tuesday depends on exactly where hurricane Helene ends up in
the Atlantic. At the moment there is no clear signal since even small
alterations in track make a very large difference. So, this is one of those rare
occasions when I have to say I don't know what is likely to happen as anything
could happen!

Will Hand

Chief Forecaster HMO/USW

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
A COL BH site in East Dartmoor at Haytor, Devon 310m asl (1017 feet).

mailto:
www: http://www.lyneside.demon.co.uk/Hayt...antage_Pro.htm

DISCLAIMER - All views and opinions expressed by myself are personal
and do not necessarily represent those of my employer.
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Will Hand wrote:

The weather after Tuesday depends on exactly where hurricane Helene ends up in
the Atlantic. At the moment there is no clear signal since even small
alterations in track make a very large difference. So, this is one of those rare
occasions when I have to say I don't know what is likely to happen as anything
could happen!

Will Hand

Chief Forecaster HMO/USW

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
A COL BH site in East Dartmoor at Haytor, Devon 310m asl (1017 feet).

mailto:
www: http://www.lyneside.demon.co.uk/Hayt...antage_Pro.htm

DISCLAIMER - All views and opinions expressed by myself are personal
and do not necessarily represent those of my employer.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------



Thanks for your honesty Will :-)

Regards
--
Keith (Southend)
http://www.southendweather.net
e-mail: kreh at southendweather dot net

On Fri, 22 Sep 2006 20:43:21 +0100, "Will Hand"
wrote:


So, this is one of those rare
occasions when I have to say I don't know what is likely to happen as anything
could happen!

I will be amazed if the expression 'not at all sure' creeps in to the
Countryfile forecast.
I need rain this week to 'freshen up' some of the Mendip caves that
tend to become very smelly and oppressive in late summer. However,
dear old Sump 1 in Swildons rarely looks clean and exciting, no matter
what rain falls. Usually filthy brown with blobs of scum gently
drifting across the surface.
R

Keith (Southend) wrote:
Will Hand wrote:

The weather after Tuesday depends on exactly where hurricane Helene ends up in
the Atlantic. At the moment there is no clear signal since even small
alterations in track make a very large difference. So, this is one of those rare
occasions when I have to say I don't know what is likely to happen as anything
could happen!

Thanks for your honesty Will

Perhaps if the only deepish lows that make it to the North Atlantic are
the ex hurricanae and exextra tropicalii then the only course is the
present one. And that is: They are headed here and up to the Arctic.

This must be the weather in which the Plague of Gnats arrived at Egypt.
Bloody things.

Bloody gnats and damned foxes and those crane flies are a niusance too.

On 22 Sep 2006 18:45:39 -0700, "Weatherlawyer"
wrote:


those crane flies are a niusance too.

Not for long here- straight to my waving hoover nozzle. A quick
despatch!