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uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
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Here is a summary of the latest NWP output for noon on Thursday. Issued
0515z, 24 September 2006. The models continue to show a less settled outlook on the way, but there are large differences regarding the track and intensity of lows. ECMWF: http://85.214.49.20/pics/Recm1201.gif The UK lies under moderate westerlies with low pressure to the northwest. A trough approaches from the west at T+144 with SW'lies and WSW'lies for the UK. By T+168 low pressure deepens to the WSW, leading to southeriles for England and Wales with SE'lies elsewhere. MetO: http://85.214.49.20/pics/Rukm1201.gif The MetO run shows complex low pressure to the north, west and NW with strong westerlies and SW'lies over the UK. The winds ease at T+144 as the lows merge. GFS: http://expert.weatheronline.co.uk/pslv_frame.htm The UK lies under light westerlies with a weak trough across the British Isles. SSW'lies cover the UK at T+144 as a low fills to the west and by day 7 the low moves slowly ESE'wards, bringing SE'lies for all. GEM: http://meteocentre.com/models/glb00_120.html Complex low pressure lies to the west and NW with strong SW'lies as a result. JMA: http://85.214.49.20/pics/Rjma1201.gif The Japanese run shows a westerly flow for the UK with lows to the ENE and NW. NOGAPS: http://85.214.49.20/pics/Rngp1201.gif A trough is located to the north and this leads to WSW'lies for all. |
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