Here is a summary of the latest NWP output for noon on Thursday. Issued
0520z, 14 October 2006.

The runs continue to show a change but it's now looking like low pressure
will track over the UK instead of to the south. This means it's not looking
as cold as it was with yesterday's runs, but all areas will see some strong
winds and heavy rain.

ECMWF: http://85.214.49.20/pics/Recm1201.gif
Lows lie over the southern North Sea and to the SW of the UK, with NE'lies
as a result. The winds become lighter northerlies at T+144 as the latter low
moves eastwards over France. A trough moves over Scotland at T+168, leading
to WSW'lies for most areas.

MetO: http://85.214.49.20/pics/Rukm1201.gif
The MetO run shows low pressure over Ireland with southerlies across England
and Wales as a result. Elsewhere, winds are SE'lies.

GFS: http://expert.weatheronline.co.uk/pslv_frame.htm
Low pressure covers the English Channel, with NE'lies for all as a result.
The low deepens over England at T+144, leading to gale force NNE'lies across
Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland. By T+168 the low deepens further over
the North Sea, with strong to gale force northerlies and NW'lies for the UK.

GEM: http://meteocentre.com/models/glb00_120.html
Unavailable at time of issue.

JMA: http://85.214.49.20/pics/Rjma1201.gif
The Japanese run shows a mixture of southerlies and easterlies for the UK,
with a low to the SW and a deeper low to the west of Scotland.

NOGAPS: http://85.214.49.20/pics/Rngp1201.gif
A large low lies to the south of Ireland with a trough over northern
England. NE'ly gales cover Scotland and Northern Ireland, with lighter
SSE'lies elsewhere.