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uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
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#1
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Can anyone tell me if there is an average thickness value for each month
here in the UK? Thanks in advance. Gav. |
#2
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![]() "Gav" sat@home wrote in message ... Can anyone tell me if there is an average thickness value for each month here in the UK? Thanks in advance. Gav. Can't be much help, but I *do* know that the average for Dec, Jan and Feb is nowhere near 528dam! :-p |
#3
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In uk.sci.weather on Wed, 2 Feb 2005 at 15:27:39, Gav wrote :
Can anyone tell me if there is an average thickness value for each month here in the UK? I assume you are talking in meteorological terms, rather than intellectual? ![]() -- Paul Hyett, Cheltenham |
#4
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![]() "Gav" sat@home wrote in message ... Can anyone tell me if there is an average thickness value for each month here in the UK? Thanks in advance. Gav. .... I was hoping that someone in a big glassy building on the edge of Dartmoor might pop down to the Library and look these up, but they are all probably busy saving the Planet ;-) I don't have access to these data now - but unravelling (?) the various mean mslp/500/TTHK diffs charts that are published with the R.Met.Soc 'Weather Log', I've worked out some rough figures for the lowest and highest for two locations ... this is not an exercise I recommend for the sake of the eyes! Very small charts, small-scale etc. Treat these figures as a good guide without being gospel (fairly happy with a +/- 1 dam possible error). 1961-1990 [dam] Jan/Feb Jul/Aug Aberdeen area: 529 552 London area: 533 558 for a rough idea of *extremes* (read cautionary notes please) then use:- http://homepage.ntlworld.com/booty.weather/tthkxtrm.htm Martin. -- FAQ & Glossary for uk.sci.weather at:- http://homepage.ntlworld.com/booty.weather/uswfaqfr.htm |
#5
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"Gav" sat@home wrote ...
Can anyone tell me if there is an average thickness value for each month here in the UK? and I wrote: Treat these figures as a good guide without being gospel (fairly happy with a +/- 1 dam possible error). 1961-1990 [dam] Jan/Feb Jul/Aug Aberdeen area: 529 552 London area: 533 558 [ 'corrected/amended' ... see below ] I have now ploughed through the data available on the NOAA-CIRES Climate Diagnostics Centre site (http://www.cdc.noaa.gov/) : I'm not quite clear what averaging period was used though the implication is that it runs from:- 1968 to 1996, though elsewhere on the site, different periods are used. However, it looks as if my figures could do with a little amending, and I have also extracted monthly mean thickness values for a point roughly in the middle of the CET 'triangle' ..... see below. 1968-1996 [dam] Jan/Feb Jul/Aug Aberdeen area: 531 552(u/c) London area: 534 557 And for a notional point within the CET domain (see:- http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research...sdata/cet.html ) JAN 535 FEB 534 MAR 535 APR 538 MAY 544 JUN 551 JUL 555 AUG 556 SEP 552 OCT 548 NOV 541 DEC 538 Martin. -- FAQ & Glossary for uk.sci.weather at:- http://homepage.ntlworld.com/booty.weather/uswfaqfr.htm |
#6
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In article ,
Martin Rowley writes: snip I have now ploughed through the data available on the NOAA-CIRES Climate Diagnostics Centre site (http://www.cdc.noaa.gov/) : I'm not quite clear what averaging period was used though the implication is that it runs from:- 1968 to 1996, though elsewhere on the site, different periods are used. Thanks, Martin. I've noticed in the monthly charts of thickness anomalies covering most of the Northern Hemisphere that are published in weather log, that the areas of positive anomaly almost always seem to be much larger and more intense than those of negative anomaly, at least in the winter months. Those take 1961-90 as their reference. So I suspect that if one could compile a "running average" it would now be noticeably higher than either 1961-90 or 1968-96. Another effect of GW? -- John Hall Johnson: "Well, we had a good talk." Boswell: "Yes, Sir, you tossed and gored several persons." Dr Samuel Johnson (1709-84); James Boswell (1740-95) |
#7
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![]() "John Hall" wrote in message ... Thanks, Martin. I've noticed in the monthly charts of thickness anomalies covering most of the Northern Hemisphere that are published in weather log, that the areas of positive anomaly almost always seem to be much larger and more intense than those of negative anomaly, at least in the winter months. Those take 1961-90 as their reference. So I suspect that if one could compile a "running average" it would now be noticeably higher than either 1961-90 or 1968-96. Another effect of GW? ..... I've kept a log of crude difference from the 61-90 climatology using the 'Weather Log' charts for some years now. Looking at the 10 years 1995 to 2004, the overwhelming majority of months (no seasonal bias as far as I can detect) had +ve anomalies (wrt 61-90). Averaged over these 10 years, the difference (nearest half dam only .. the size/scale+ of the charts don't justify anything more accurate) was +1.5dam, representing an increase in the mean temperature through the layer ( 1000 mbar to 500 mbar ) of between 0.5 and 1.0C. Two of those years had consistent and dramatic excess over the LTA: 1997 and 2004 with anomalies of +3 dam (or roughly 1.5C increase in layer mean T). Only one year (1996) had a negative anomaly, though 2001 was close to zero. Whether all this is due to GW, or circulation change I'm not competent to say. However, I suggest that the size of the anomalies over a period of 10yr can't be put down just to 'random' variation, particularly when coupled to other studies which show an increase in lower tropospheric warmth, both by classic observation and proxy series. Martin. -- FAQ & Glossary for uk.sci.weather at:- http://homepage.ntlworld.com/booty.weather/uswfaqfr.htm |
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