uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged.

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Old October 21st 06, 04:31 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
Col Col is offline
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Default Next week's weather beginning 22/10/06


"Will Hand" wrote in message
...

"Col" wrote in message
...

"Will Hand" wrote in message
...



Agreed!
Can't wait to start burning my logs either.
Heating still not on as the house is maintaining a comfortable 15-16C
without it
in the mild conditions.


15-16C would be too cold for me however my heating has hardly been this
autumn so far. I'm still in shorts for heaven's sake, well if you count
those
three-quarter length pants as shorts
--


LOL do you have knobbly knees like me? :-)
You're doing better than I as I gave up shorts last month.


Nah, my legs are pretty fat to be honest
I discovered three-quarter length pants about a year ago and I
think they're great. At first I felt a bit silly as only kids seemed
to wear them but it seems like older people have followed
my lead

They're so much more comfortable than heavy jeans.
And versatile too. Depending on weather conditions you
can have 'em so that just a few inches of lower calf is
shown or they can be hoisted up to just below
the knee so that the entire lower leg is on display
--
Col

Bolton, Lancashire
160m asl



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Old October 22nd 06, 11:03 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Next week's weather beginning 22/10/06

Felly sgrifennodd Will Hand :
Don't worry Keith, it's me that's unusual.


Not unique though; I agree completely.

LOL when we have friends to stay they always bring big wooly jumpers.


I wouldn't!

Adrian
--
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Old October 22nd 06, 12:35 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Next week's weather beginning 22/10/06

In message , Will Hand
writes

"Keith (Southend)" wrote in message
...
Will Hand wrote:

Bedroom temperature is usually circa 10C in winter and around 15C in summer
which is just right for a good night's sleep.


Crickey, I'd freeze to death in those temperatures with my circulation !
Although I must admit the 20°c + I'm used to does have it's draw backs.
--


Don't worry Keith, it's me that's unusual.
LOL when we have friends to stay they always bring big wooly jumpers.

Will.
--


Not that unusual. I struggle to sleep if the temperature's much above
13C. We like the house to be between 16 and 20C with the bedroom around
10C and are beginning to seriously consider air conditioning for the
summer months as the last couple of summers have been unbearably hot.

Will
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Old October 23rd 06, 10:42 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Next week's weather beginning 22/10/06

Summary valid for Sunday 22/10/06 to Saturday 28/10/06
TOI (time of issue) Friday 20/10/06 1800 UK local time

This summary is based on a quick appraisal of the GFS, JMA, ECMWF, UKMO, FAX,
and ENS (NCEP ensemble) labelled charts available from the superb
http://www.wetterzentrale.de/topkarten

Well as hinted in last week's forecast when confidence on timing was low the
colder air is taking its time pushing south. However, I am still confident in
the sequence of colder air pushing south across Britain during next week, less
confident on when.

At least from Sunday to Tuesday it looks like we will have a continuation of
present conditions. that is, spells of rain, sometimes heavy, interspersed with
drier interludes. Winds generally light to moderate and variable in direction
with continued risk of fog at night. Temperatures generally above average with
pockets of ground frost at night. However, on Tuesday it should turn colder in
northern Scotland with temperatures falling during the day up there.

On Wednesday and Thursday there is a risk of strong to gale force
easterly winds
in the south with heavy rain otherwise slowly turning colder from the
north as a
moderate north or northwesterly breeze sets in. As the colder air spreads south
it should turn brighter with sunny spells and showers, showers mainly on
windward coasts and hills and turning wintry over the Highlands.


I wonder if the old weather 'memory effect' trick will ruin your
forecast again WIll? Could it be that the Dartmoore Office will have to
issue an apology for the late arrival of autumn, due to the wrong kind
of trough disruption on the isobar lines at Penzance.. ;-))

Keep up the good work
Cheers
James
--
James Brown
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Old October 23rd 06, 01:16 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Next week's weather beginning 22/10/06


"James Brown"
I wonder if the old weather 'memory effect' trick will ruin your forecast
again WIll? Could it be that the Dartmoore Office will have to issue an
apology for the late arrival of autumn, due to the wrong kind of trough
disruption on the isobar lines at Penzance.. ;-))

Keep up the good work
Cheers
James
--


The last few weeks have taken a knock on my confidence of the synoptic
charts beyond 48h. It just goes to show how difficult it is not just to
predict the detail, but general changes in the weather as well. I do a
review for work and the H+120 has sometimes shown little relation to the
analysis.
We all know that when it comes to winter conditions - you have to look at
H+24 for any real idea - and even then its far from a cert!

Phil




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Old October 23rd 06, 03:08 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Next week's weather beginning 22/10/06

The last few weeks have taken a knock on my confidence of the synoptic
charts beyond 48h. It just goes to show how difficult it is not just to
predict the detail, but general changes in the weather as well. I do a
review for work and the H+120 has sometimes shown little relation to the
analysis.
We all know that when it comes to winter conditions - you have to look at
H+24 for any real idea - and even then its far from a cert!

Phil


This is very true Phil. I am always amazed when the model predictions
e.g. the H+120 has proved spot on - and equally astonished with the
other scenario when another day's run update has turned the forecast on
its head. It would probably be more boring for us Brits if we could
always be so certain though - what would become of our newsgroup?!!

Cheers
James
--
James Brown


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