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uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
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#1
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This may go slightly off topic in some aspects and I'll try to be brief
in my thoughts and concerns, but I don't know whether it's guilt or just a case of not being able to make sense of it, that I can't get it out of my head, hence the posting as I present myself on usw's couch for therapy :-) It appears to me "we" are saying one thing and doing another in the wide scheme of things. On one hand we are getting a daily bashing about the greenhouse emission we are all producing with our cars, homes and planes etc, yet how ever much we as individuals can reduce our own levels, both the increase in usage and global spread of industrialization turns the ratio into a one step forward two steps back scenario. Only this week the European Countries have been putting pressure on Putin (Russia) about securing a free market and subsequent supplies of Gas from the east. Have we now come to the point where the UK/Europe can no longer support itself with the fossil fuels it requires and will depend more and more on Countries further afield? Politically this is extremely worrying and is the makings of wars in the big scheme of things if things spiral out of control for whatever reason. The Iraq conflict arguably fits into this scenario. A big question in my mind is how many years has the planet got left of fossil fuels (Gas/Oil in particular ?) What ever the figure, surely assuming we burn the lot, we have then reached the maximum possible emissions of Co2 output and the scientists nightmare scenario is far worse than it is now. What worries me is I can't see an answer, it will only stop when mankind starts to wipe itself out, or more than likely the planet we have on loan. I really don't see any viable alternative energy sources that will seriously feel the gap for our needs and as for the greenhouse tax's, what a joke, meaningless, it doesn't stop the emissions! I'm sure someone (or two) will put me straight on some of my thoughts, tell me i don't know what I'm talking about as far as a fuel crisis is concerned or say I'm a fascist or something grin, but I just don't see how "we" are going to stop this roller coaster ride of global warming. -- Keith (Southend) http://www.southendweather.net e-mail: kreh at southendweather dot net |
#2
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In message , "Keith (Southend)"
writes A big question in my mind is how many years has the planet got left of fossil fuels (Gas/Oil in particular ?) What ever the figure, surely assuming we burn the lot, we have then reached the maximum possible emissions of Co2 output and the scientists nightmare scenario is far worse than it is now. There's huge amounts of fossil fuels apart from conventional oil and gas. There's coal. There's oil shales and tar sands. There's orimulsion. (I recently saw a statement that the Orinoco Belt, not the Persian Gulf, has the world's largest oil reserves, which I guess comes down to whether or not you count orimulsion.) There's methane clathrates. We might run out of clean and cheap fossil fuels, but we aren't going to run out of fossil fuels in general in the near future. -- Stewart Robert Hinsley |
#3
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Keith (Southend) wrote:
This may go slightly off topic in some aspects and I'll try to be brief in my thoughts and concerns [...] A big question in my mind is how many years has the planet got left of fossil fuels (Gas/Oil in particular ?) What ever the figure, surely assuming we burn the lot, we have then reached the maximum possible emissions of Co2 output and the scientists nightmare scenario is far worse than it is now. There remains (allegedly) 30+ years of oil and gas in the North Sea. The plan is indeed to burn the lot. There is also a plan to do so using a carbon capture method, with my local power station destined to be the first to be converted. I have no view on whether carbon capture 'works' in planetary terms. What worries me is I can't see an answer, it will only stop when mankind starts to wipe itself out, or more than likely the planet we have on loan. It is not unreasonable that if 'we' mess with the planetary systems, then the systems will in turn mess with us. It seems that evolution demands extinction at some point, especially for species with no other form of population limitation controls (no predators). If that is the case, then it does not need to be worried about. I really don't see any viable alternative energy sources that will seriously feel the gap for our needs and as for the greenhouse tax's, what a joke, meaningless, it doesn't stop the emissions! Again, population explosion may be considered the cause, rather than the emissions themselves. By that, I mean it is the scale of say the CO2, not the CO2. I think some 20% of Scotland's energy is from 'alternative' sources, and given that Scotland produces several times more energy than it uses, it is a good model for viable alternatives. However, electricity is of less use if the oil runs out as many electrical devices are made from oil products. I note that 'people' do not want wind farms etc., but they don't want nuclear power stations either, or even 'ordinary' power stations. My local power station is large and unsightly, warms the sea locally and affects wildlife, and its chimney belches yellow smoke occasionally, and it (the chimmney) is visible for miles around. Equally, 'people' do not want the lights to go out but do not want to do anything about it. I'm sure someone (or two) will put me straight on some of my thoughts, Not me! -- Gianna |
#4
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It's probably stupid idealistic naiveity but I've often wondered why
renewables can't eventually produce 100% of the world's energy requirements. Enough pump storage systems could surely buffer the demands of the 'Eastenders' broadcast on a cold Boxing day. Enough tidal power systems would surely provide an entirely predictable power generation source most of the time. Enough investment into Hydrogen fuel systems for our automobile usage etc would mean zero CO2 outputs in the long term. Leaving the oil for making children's toys. Ross ------------------------------------------------- I think some 20% of Scotland's energy is from 'alternative' sources, and given that Scotland produces several times more energy than it uses, it is a good model for viable alternatives. However, electricity is of less use if the oil runs out as many electrical devices are made from oil products. Gianna |
#5
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![]() "newsposter" wrote in message ... It's probably stupid idealistic naiveity but I've often wondered why renewables can't eventually produce 100% of the world's energy requirements. Enough pump storage systems could surely buffer the demands of the 'Eastenders' broadcast on a cold Boxing day. Enough tidal power systems would surely provide an entirely predictable A company which operates near here - http://www.engb.com/ has spent a lot of their own and gov money on tidal energy. They have concluded that it is not a viable source of significant amounts of energy David b |
#6
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David B wrote:
"newsposter" wrote in message ... It's probably stupid idealistic naiveity but I've often wondered why renewables can't eventually produce 100% of the world's energy requirements. Enough pump storage systems could surely buffer the demands of the 'Eastenders' broadcast on a cold Boxing day. Enough tidal power systems would surely provide an entirely predictable A company which operates near here - http://www.engb.com/ has spent a lot of their own and gov money on tidal energy. They have concluded that it is not a viable source of significant amounts of energy Meanwhile, at Scapa Flow, the reverse applies and wave energy is considered both viable and highly significant. The possibility of exporting surplus to the mainland (Europe) has been mentioned. -- Gianna (in the interests of balance) |
#7
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Global warming does not have to be a problem for mankind as long as we
prepare for what we will need to do to adapt, and start preparing now. I think we are too far gone to stop anthropogenic global warming, not with the likes of China and India only now just beginning to come online economically. They will follow the easiest route to industrialisation, which is burning fossil fuels, and we can't deny them that route. It does'nt mean that we should not bother to take into greater consideration the environment today, I just think we now need to prepare and realise that we are going to have to face the repurcussions of past and present industrialisation. I think we'll need to learn to accept and adapt to the fact that we're going to lose large areas of several of our major cities to the sea, we'll lose our present landscape as trees die etc, not being able to deal with the speed of the change, but agriculturally by changing the crops we use, in areas of the world where agriculture remains or newly becomes viable, it is feasable we could manage. I reckon global warming will no doubt cause conflict, but if we are going to adapt and survive the world will have to take globalisation up a gear and come togethor politically globally, so that we can work togethor so that people don't starve in some countries (while other countries reap the benefits, e.g more advantagous growing seasons). Who knows, us guys in the UK may all have to move to Spain or North Africa to escape those advancing glaciers if the Gulf Stream shuts off, that will take a fair bit of political co-operation! I saw a programme a BBC couple of years ago which said that mankind was nearly wiped out by some natural disaster tens of thousand years ago (may have been disease), and numbers fell to just a couple of thousand, only the strongest most adaptable and innovative survived. But with foresight (we know it's probably on its way), science, technology, and political dexterity, we have developed the tools over the past 6,000 years to limit the natural repurcussions we will experience in the new few hundred years. Realistically I think it's going to take a few more Hurricane Katrina style wake up calls before the poilticians are driven into action because the people have the will. Unfortunately the biggest losers will be the flora and fauna, that won't be able to adapt, we're probably going to see a lot of diversity being destroyed, and the world will be a lot duller for it. But for mankind I think there will be winners and losers. And it will be a valuable test for how to deal with natural climate change when that eventually happens! "Gianna" wrote in message ... David B wrote: "newsposter" wrote in message ... It's probably stupid idealistic naiveity but I've often wondered why renewables can't eventually produce 100% of the world's energy requirements. Enough pump storage systems could surely buffer the demands of the 'Eastenders' broadcast on a cold Boxing day. Enough tidal power systems would surely provide an entirely predictable A company which operates near here - http://www.engb.com/ has spent a lot of their own and gov money on tidal energy. They have concluded that it is not a viable source of significant amounts of energy Meanwhile, at Scapa Flow, the reverse applies and wave energy is considered both viable and highly significant. The possibility of exporting surplus to the mainland (Europe) has been mentioned. -- Gianna (in the interests of balance) |
#8
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![]() "Gianna" wrote in message ... David B wrote: "newsposter" wrote in message ... It's probably stupid idealistic naiveity but I've often wondered why renewables can't eventually produce 100% of the world's energy requirements. Enough pump storage systems could surely buffer the demands of the 'Eastenders' broadcast on a cold Boxing day. Enough tidal power systems would surely provide an entirely predictable A company which operates near here - http://www.engb.com/ has spent a lot of their own and gov money on tidal energy. They have concluded that it is not a viable source of significant amounts of energy Meanwhile, at Scapa Flow, the reverse applies and wave energy is considered both viable and highly significant. The possibility of exporting surplus to the mainland (Europe) has been mentioned. -- Gianna (in the interests of balance) You got a reference I could look at. Google comes up mainly with academic references The Engineering Business did a lot of testing on Orkney David B |
#9
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Some useful references are in this document.
http://www.wave-energy.net/Library/T...Renewables.pdf quoting "The accessible resource (wave power) in deep water was estimated to be 600-700 TWh/year and that for the nearshore at 100-140 TWh/year." "The accessible tidal stream resource for the most suitable sites in the UK (including the Channel Islands) is estimated to be approximately 36 TWh/year." So, the potential harvest is enormous & only limited by technology, investment and nimbyism. One little bonus of tidal and wave systems I'd also guess is the possibilty of creating a safe haven for North Sea fish stocks to regenerate without dredge netting pressure. That should please the puffin-watchers ;o) . From wiki : - By 2004, total electricity production stood at 382.7 TWh (up 23.7% compared to 309.4 TWh in 1990), generated from the following sources: a.. gas - 39.93% (0.05% in 1990) b.. coal - 33.08% (67.22% in 1990) c.. nuclear - 19.26% (18.97% in 1990) d.. renewables - 3.55% (0% in 1990) e.. hydroelectric - 1.10% (2.55% in 1990) f.. imports - 1.96% (3.85% in 1990) g.. oil - 1.12% (6.82% in 1990) Ross "David B" wrote in message news ![]() "Gianna" wrote in message ... David B wrote: "newsposter" wrote in message ... It's probably stupid idealistic naiveity but I've often wondered why renewables can't eventually produce 100% of the world's energy requirements. Enough pump storage systems could surely buffer the demands of the 'Eastenders' broadcast on a cold Boxing day. Enough tidal power systems would surely provide an entirely predictable A company which operates near here - http://www.engb.com/ has spent a lot of their own and gov money on tidal energy. They have concluded that it is not a viable source of significant amounts of energy Meanwhile, at Scapa Flow, the reverse applies and wave energy is considered both viable and highly significant. The possibility of exporting surplus to the mainland (Europe) has been mentioned. -- Gianna (in the interests of balance) You got a reference I could look at. Google comes up mainly with academic references The Engineering Business did a lot of testing on Orkney David B |
#10
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Keith (Southend) wrote:
[...] What worries me is I can't see an answer, it will only stop when mankind starts to wipe itself out, or more than likely the planet we have on loan. I really don't see any viable alternative energy sources that will seriously feel the gap for our needs and as for the greenhouse tax's, what a joke, meaningless, it doesn't stop the emissions! I'm sure someone (or two) will put me straight on some of my thoughts, tell me i don't know what I'm talking about as far as a fuel crisis is concerned or say I'm a fascist or something grin, but I just don't see how "we" are going to stop this roller coaster ride of global warming. And suddenly, a solution was at hand ... http://www.ananova.com/news/story/sm_2033071.html?menu= .... or not. -- Gianna |
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