**NOTE: This is the last analysis to be issued in the current format.
Feedback on TWO and uk.sci.weather has been overwhelmingly in favour of a
potential revamp and the first of the new style analyses will be issued on
Sunday. (I'll be leaving for the wolf centre at 4:45z tomorrow, so no
analysis will be issued.)**

Here is a summary of the latest NWP output for noon on Tuesday. Issued
0514z, 27 October 2006.

There will be a big change next week with much colder weather for all for
the start of the month. High pressure near Greenland will bring a northerly
plunge and as the high "topples" over the UK towards the end of the week
widespread frosts are likely.

ECMWF: http://85.214.49.20/pics/Recm1201.gif
NNW'lies cover the UK, with a deep low over Scandinavia and a ridge to the
west. The ridge moves over the UK at T+144, leaving to easterlies for
Northern Ireland and northerlies elsewhere. The ridge declines on day 7,
bringing NW'lies to Scotland and northern England with easterlies elsewhere.

MetO: http://85.214.49.20/pics/Rukm1201.gif
The MetO run shows a high to the NW and a mixture of northerlies and NW'lies
for the UK.

GFS: http://expert.weatheronline.co.uk/pslv_frame.htm
High pressure extends southwards from Greenland to the west of the UK, while
low pressure lies to the east of the UK. Winds are strong to gale force;
northerlies for Scotland and Northern Ireland with NW'lies elsewhere. The
high moves eastwards at T+144 with northerlies for all, followed by lighter
NW'lies at T+168 as the high declines over Ireland.

GEM: http://meteocentre.com/models/glb00_120.html
Unavailable at time of issue.

JMA: http://85.214.49.20/pics/Rjma1201.gif
The Japanese run shows a deep low to the north and westerlies for all.

NOGAPS: http://85.214.49.20/pics/Rngp1201.gif
Westerlies cover the UK, with a deep low to the north (much the samne as the
JMA).

In uk.sci.weather on Fri, 27 Oct 2006, Darren Prescott
wrote :

Here is a summary of the latest NWP output for noon on Tuesday. Issued
0514z, 27 October 2006.

There will be a big change next week with much colder weather for all for
the start of the month. High pressure near Greenland will bring a northerly
plunge and as the high "topples" over the UK towards the end of the week
widespread frosts are likely.

I'll believe that when I see it.
--
Paul Hyett, Cheltenham (change 'invalid83261' to 'blueyonder' to email me)