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uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
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#1
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Deep low 950-955 hPa moving east across northern Scotland late Tues into Weds.
Hint of Atlantic upper contour wavelength lengthening, increasing the chances of cold air incursions from the north. Fits in with earlier ideas of decreasing contour heights from ensembles and a possible stormy period which I mentioned yesterday. Interest is back ON guys! I'm all a tingly now :-) At least till the 18Z run :-) Will. -- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- A COL BH site in East Dartmoor at Haytor, Devon 310m asl (1017 feet). mailto: www: http://www.lyneside.demon.co.uk/Hayt...antage_Pro.htm DISCLAIMER - All views and opinions expressed by myself are personal and do not necessarily represent those of my employer. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- |
#2
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03/01/2007 17:48:48
Will Hand wrote in message Deep low 950-955 hPa moving east across northern Scotland late Tues into Weds. Hint of Atlantic upper contour wavelength lengthening, increasing the chances of cold air incursions from the north. Fits in with earlier ideas of decreasing contour heights from ensembles and a possible stormy period which I mentioned yesterday. Interest is back ON guys! I'm all a tingly now :-) At least till the 18Z run :-) Will. -- -------------------------------------------------------------------- ----------- A COL BH site in East Dartmoor at Haytor, Devon 310m asl (1017 feet). mailto: www: www.lyneside.demon.co. uk/Haytor/automatic/Current_Vantage_Pro.htm DISCLAIMER - All views and opinions expressed by myself are personal and do not necessarily represent those of my employer. -------------------------------------------------------------------- ----------- Interest never really been away Will ... but a bit like the proverbial carrot, with the prospect of an arctic outbreak apparently always from day seven onwards! Certainly the GFX is offering great promise for the middle of next week! Unfortunately my statistical data (32 years) doesn't re-enforce this, with the coldest period in January (for Fair Isle) tending to be towards the end of January (27th). However as the 'cold' post- Christmas singularity failed to show I'm hopeful that we could well see winter however briefly! Samuel Polson in his excellent analysis "Northern Weather Calendar" (SIC 1984), suggests three cold January spells - 1st-9th, mid month with a peak around the 18th, and a cold end to the month peaking around the 30th (my 27th?). Initial analysis suggests that this is the mildest December recorded on Fair Isle since records began in 1974! Dave Fair Isle |
#3
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Living in the area not sure I fully concur with the enthusiasm, a similar
deep low almost 2 years to the day killed 5 people and caused an immense amount of damage. Alan www.carbostweather.co.uk "Dave Wheeler" wrote in message t... 03/01/2007 17:48:48 Will Hand wrote in message Deep low 950-955 hPa moving east across northern Scotland late Tues into Weds. Hint of Atlantic upper contour wavelength lengthening, increasing the chances of cold air incursions from the north. Fits in with earlier ideas of decreasing contour heights from ensembles and a possible stormy period which I mentioned yesterday. Interest is back ON guys! I'm all a tingly now :-) At least till the 18Z run :-) Will. -- -------------------------------------------------------------------- ----------- A COL BH site in East Dartmoor at Haytor, Devon 310m asl (1017 feet). mailto: www: www.lyneside.demon.co. uk/Haytor/automatic/Current_Vantage_Pro.htm DISCLAIMER - All views and opinions expressed by myself are personal and do not necessarily represent those of my employer. -------------------------------------------------------------------- ----------- Interest never really been away Will ... but a bit like the proverbial carrot, with the prospect of an arctic outbreak apparently always from day seven onwards! Certainly the GFX is offering great promise for the middle of next week! Unfortunately my statistical data (32 years) doesn't re-enforce this, with the coldest period in January (for Fair Isle) tending to be towards the end of January (27th). However as the 'cold' post- Christmas singularity failed to show I'm hopeful that we could well see winter however briefly! Samuel Polson in his excellent analysis "Northern Weather Calendar" (SIC 1984), suggests three cold January spells - 1st-9th, mid month with a peak around the 18th, and a cold end to the month peaking around the 30th (my 27th?). Initial analysis suggests that this is the mildest December recorded on Fair Isle since records began in 1974! Dave Fair Isle |
#4
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In message , Will Hand
writes Deep low 950-955 hPa moving east across northern Scotland late Tues into Weds. Hint of Atlantic upper contour wavelength lengthening, increasing the chances of cold air incursions from the north. Fits in with earlier ideas of decreasing contour heights from ensembles and a possible stormy period which I mentioned yesterday. Interest is back ON guys! I'm all a tingly now :-) At least till the 18Z run :-) Will, I am pleased that you are all tingly. Unfortunately I look upon the GFS DT 031200 run as being drear - mighty drear. Just incessant mobility and I can see no real sign of distortion in the upper pattern. However if it gives you feelings that can only be described as mildly erotic, then I await the 1800 and 040001 issue with some interest. Cheers Paul ![]() -- 'Wisest are they that know they do not know.' Socrates. Paul Bartlett FRMetS www.rutnet.co.uk Go to local weather. 400FT AMSL 25Miles southwest of the Wash |
#5
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DT 18Z shows a less deep low near Scotland but essentially the same story with
lengthening wavelength. Will. -- "Will Hand" wrote in message ... Deep low 950-955 hPa moving east across northern Scotland late Tues into Weds. Hint of Atlantic upper contour wavelength lengthening, increasing the chances of cold air incursions from the north. Fits in with earlier ideas of decreasing contour heights from ensembles and a possible stormy period which I mentioned yesterday. Interest is back ON guys! I'm all a tingly now :-) At least till the 18Z run :-) Will. -- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ - A COL BH site in East Dartmoor at Haytor, Devon 310m asl (1017 feet). mailto: www: http://www.lyneside.demon.co.uk/Hayt...antage_Pro.htm DISCLAIMER - All views and opinions expressed by myself are personal and do not necessarily represent those of my employer. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ - |
#6
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![]() "Will Hand" wrote in message ... DT 18Z shows a less deep low near Scotland but essentially the same story with lengthening wavelength. Will. -- Yes Will there's a fine line between "stonker" & "stinker", and you just crossed it Pal.:-) |
#7
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![]() Will Hand wrote: Interest is back ON guys! I'm all a tingly now :-) Nothing unusual for this time of year, Will :-) Richard |
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