Hi, just been a bit surprised at the lack of comment on the media,GFS
and ECMWF forecast cold spell at the end of the month. GFS has been
'twitchy' for a bit now after T=216, ECMWF has shown the jet heading
south of UK with a marked diffluence over the south of UK which is in
line. Can't get UK forecasts that far out. Will scratch around later
for the rest.
Have I finally flipped or is this really interesting?
Cheers
Paul
--
'Wisest are they that know they do not know.' Socrates.
Paul Bartlett FRMetS
www.rutnet.co.uk Go to local weather.
400FT AMSL 25Miles southwest of the Wash

Paul Bartlett wrote:
Hi, just been a bit surprised at the lack of comment on the media,GFS
and ECMWF forecast cold spell at the end of the month. GFS has been
'twitchy' for a bit now after T=216, ECMWF has shown the jet heading
south of UK with a marked diffluence over the south of UK which is in
line. Can't get UK forecasts that far out. Will scratch around later
for the rest.
Have I finally flipped or is this really interesting?
Cheers
Paul

It has been quite noticeable how no one really takes anything seriously
beyond 7 days ahead, but certainly GFS keeps looking for colder weather
type towards the end of January. GFS has been much less extreme this
winter, I reckon they must have tweaked down the volume controls on snow :-)

I think we've all lost hope and won't really believe it until it
actually happens.

As for the media all you can say is " ........."

--
Keith (Southend)
http://www.southendweather.net
e-mail: kreh at southendweather dot net

"Keith (Southend)" wrote in message
...
It has been quite noticeable how no one really takes anything seriously
beyond 7 days ahead, but certainly GFS keeps looking for colder weather
type towards the end of January. GFS has been much less extreme this
winter, I reckon they must have tweaked down the volume controls on snow
:-)

What would be the outcome if this chart came off !!


http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn2161.html

Jim

In message , Jim Bennett
writes

"Keith (Southend)" wrote in message
...
It has been quite noticeable how no one really takes anything seriously
beyond 7 days ahead, but certainly GFS keeps looking for colder weather
type towards the end of January. GFS has been much less extreme this
winter, I reckon they must have tweaked down the volume controls on snow
:-)

What would be the outcome if this chart came off !!


http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn2161.html

Rain for anyone below 500m at a guess the way things have been running.
--
Tim
http://www.pitfieldbeershop.co.uk/

What would be the outcome if this chart came off !!


http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn2161.html

Jim


More fantasy I'm afraid!
--
Graham

Graham wrote:
What would be the outcome if this chart came off !!


http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn2161.html

Jim


More fantasy I'm afraid!

Perhaps shows some promise for February, who knows, I guess we'll read
it in the Express tomorrow.

--
Keith (Southend)
http://www.southendweather.net
e-mail: kreh at southendweather dot net

"Paul Bartlett" wrote in message
...
Hi, just been a bit surprised at the lack of comment on the media,GFS and
ECMWF forecast cold spell at the end of the month. GFS has been 'twitchy'
for a bit now after T=216, ECMWF has shown the jet heading south of UK
with a marked diffluence over the south of UK which is in line. Can't get
UK forecasts that far out. Will scratch around later for the rest.
Have I finally flipped or is this really interesting?
Cheers
Paul
--
'Wisest are they that know they do not know.' Socrates.
Paul Bartlett FRMetS
www.rutnet.co.uk Go to local weather.
400FT AMSL 25Miles southwest of the Wash

We've learnt that nothing past 5 days is ever correct - unless it's mild
zonality that is.
I'm still waiting for the media's -12C and blizzards this week! Good old
Piers.
|Dave

"Paul Bartlett" wrote in message
...
Hi, just been a bit surprised at the lack of comment on the media,GFS and
ECMWF forecast cold spell at the end of the month. GFS has been
'twitchy' for a bit now after T=216, ECMWF has shown the jet heading
south of UK with a marked diffluence over the south of UK which is in
line. Can't get UK forecasts that far out. Will scratch around later for
the rest.
Have I finally flipped or is this really interesting?
Cheers
Paul
--
'Wisest are they that know they do not know.' Socrates.
Paul Bartlett FRMetS
www.rutnet.co.uk Go to local weather.

A really cold snap before the end of January is
a 'no brainer'. Unless Gaussian distribution has
been revoked :-)

Alan.