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Old February 10th 05, 06:07 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Today's model interpretation (10/02/05)

Here is a summary of the latest NWP output for noon on Sunday. Issued 0604z,
10/02/05.

After Sunday's brief colder interlude the models show good agreement of a
ridge toppling quickly SE'wards. This will introduce much milder maritime
air on a westerly or NW'ly flow. Due to the proximity of high pressure it's
likely the first half of next week will be largely cloudy, on the dry side
for many areas and mild.

ECMWF: http://64.246.48.81/pics/Recm1201.gif
High pressure is located to the SW, leading to NNW'lies and NW'lies over the
UK. The winds become westerlies and northerlies as the high ridges NE'wards
at T+144, followed by a ridge over England and Wales at T+168. By thn winds
are WSW'lies across Scotland and Northern Ireland. Yesterday's ensembles
showed the run had little support, indeed it was one of the coldest runs.

MetO: http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rukm1201.html
The MetO run shows NNW'lies for all, again due to a high to the SW. The
winds become NW'lies at T+144 as the high moves ENE'wards.

GFS: http://expert.weatheronline.co.uk/pslv_frame.htm
The Azores High lies to the SW, bringing NW'lies and WNW'lies. 850hPa
temperatures vary from -2C over East Anglia to +6C over SW England. The high
moves eastwards at T+144, with westerlies for all. There's little change on
days 7 to 9 as the high moves slowly ENE'wards, but by day 10 the high is
centred over England. This leads to SW'lies and WSW'lies for Scotland and
Northern Ireland, with light and variable winds elsewhere.

GEM: http://www.meteocentre.com/models/glb00_120.html
The Canadian run shows northerlies and NNW'lies with a high to the SW. The
high moves eastwards at T+144, introducing westerlies for all.

GME/DWD:
http://www.wetter.com/home/img/sat/g...100000_120.gif
The German run shows cloudy NW'lies covering the UK, with a weak trough
embedded in the flow. The trough moves eastwards at T+144, allowing WNW'lies
to move over the UK. By T+168 the high to the SW moves closer to the UK,
bringing cloudy but light WNW'lies.

JMA: http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rjma1201.html
The Japanese run shows a ridge about to topple over the UK, with strong
NNW'lies in advance. By T+144 the ridge lies to the SE, with milder NW'lies
for all. Day 7 sees the Azores High ridge over the UK to bring westerlies
for Scotland and Northern Ireland with northerlies elsewhere.

NOGAPS: http://wetterzentrale.com/pics/Rngp1201.gif
A weak ridge covers the UK, with a mixture of westerlies and NNW'lies.

GM CPTEC: http://www.cptec.inpe.br/prevnum/Global126_sx6_Gl.shtml
A large high lies to the west, with NNW'lies for all.

KMA: http://www.kma.go.kr/kma03/gif/g21nh_smsr_120.gif
Unavailable today.



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