*NB - I'm off soon to the wolf centre, hence this shorter analysis.
I'm staying overnight so the next update will be on Monday.**

Here is a summary of the latest NWP output for noon on Wednesday.
Issued 0519z, 3 February 2007.

In summary, the models all show a breakdown of sorts in the latter
half of the week. GFS is interesting in that a Scandinavian High
forms, forcing the initial attempt to head SE'wards into France and
leaving Thursday's initial front as snow as it leaves the UK. A second
band of snow soon follows, turning to rain as it does so. The other
models aren't as keen on widespread snow, although there's a good
chance of a few flakes almost anywhere away from the SW of England and
the far south. These situations really make the models struggle and I
wouldn't be surprised to see a few changes by the time I write
Monday's analysis!

ECMWF: http://expert.weatheronline.co.uk/daten/profi/en/ecmwf/
ecmwf.html
A deep low lies to the west, with a trough over Ireland and Northern
Ireland. Winds are strong SSE'lies there, lighter SSE'lies over
Scotland and lighter still elsewhere. The trough moves over Scotland
on day 6, leading to cold easterlies for much of Scotland and milder
westerlies elsewhere. By day 7 the trough still covers Scotland, with
westerlies elsewhere.

MetO: http://expert.weatheronline.co.uk/da...ukmo/pslv.html
High pressure covers Scandinavia and low pressure lies to the west of
Ireland. SE'lies cover the UK as a result, followed by easterlies for
Scotland at T+144 as a trough moves slowly across the UK. To the south
winds are westerlies.

GFS: http://expert.weatheronline.co.uk/pslv_frame.htm
The American output shows a stronger high over Scandinavia and trough
disruption occuring to the west. SSE'lies cover the UK, followed by
further SSE'lies at T+144 as another low approaches from the west. The
initial trough becomes a low over France, leaving the east of the UK
under cold air. By T+168 the flow remains SSE'ly for most as low
pressure persists to the west.

GEM: http://expert.weatheronline.co.uk/da.../gem/pslv.html
Complex low pressure lies to the south and west, with westerlies and
SW'lies across the UK.

JMA: http://85.214.49.20/pics/Rjma1201.gif
The Japanese run shows low pressure over the North Sea, with NE'lies
for Scotland and westerlies elsewhere.

NOGAPS: http://85.214.49.20/pics/Rngp1201.gif
Strong southerlies cover the UK with low pressure to the west.