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uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
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#21
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![]() "Signal" wrote in message ... No - it's fact, and patently absurd to suggest otherwise. Circuit components transfer much of their heat through matter to regions of lower temperature - conduction. This means they are not efficient sources of heat (for heating your environment). You could perhaps snuggle up to the chassis of your amplifier to maximize the potential. Also consider airflow. Take lightbulbs for example. Are they located in floors or ceilings? Heat rises, by the way. Whatever! Still, the fact remains that virtually all the current passing through most electrical equipment is directly or indirectly dissipated as heat. So the TV's power supply does get "a bit warm", you accept that? Well if the room (ambient temperature) is cooler than the circuitry then thermodynamics require that that heat will transfer to the cooler surroundings increasing their temperature. There is a principal in thermodynamics that states that eventually all the energy in the universe will have "decayed" into heat. There will be no more energy potential left any where. It's called the "Heat Death". It's going to take a long while something like 10^10^23 years. Paulus |
#22
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On Mar 13, 6:16 pm, "Steve J" wrote:
Well boys and girls, what a hornets'nest last week's channel 4 programme stirred up! As a teacher, I have to try and put both sides of an argument, and in this debate this is difficult because all texts, even at A2 level support the argument for AGW without ant dissent. That is because the scientific evidence is now strong enough to make it the only tenable position. There is a world of difference between having genuine disagreements about the science and showing the arguments both for and against a particular interpretation of the data and setting out to deliberately mislead and misinform the public which is precisely what that program set out to do. It might be instructive if it is an A level class to have them look for the falacious arguments and deliberate half truths used in the program to give the impression that the anthropegenic component of global warming was nil. attempt a balanced presentation. Balanced in what way? The evidence is pretty clear. You choose not to look at it and remain wilfully ignorant. The Economist did a pretty well balanced review on the evidence for global warming 2-3 years ago. I suggest that you look for article that if you want some accessible balanced material for your class to look at. Are you also going to insist on balanced presentation of both evolution and Young Earth Creationism in science classes, alien abduction, flat earth theory in geography. Where do you want to draw the line? However, as the various threads on this learned NG domonstrate, there *ARE* some entrenched views, and some of us do get "hot under the collar at times in our exasperation at an alternative view. I hold my hat up to Gianna for some spirited points of view however, and there should be more room to debate natural cycles of GW. It is pretty clear that *some* of the global warming *is* due to changes in the suns output. This is not and has never been in dispute. The point is that the biggest changes during the past few decades coincide with a period where the sun has been monitored by satellite and so no handwaving argument that "it must all be the sun" holds water. Too many are afraid to stick their head above the parapet because of potential abuse from the 'other side'. Anyway, some things are undeniable IMHO; 1. Global warming is a fact. So far so good. Although it would be better to say that there is good observational evidence for global warming. 2. Greenhouse gases heat the atmosphere and preserve life on earth. Trap more heat in the atmosphere by making it more opaque to outgoing long wave radiation. 3. Man has burnt fossil fuels almost to exhaustion, so there are more greenhouse gases in the atmosphere today. No. There are plenty more fossil fuel reserves to go probably still a fair multiple of everything we have burnt so far. It just gets progressively more difficult and expensive to extract. And we can tell that the build up is from the stuff we are burning because not only is the atmospheric concentration of CO2 rising, but the isotopic pattern is changing as more fossil carbon is being added. This would not happen if natural CO2 were being released from the sea by warming. 4 The climate has been warmer than this many times in the geologic past. Although this is true we were never around to witness it. And you should be careful what you wish for - sudden glitches in global temperature are almost always associated with serious species extinction events in the fossil record. 5 Whether Man is responsible for GW or not, burning fossil fuels in such profusion ia harmful and unsustainable. The best estimates at present are that in the past few decades our greenhouse gas forcing has pushed up global temperatures by about the same amount as the suns change in luminosity over the previous century. See for example: http://adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/np...7ffe fc531242 or if you prefer something by a known AGW sceptic http://adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/np...7ffe fc501179 (but note exactly what they are forced to conclude from the observational evidence despite their well known political bias) 6 The media have over-hyped the AGW scenarioa big time. They may not have done in terms of ultimate long term damage. The problem is that it will be many decades before the effects of what we release into the atmosphere now really take full effect. 7 Governments are now driving energy policies into the 21st century (like building more nuclear plants in the UK) to combat that overused term 'climate change'. At the moment that is our least bad option. Wind power might work for the UK, but the ones near me are a joke. 2 out of 3 are dead/idle most days and on one notable occassion the A19 had to be closed after one self immolated. The UKs largest offshore wind farm has been offline for ages without anyone noticing. Apparently it cost too much to bury the cable connecting it to the mainland properly and so it failed. 8. Climate change is blamed for every "freak" natural atmospheric hazard from flooding, to hurricanes, to heavy snowfall, to heatwaves, to gales, to heavy rain, atcetera ad nauseam. Bound to happen even though it may well be incorrect. It may not be such a bad thing if it pushes the issue up the agenda in America where GW denial is still very much mainstream and cars do 20mpg. Warm air carries considerably more water vapour so there is good reason to think that it will fuel more powerful storms in the future. 9. Global warming has forced us to implement energy conservation measures and planning a sustainable future. I disagree. There were far more convincing "Save It" energy conservation campaigns during the OPEC induced oil crises of the 1970s. The time is long past for taking all available (and generally highly cost effective) no-regrets energy saving measures. 10. My last one, to give others a chance, neither side can yet offer positive proof to the other that their arguments/ eveidence is incontravertible. One side is claiming this with their eyes shut and their fingers in their ears. There is a scientific concensus. Personally, I'm getting sick to death of GW on TV and in the press, but as an academic debate, this still has a lot of mileage in it just yet. The science is clear cut - AGW is real. A few mavericks with huge political axes to grind and the oil lobbyists make so much noise that it may seem to the general public that there is still disagreement. You may recall that the tobacco industry did and does a similar thing to make sure the suckers all keep on smoking cigarettes. It is still possible to buy a scientist to testify under oath that smoking tobacco does not cause cancer - using a carefully crafted set of words constructed by very sophisticated lawyers. I fully expect the anti-GW lobby groups to go the same way and that at some stage when the sea is lapping at the steps of the White House there will still be someone there being paid to say that you can't prove that it was down to greenhouse gasses. Anyone else care to add to my 10 "undeniable points"? 11. Governments of whatever political shade will all seek to use GW as an excuse for new taxes. Regards, Martin Brown |
#23
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On Mar 13, 6:53 pm, "Jack )"
wrote: On 13 Mar, 18:16, "Steve J" wrote: Personally, I'm getting sick to death of GW on TV and in the press,...snip So too am I. It's become like a worn out gramophone record What do you suggest then. Taking the ostrich appproach and burying your head in the sand? Now what would encourage me to use less electricity would be information just how much that TV on standby (for example) is actually using. It depends. Some use only a miniscule leakage current and others have several watts wasted as heat. The only way to find out is to measure it. It cannot be difficult to devise a "master panel" that can be fitted into home circuits so you can see just what each appliance/ light, etc is using. Once we see the cost of our "toys" then we might take some action. But as it is, we haven't a clue and frankly, there is a temptation not to be bothered. Such meters already exist but to my eyes they look vastly overpriced at £350 !!! eg. http://www.bettergeneration.co.uk/id...ty-meters.html Regards, Martin Brown |
#24
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On Mar 13, 8:33 pm, wrote:
In message .com "Jack )" wrote: Now what would encourage me to use less electricity would be information just how much that TV on standby (for example) is actually using. It cannot be difficult to devise a "master panel" that can be fitted into home circuits so you can see just what each appliance/ Except that there is a little thing called the law of conservation of energy. Energy cannot be "used". So where does the extra energy go when we leave our TVs on standby, or use a conventional light bulb? The answer is it is converted to heat. Which warms the rooms in your house. which means that your thermostaically controlled central heating system uses correspondingly less fuel to maintain your chosen temperature. If all our electricity was nuclear or hydroelectric then it would be fair game. But since the electricity was almost certainly made by burning fossil fuels with a thermodynamic efficency of 36% (45% very best case). So in using electricity to generate heat in your house you burn 2 to 3x the amount of fossil fuel somewhere and emit a correspondingly larger amount of CO2. So by reducing the heat generated by your lighting and entertainment systems, you increase the fuel required by your heating system. I fail to see how this will reduce carbon emissions. Because of the inherent inefficiency of the power station and electricity grid transmission. That said there are some well designed standby consumer devices that draw only a few microwatts. And others like cheap cordless phone chargers that draw stupid amounts of current continuously to no good end. Regards, Martin Brown |
#25
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Martin Brown wrote:
At the moment that is our least bad option. Wind power might work for the UK, but the ones near me are a joke. 2 out of 3 are dead/idle most days and on one notable occassion the A19 had to be closed after one self immolated. I am sure that looks good on the page, but unless you are attributing some sort of human or religious characteristics to a windmill, it did not do that. It may have broken, fallen down, exploded, or done any number of unfortunate things but it did not sacrifice itself for the benefit of the other windmills, or the deity of windmills, or to generate a headline that would impress the illiterate. -- Gianna http://www.buchan-meteo.org.uk * * * * * * * |
#26
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![]() "Martin Brown" wrote in message oups.com... 1. Global warming is a fact. So far so good. Although it would be better to say that there is good observational evidence for global warming. The observational "evidence" is the weakest link in the AGW story. After that there is only spin, political desire and scientist's career ambitions to prop it up. What is observed are climate conditions that have been both warmer and cooler in recent history. For there to be any variation there must be a trend one way or the other and most likely a historical plot of average global temperature, measured at the same resolution as we are measuring now, would have trends and hockey sticks all over the place. Always have been, always will be. The rest is conjecture. Paulus |
#27
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On Mar 14, 12:24 am, "Dave Cornwell"
wrote: There are some very fair comments in there yet all you do is seek to insult. 2. Greenhouse gases heat the atmosphere and preserve life on earth. How the **** do inert gasses do that? More trolling from ClimateLiar... ------------------ I think you'll find inert gases are more yer Helium (He), Neon (Ne), Argon (Ar), Krypton (Kr), Xenon (Xe), and Radon (Rn) than yer greenhouse gases These days they prefer the title Noble gases after it was found possible to react them with fluorine under extreme conditions to get some pretty wacky compounds. such as methane (CH4) and carbon dioxide (CO2). But I'll leave it to you armchair scientists to decide about "the facts" It is perhaps worth pointing out here that it requires a gas molecule with at least 3 atoms like CO2, H2O, N2O, NO2, O3 and CH4 to have a significant absorption band in the right part of the infra red spectrum. The bulk of the atmosphere is N2 and O2 being diatomic do not have significant visible or IR absorption. It is worth pointing out here that the idea that the Earth is warmer than you would expect from basic thermodynamic balance of suns radiation dates back to the Swedish chemist Arrhenius and since he published his paper "On the Influence of Carbonic Acid in the Air upon the Temperature of the Ground" in 1896 (that is *not* a typo) you can hardly accuse him of jumping on the GW bandwagon: http://web.lemoyne.edu/~giunta/Arrhenius.html Regards, Martin Brown |
#28
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![]() "Steve J" wrote in message ups.com... Well boys and girls, what a hornets'nest last week's channel 4 programme stirred up! As a teacher, I have to try and put both sides of an argument, and in this debate this is difficult because all texts, even at A2 level support the argument for AGW without ant dissent. However, TV programmes like this, books like "State of Fear", some articles posted on the internet and in newspapers have offered the chance to at least attempt a balanced presentation. However, as the various threads on this learned NG domonstrate, there *ARE* some entrenched views, and some of us do get "hot under the collar at times in our exasperation at an alternative view. I hold my hat up to Gianna for some spirited points of view however, and there should be more room to debate natural cycles of GW. Too many are afraid to stick their head above the parapet because of potential abuse from the 'other side'. Anyway, some things are undeniable IMHO; 1. Global warming is a fact. 2. Greenhouse gases heat the atmosphere and preserve life on earth. 3. Man has burnt fossil fuels almost to exhaustion, so there are more greenhouse gases in the atmosphere today. 4 The climate has been warmer than this many times in the geologic past. 5 Whether Man is responsible for GW or not, burning fossil fuels in such profusion ia harmful and unsustainable. 6 The media have over-hyped the AGW scenarioa big time. 7 Governments are now driving energy policies into the 21st century (like building more nuclear plants in the UK) to combat that overused term 'climate change'. 8. Climate change is blamed for every "freak" natural atmospheric hazard from flooding, to hurricanes, to heavy snowfall, to heatwaves, to gales, to heavy rain, atcetera ad nauseam. 9. Global warming has forced us to implement energy conservation measures and planning a sustainable future. 10. My last one, to give others a chance, neither side can yet offer positive proof to the other that their arguments/ eveidence is incontravertible. Personally, I'm getting sick to death of GW on TV and in the press, but as an academic debate, this still has a lot of mileage in it just yet. Anyone else care to add to my 10 "undeniable points"? Or will you take issue with my 10 points? Steve Jackson Bablake weather Station Coventry UK www.bablakeweather.co.uk Just look at what happens when some scientists express an alternative view. Scientists threatened for 'climate denial' By Tom Harper, Sunday Telegraph Scientists who questioned mankind's impact on climate change have received death threats and claim to have been shunned by the scientific community. They say the debate on global warming has been "hijacked" by a powerful alliance of politicians, scientists and environmentalists who have stifled all questioning about the true environmental impact of carbon dioxide emissions. Timothy Ball, a former climatology professor at the University of Winnipeg in Canada, has received five deaths threats by email since raising concerns about the degree to which man was affecting climate change. advertisement One of the emails warned that, if he continued to speak out, he would not live to see further global warming. "Western governments have pumped billions of dollars into careers and institutes and they feel threatened," said the professor. "I can tolerate being called a sceptic because all scientists should be sceptics, but then they started calling us deniers, with all the connotations of the Holocaust. That is an obscenity. It has got really nasty and personal." Last week, Professor Ball appeared in The Great Global Warming Swindle, a Channel 4 documentary in which several scientists claimed the theory of man-made global warming had become a "religion", forcing alternative explanations to be ignored. Richard Lindzen, the professor of Atmospheric Science at Massachusetts Institute of Technology - who also appeared on the documentary - recently claimed: "Scientists who dissent from the alarmism have seen their funds disappear, their work derided, and themselves labelled as industry stooges. "Consequently, lies about climate change gain credence even when they fly in the face of the science." Dr Myles Allen, from Oxford University, agreed. He said: "The Green movement has hijacked the issue of climate change. It is ludicrous to suggest the only way to deal with the problem is to start micro managing everyone, which is what environmentalists seem to want to do." Nigel Calder, a former editor of New Scientist, said: "Governments are trying to achieve unanimity by stifling any scientist who disagrees. Einstein could not have got funding under the present system." |
#29
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On 13 Mar 2007 11:53:13 -0700, "Jack )"
wrote: Now what would encourage me to use less electricity would be information just how much that TV on standby (for example) is actually using. It cannot be difficult to devise a "master panel" that can be fitted into home circuits so you can see just what each appliance/ light, etc is using. Once we see the cost of our "toys" then we might take some action. But as it is, we haven't a clue and frankly, there is a temptation not to be bothered. Here's a simple one:- http://www.maplin.co.uk/Module.aspx?...e=1&doy=14 m3 -- Alan White Mozilla Firefox and Forte Agent. Twenty-eight miles NW of Glasgow, overlooking Lochs Long and Goil in Argyll, Scotland. Webcam and weather:- http://windycroft.gt-britain.co.uk/weather |
#30
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in 222040 20070314 145549 "Tiger" wrote:
Just look at what happens when some scientists express an alternative view. Scientists threatened for 'climate denial' By Tom Harper, Sunday Telegraph snipped What is the relevance of that article to the current discussion? Do you think that when people get death threats it proves them right? |
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