Home |
Search |
Today's Posts |
![]() |
|
uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
Reply |
|
LinkBack | Thread Tools | Display Modes |
#1
![]() |
|||
|
|||
![]()
Here is a summary of the NWP output for 12z on Sunday.
Issued 0543, 21st March 2007. The outlook for the start of next week is dry and settled for most, with temperatures not far from average overall. High pressure over Scandinavia looks like influencing us for a few days, before pressure builds again to the west. Analysis and evolution to T+120 via GFS http://85.214.49.20/pics/Rtavn001.png http://85.214.49.20/pics/avnpanel1.gif A ridge is moving in from the west, bringing SW'lies to western areas of Scotland and to Northern Ireland. Elsewhere winds are gusty northerlies, but they'll ease during the day. By tomorrow milder westerlies cover the UK, followed by NE'lies for England and Wales on Friday as pressure builds NE'wards. By Saturday there's a fully-fledged Scandinavian High to the NE, with a mixture of southerlies and easterlies for the UK. T+120 synopsis http://85.214.49.20/pics/Rtavn12015.png / http://85.214.49.20/pics/Rtavn1201.png http://85.214.49.20/pics/Rjma1201.gif / http://85.214.49.20/pics/Rukm1201.gif http://85.214.49.20/pics/Recm1201.gif / http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/nogapse_cartes.php The jetstream chart continues to show the UK under a ridge, with the jet heading NNE'wards over Iceland. At the 500hPa level there's an upper high over Scandinavia and a low over Biscay. ECM has a stronger high and an upper low further to the SE, while MetO shows a similar pattern. NGP has more of a trough over southern Europe and less of a high to the NE, while the Canadian run shows a strong high to the NE and a trough over the UK. At the surface GFS shows a ridge from the Scandinavian High affecting the UK, with easterlies for England and Wales and southerlies elsewhere. ECM shows a ridge over Scotland and ENE'lies elsewhere, while MetO shows easterlies and southerlies as per GFS. NGP is similar again and GEM keeps the ridging further north, with ENE'lies for all. Evolution to T+168 ECM shows a mixture of easterlies and southerlies covering the UK on days 6 and 7, with the Scandinavian High slowly declining in situ. GFS also shows the Scandinavian High declining, with SE'lies for all on day 6 and light winds for all on day 7 as another ridge builds in from the west. Looking further afield ECM shows a col and light winds on day 8, followed by more light winds on day 9 as a very weak trough crosses the UK. By day 10 high pressure lies to the NW, with NE'lies for all. GFS shows high pressure influencing the UK on days 8 to 10, with light winds for England and Wales. Elsewhere there are moderate SW'lies on day 8 and light winds out to day 10. Ensemble analysis (http://expert.weatheronline.co.uk/da...ia/ensdia.html - last night's 18z) The ensembles show a dry week ahead. |
Reply |
Thread Tools | Search this Thread |
Display Modes | |
|
|
![]() |
||||
Thread | Forum | |||
Today's model interpretation (10/07/03) | uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) | |||
Today's model interpretation (9/07/03) | uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) | |||
Today's model interpretation (8/7/03) | uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) | |||
Today's model interpretation (7/6/03) | uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) | |||
Today's model interpretation (5/07/03) | uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) |