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uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
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#1
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The following site is quite interesting
http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/gmd/aggi/ Table 2 and Fig 2 suggest to me that time and money would be best spent on finding ways of coping with the inevitable climate changes rather than pussy-footing around trying (unsuccessfully?) to find ways of reducing the growth in emissions by a few percent. But I suppose that drawing up a plan for the evacuation of Central London within the next 50-100 years is not exactly a short-term vote winner :-) Norman. (delete "thisbit" twice to e-mail) -- Norman Lynagh Weather Consultancy Chalfont St Giles 85m a.s.l. England |
#2
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Norman Lynagh wrote:
The following site is quite interesting http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/gmd/aggi/ Table 2 and Fig 2 suggest to me that time and money would be best spent on finding ways of coping with the inevitable climate changes rather than pussy-footing around trying (unsuccessfully?) to find ways of reducing the growth in emissions by a few percent. But I suppose that drawing up a plan for the evacuation of Central London within the next 50-100 years is not exactly a short-term vote winner :-) Very well said! The issue of who or what is to blame seems to have more importance than working out how to adapt to the consequences, when in fact it does not matter. Those who favour the 'people did it' view automatically move along to the 'then people will fix it' view, all the while missing the point that if their view is correct, then it was always too late to try to mend something by damaging it a bit less in future. There are more important things than their egos. Your point about votes does highlight the main flaw in partisan representative democracies ... they are very partisan, not very representative, and barely democratic. -- Gianna http://www.buchan-meteo.org.uk * * * * * * * |
#3
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![]() "Norman Lynagh" wrote in message ... The following site is quite interesting http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/gmd/aggi/ Table 2 and Fig 2 suggest to me that time and money would be best spent on finding ways of coping with the inevitable climate changes rather than pussy-footing around trying (unsuccessfully?) to find ways of reducing the growth in emissions by a few percent. But I suppose that drawing up a plan for the evacuation of Central London within the next 50-100 years is not exactly a short-term vote winner :-) Norman. (delete "thisbit" twice to e-mail) -- Norman Lynagh Weather Consultancy Chalfont St Giles 85m a.s.l. England ------------------------------- The graph on CFC's is interesting. Seems to be a clear decline since The Montreal Protocol in 1989 so it shows that in some cases things can be done. Dave |
#4
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In message , Gianna
writes Norman Lynagh wrote: The following site is quite interesting http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/gmd/aggi/ Table 2 and Fig 2 suggest to me that time and money would be best spent on finding ways of coping with the inevitable climate changes rather than pussy-footing around trying (unsuccessfully?) to find ways of reducing the growth in emissions by a few percent. But I suppose that drawing up a plan for the evacuation of Central London within the next 50-100 years is not exactly a short-term vote winner :-) Very well said! The issue of who or what is to blame seems to have more importance than working out how to adapt to the consequences, when in fact it does not matter. If you insist on ignorance about the causes of global warming then you are insisting on tying one hand behind your back when it comes to taking remedial action. Those who favour the 'people did it' view automatically move along to the 'then people will fix it' view, all the while missing the point that if their view is correct, then it was always too late to try to mend something by damaging it a bit less in future. There are more important things than their egos. But you would seem to have it that if we've damaged the climate, it's OK for us to go ahead and damage it even more. The problem isn't so much the change to the climate that as already happened as the change that we can foresee happening if we carry on with "business as usual". Your point about votes does highlight the main flaw in partisan representative democracies ... they are very partisan, not very representative, and barely democratic. -- Stewart Robert Hinsley |
#5
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Dave Cornwell wrote:
The graph on CFC's is interesting. Seems to be a clear decline since The Montreal Protocol in 1989 so it shows that in some cases things can be done. Dave I get a rather less positive view from the data at http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/gmd/aggi/ Table 2. -- Gianna http://www.buchan-meteo.org.uk * * * * * * * |
#6
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In message , Dave
Cornwell writes "Norman Lynagh" wrote in message ... The following site is quite interesting http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/gmd/aggi/ Table 2 and Fig 2 suggest to me that time and money would be best spent on finding ways of coping with the inevitable climate changes rather than pussy-footing around trying (unsuccessfully?) to find ways of reducing the growth in emissions by a few percent. But I suppose that drawing up a plan for the evacuation of Central London within the next 50-100 years is not exactly a short-term vote winner :-) Norman. (delete "thisbit" twice to e-mail) -- Norman Lynagh Weather Consultancy Chalfont St Giles 85m a.s.l. England ------------------------------- The graph on CFC's is interesting. Seems to be a clear decline since The Montreal Protocol in 1989 so it shows that in some cases things can be done. Dave And note that CFCs have longer atmospheric residence times; cutting emissions of other greenhouse gases would have faster effects. -- Stewart Robert Hinsley |
#7
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Stewart Robert Hinsley wrote:
In message , Gianna writes Norman Lynagh wrote: The following site is quite interesting http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/gmd/aggi/ Table 2 and Fig 2 suggest to me that time and money would be best spent on finding ways of coping with the inevitable climate changes rather than pussy-footing around trying (unsuccessfully?) to find ways of reducing the growth in emissions by a few percent. But I suppose that drawing up a plan for the evacuation of Central London within the next 50-100 years is not exactly a short-term vote winner :-) Very well said! The issue of who or what is to blame seems to have more importance than working out how to adapt to the consequences, when in fact it does not matter. If you insist on ignorance about the causes of global warming then you are insisting on tying one hand behind your back when it comes to taking remedial action. LOL! Thank you for making my point for me. As the OP implied, the need is to *adapt*, not delude one's self about 'remedial action'. Those who favour the 'people did it' view automatically move along to the 'then people will fix it' view, all the while missing the point that if their view is correct, then it was always too late to try to mend something by damaging it a bit less in future. There are more important things than their egos. But you would seem to have it that if we've damaged the climate, it's OK for us to go ahead and damage it even more. The problem isn't so much the change to the climate that as already happened as the change that we can foresee happening if we carry on with "business as usual". Now whenever did I suggest anything remotely like that? Never! Why do you completely overlook the change that *will continue* to happen even if all 'problem' emissions cease completely right now (assuming AGW)? In reality, global emissions will not cease, nor reduce significantly, in the foreseeable future. If the UK ceases all emissions immediately, the effect on the climate of the world will be zero. What is 'right' or 'correct' has absolutely no relevance because what is economically and politically viable for each country is what each country will do. Why pretend otherwise? Interestingly, I have done everything I can to reduce my emissions to the minimum. I have done this as a believer in Natural Climate Change because there is always the possibility that I might be wrong (and because it saves money). I am also supporting the attempt to transform my local power station into the first carbon capture station, in spite of the UK government attempts to frustrate the plan. Isn't it a shame that all those who believe that the change *is* their fault (as members of the AGW causing human race) have not already done similarly. Isn't it also a shame that they cannot conceive of the possibility that they might be wrong - or is that why they resist using a smaller car, or changing their light bulbs, or getting up off their bottoms to turn the TV off at night? You can accuse me of ignorance if it makes you feel good, you can even claim to cleverness too if it massages your ego, but what are you as an individual going to do? Have you taken steps towards 'going green'? Have you done all you could do? Are you ready for the new type of weather? Are you adapting? Or are you just whining because someone disagrees with you? -- Gianna http://www.buchan-meteo.org.uk * * * * * * * |
#8
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![]() "Norman Lynagh" wrote in message ... The following site is quite interesting http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/gmd/aggi/ Table 2 and Fig 2 suggest to me that time and money would be best spent on finding ways of coping with the inevitable climate changes rather than pussy-footing around trying (unsuccessfully?) to find ways of reducing the growth in emissions by a few percent. But I suppose that drawing up a plan for the evacuation of Central London within the next 50-100 years is not exactly a short-term vote winner :-) We need to be doing both. |
#9
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![]() "Gianna" wrote in message ... Dave Cornwell wrote: The graph on CFC's is interesting. Seems to be a clear decline since The Montreal Protocol in 1989 so it shows that in some cases things can be done. Dave I get a rather less positive view from the data at http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/gmd/aggi/ Table 2. -- Gianna http://www.buchan-meteo.org.uk * * * * * * * ------------------------- The reference you site above quotes "CFCs have ceased the increase observed before about 1992 and have either leveled off or are in decline (Montzka et al., 1999). The latter is a response to decreased emissions related to the Montreal Protocol on substances that deplete the ozone layer. " I am referring specifically to CFC's so I'm not quite sure what the less positive view is as illustrated here? Dave |
#10
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![]() "Stewart Robert Hinsley" wrote in message ... In message , Dave Cornwell writes "Norman Lynagh" wrote in message ... The following site is quite interesting http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/gmd/aggi/ Table 2 and Fig 2 suggest to me that time and money would be best spent on finding ways of coping with the inevitable climate changes rather than pussy-footing around trying (unsuccessfully?) to find ways of reducing the growth in emissions by a few percent. But I suppose that drawing up a plan for the evacuation of Central London within the next 50-100 years is not exactly a short-term vote winner :-) Norman. (delete "thisbit" twice to e-mail) -- Norman Lynagh Weather Consultancy Chalfont St Giles 85m a.s.l. England ------------------------------- The graph on CFC's is interesting. Seems to be a clear decline since The Montreal Protocol in 1989 so it shows that in some cases things can be done. Dave And note that CFCs have longer atmospheric residence times; cutting emissions of other greenhouse gases would have faster effects. -- Stewart Robert Hinsley ----------------------------- What I don't understand is why there has to be a them and us standpoint. I can see absolutely no advantage in individuals and governments not trying to reduce emissions irrespective of which side of the fence you decide to stand and whether it makes a difference or not. It's a bit like deliberately swimming in a dangerous area with a red flag flying because the "nanny state" is telling me not to. I have taken a more prudent approach and have also saved money. I've not stopped flying abroad for my holiday etc. but have gone in for as many ways of doing "my bit" that have not caused me any hardship. Surely it is obvious that even if man-made global warming turns out to be a complete myth we would be better off by taking some action. We will have a less polluted world, our beloved fossil fuels which have done so much good (as well as harm) will last longer and we will potentially save a good deal of money. What's the problem? Dave Dave |
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