I'm off to the wolf centre soon, hence this shorter analysis.

Here is a summary of the latest NWP output for noon on Thursday. Issued
0506z, 10th June 2007.

The outlook is much the same as for the past couple of days. It's going to
turn unsettled across the UK at the end of the week, with low pressure
moving up from the SW. Temperatures are likely to return to near normal
values for all.

ECMWF: http://expert.weatheronline.co.uk/da...mwf/ecmwf.html
The UK lies between a high to the north and a low to the SW. Winds are a
mixture of SE'lies and easterlies over the UK as a result. On day 6 a trough
moves northwards over England and Wales with easterlies for Scotland and
Northern Ireland; elsewhere winds are SSE'lies or SE'lies. A low crosses
England and Wales on day 7, with easterlies to the north.

MetO: http://expert.weatheronline.co.uk/da...ukmo/pslv.html
MetO shows southerlies and SE'lies with a low to the south of Ireland.
Southerlies affect most areas on day 6 as the low deepens to the west.

GFS: http://expert.weatheronline.co.uk/pslv_frame.htm
A trough covers Scotland, with southerlies for most of the UK. To the north
winds are strong easterlies. On day 6 low pressure is centred over Ireland,
leading to southerlies and SE'lies for the UK. The low fills and moves
NE'wards on day 7, bringing moderate SW'lies across the UK.

GEM: http://expert.weatheronline.co.uk/da.../gem/pslv.html
The Canadian run brings ENE'lies over much of the UK with a trough over
England and Wales.

JMA: http://85.214.49.20/pics/Rjma1201.gif
The Japanese run also shows ENE'lies, this time with a low to the SW.

NOGAPS: http://85.214.49.20/pics/Rngp1201.gif
NGP brings low pressure to the south of the UK, leading to moderate NE'lies.