Can't really work out what to expect Monday onwards anymore. BBC seem to
have dropped the temps down to 2-3C but no more talk of the widespread snow,
only possibly snow showers "giving a dusting" on the East coast. Fair
enough, but the reasons for the changes aren't that clear from chart
differences so is it just an individual interpretation?
Countryfile should be worth a look - hope it's not Dan!

Dave

In article ,
Dave.C writes:
Can't really work out what to expect Monday onwards anymore. BBC seem to
have dropped the temps down to 2-3C but no more talk of the widespread snow,
only possibly snow showers "giving a dusting" on the East coast. Fair
enough, but the reasons for the changes aren't that clear from chart
differences so is it just an individual interpretation?
Countryfile should be worth a look - hope it's not Dan!

I think the difficulty at this range is in predicting just where troughs
embedded in the flow will be. Have a look here for the UKMO "FAX" idea
for T+24:

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/wz/pics/brack0.gif

Here for T+36, with a trough predicted to be crossing the SE:

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/wz/pics/brack0a.gif

T+48 is brack1.gif, T+60 is 1a, T+72 is 2, T+84 is 2a. There are also
T+108 and T+132, but by then you are getting rather a long way out to
have much confidence in the detail.
--
John Hall
Johnson: "Well, we had a good talk."
Boswell: "Yes, Sir, you tossed and gored several persons."
Dr Samuel Johnson (1709-84); James Boswell (1740-95)

If you can get News24 check out Rob McElwee on the weather section of the
interactive multiscreens. His forecast this morning is far more interesting
than anything Dan Corbett could muster!


"Dave.C" wrote in message
.uk...
Can't really work out what to expect Monday onwards anymore. BBC seem to
have dropped the temps down to 2-3C but no more talk of the widespread
snow,
only possibly snow showers "giving a dusting" on the East coast. Fair
enough, but the reasons for the changes aren't that clear from chart
differences so is it just an individual interpretation?
Countryfile should be worth a look - hope it's not Dan!

Dave

I can confirm Dan is doing the CF forcast, would of preferred Jon Boy
Hammond

"Dave.C" wrote in message
.uk...
Can't really work out what to expect Monday onwards anymore. BBC seem to
have dropped the temps down to 2-3C but no more talk of the widespread
snow,
only possibly snow showers "giving a dusting" on the East coast. Fair
enough, but the reasons for the changes aren't that clear from chart
differences so is it just an individual interpretation?
Countryfile should be worth a look - hope it's not Dan!

Dave

Forecasts evolve as more information comes to hand, Dave. I rarely watch any
TV weather these days but assuming it was a national broadcast it sounds
like they're correctly following the guidance from HQ. Although I wouldn't
agree with showers "giving a dusting" on the East coast if that's what was
said.

The main difficulty at the moment is gauging the extent of the inland
penetration of showers as the flow veers more towards the east later today
and tomorrow. I'd keep an eye on the TAFs.

Jon.

In message , Jon O'Rourke
writes
"Dave.C" wrote in message
o.uk...
Can't really work out what to expect Monday onwards anymore. BBC seem to
have dropped the temps down to 2-3C but no more talk of the widespread
snow,
only possibly snow showers "giving a dusting" on the East coast. Fair
enough, but the reasons for the changes aren't that clear from chart
differences so is it just an individual interpretation?
Countryfile should be worth a look - hope it's not Dan!

Dave

Forecasts evolve as more information comes to hand, Dave. I rarely watch any
TV weather these days but assuming it was a national broadcast it sounds
like they're correctly following the guidance from HQ. Although I wouldn't
agree with showers "giving a dusting" on the East coast if that's what was
said.

The main difficulty at the moment is gauging the extent of the inland
penetration of showers as the flow veers more towards the east later today
and tomorrow. I'd keep an eye on the TAFs.

Jon.

Jon,

Are you suggesting that the TAFs give more reliable forecasts than the
half-hourly updates on BBC News24? Surely not ;-)

Norman.
(delete "thisbit" twice to e-mail)
--
Norman Lynagh Weather Consultancy
Chalfont St Giles 85m a.s.l.
England