Home |
Search |
Today's Posts |
![]() |
|
uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
Reply |
|
LinkBack | Thread Tools | Display Modes |
#21
![]() |
|||
|
|||
![]()
On Dec 13, 2:11 am, Weatherlawyer wrote:
On Dec 13, 2:05 am, Weatherlawyer wrote: Only I am not sure where. I doubt it's just Olga, which isn't that big a deal however unstable local economies. Maybe I am wrong, with the flooding and 8 deaths. 14 dead and counting. And these: 6.2 SAMOA ISLANDS REGION 6.2 ANTOFAGASTA, CHILE Or are they the precursors of this: http://205.85.40.22/jtwc/warnings/sh0608.gif |
#22
![]() |
|||
|
|||
![]()
On Dec 12, 10:11 am, Weatherlawyer wrote:
On Dec 11, 6:50 pm, Weatherlawyer wrote: Or have I got the cart before the horse? Do the larger earthquakes cause the gyres? Nope, I no thin so: 5.0 2007/12/13 ANDREANOF ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN IS., ALASKA 6.2 2007/12/13 SAMOA ISLANDS REGION 6.2 2007/12/13 ANTOFAGASTA, CHILE 5.1 2007/12/13 MID-INDIAN RIDGE 5.3 2007/12/13 ANTOFAGASTA, CHILE 5.2 2007/12/13 TONGA 6.0 2007/12/13 ANTOFAGASTA, CHILE 5.0 2007/12/13 KERMADEC ISLANDS, NEW ZEALAND This is an odd one: REMARKS: 141500Z POSITION NEAR 14.3S 69.1E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 06S (NONAME) LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 460 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. TC 06S HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE SYSTEM REMAINS UNDER THE COMPETING STEERING INFLUENCES OF NEAR EQUATORIAL RIDGING AND A LOW- TO MID-LEVEL SUB- TROPICAL RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO LEAVE THIS RELATIVELY WEAK ENVIRONMENT NEAR TAU 12 AND TRACK GENERALLY SOUTHWESTWARD. TC 06S WILL UNDERGO SLOW INTENSIFICATION DURING THE FORECAST PERIOD AS THE SYSTEM APPROACHES THE AXIS OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AND EXPERIENCES IMPROVED OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SIG- NIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141200Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150300Z AND 151500Z.// NNNN http://205.85.40.22/jtwc/warnings/sh0608web.txt It is odd that this one has stalled. I don't remember that happening previously. But to stall and then grow? |
#23
![]() |
|||
|
|||
![]()
On Dec 14, 3:23 pm, Weatherlawyer wrote:
On Dec 12, 10:11 am, Weatherlawyer wrote: On Dec 11, 6:50 pm, Weatherlawyer wrote: 6.2 2007/12/13 SAMOA ISLANDS REGION 6.2 2007/12/13 ANTOFAGASTA, CHILE 6.0 2007/12/13 ANTOFAGASTA, CHILE This is an odd one: TC 06S HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE SYSTEM REMAINS UNDER THE COMPETING STEERING INFLUENCES OF NEAR EQUATORIAL RIDGING AND A LOW- TO MID-LEVEL SUB- TROPICAL RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. TC 06S WILL UNDERGO SLOW INTENSIFICATION AS THE SYSTEM APPROACHES THE AXIS OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE http://205.85.40.22/jtwc/warnings/sh0608web.txt I think that the behaviour of the storm and the location of the High in southern central Canada can be predicted fairly easily using global weather models. In which case it might well be possible to focus this phenomena on predicting Mag. 6 earthquakes. Note to my many fans. Please trouble yourselves to read the whole shebang before you post comments on the thread. It just might make you look silly if you post derogatory comments and I turn out to be correct. But don't let me stop you. |
#24
![]() |
|||
|
|||
![]()
On Dec 14, 11:02 pm, Weatherlawyer wrote:
6.2 2007/12/13 SAMOA ISLANDS REGION 6.2 2007/12/13 ANTOFAGASTA, CHILE 6.0 2007/12/13 ANTOFAGASTA, CHILE This is an odd one: TC 06S HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE SYSTEM REMAINS UNDER THE COMPETING STEERING INFLUENCES OF NEAR EQUATORIAL RIDGING AND A LOW- TO MID-LEVEL SUB- TROPICAL RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. TC 06S WILL UNDERGO SLOW INTENSIFICATION AS THE SYSTEM APPROACHES THE AXIS OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE http://205.85.40.22/jtwc/warnings/sh0608web.txt I think that the behaviour of the storm and the location of the High in southern central Canada can be predicted fairly easily using global weather models. In which case it might well be possible to focus this phenomena on predicting Mag. 6 earthquakes. I was thinking that the above was a pretty good result, if it is a good summation. It brings down the magnitude range we can predict fairly accurately by a full order of magnitude. But I missed the point with the displacement of the High. The fact is that it was similarly displaced in the North Atlantic too. It should have been situated much further west of us than Europe. So that much distance is mirrored. (Pity I missed it.) Still, it is an interesting ride. So why have we had almost no tropical activity? Well.... Perhaps if the powers that be spent less time subverting the wishes of the masses in places like Kyoto or wherever they were playing games yesterday, they might have more money to extend the scope of maps like these: http://www.westwind.ch/?link=ukmb,ht...racknell+13 2 and: http://weather.unisys.com/ So how come the committee to compromise the stuff the glowballers were pushing for was in Bali not Belise or Honduras? Why pay for the *******s to have an exotic holiday in the first place? Nice to hear they got booed. Pity they didn't get ridden out on a rail. They should have held it in Europe. That would have been fun. So what is going to happen for the next spell? Exitdoor is showing a vast anticyclone spread out from Northern Europe.marrying up with that Spanish stuff. But look at the dartboard in the North Atlantic: http://meteonet.nl/aktueel/brackall.htm Hmmm... I wonder why they are still calling it the Bracknell map? The MetOffice set up in Retirementsville ages ago. |
#25
![]() |
|||
|
|||
![]()
On Dec 15, 8:25 am, Weatherlawyer wrote:
I missed the point with the displacement of the High. The fact is that it was similarly displaced in the North Atlantic too. If the move from the west coast to the east is a matter of some 3 hours and when it falls off the edge there is a 6.7 Mag, then that tells us something else. (The US is 3 times zones across isn't it?) Exitdoor is showing a vast anticyclone spread out from Northern Europe.marrying up with that Spanish stuff. But look at the dartboard in the North Atlantic: I wonder if that will fall into the North Sea. It's going the wrong way if it does. Compare http://meteonet.nl/aktueel/brackall.htm http://weather.unisys.com/ |
Reply |
Thread Tools | Search this Thread |
Display Modes | |
|
|
![]() |
||||
Thread | Forum | |||
Today's model interpretation (10/07/03) | uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) | |||
Today's model interpretation (9/07/03) | uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) | |||
Today's model interpretation (8/7/03) | uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) | |||
Today's model interpretation (7/6/03) | uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) | |||
Today's model interpretation (5/07/03) | uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) |