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Old January 27th 08, 03:14 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default That gap in the obs network

John Hall wrote in
:

In article ,
Richard Dixon writes:

In defence of Mr McElwee he was showing the lack of lines between Western
England down to central France.


I blame Dr Beeching.


That's one's flown over my head John!

Richard

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Old January 27th 08, 03:22 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
Col Col is offline
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Default That gap in the obs network


"Richard Dixon" wrote in message
.163...
John Hall wrote in
:

In article ,
Richard Dixon writes:

In defence of Mr McElwee he was showing the lack of lines between Western
England down to central France.


I blame Dr Beeching.


That's one's flown over my head John!


Lines?
*Railway* lines
--
Col

Bolton, Lancashire
160m asl


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Old January 27th 08, 03:24 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default That gap in the obs network

"Will Hand" wrote in
:

Well GFS 06Z run has 850 hPa of -7C over London on Saturday. I find it
hard to believe that that would mean a max. of 6C? Clearly GFS has not
been followed, which is fair enough, but it shows the possibilities,
writing this one off 5 days away is far too premature in my view.


Maybe I'm never particularly overwhelmed by cold northerly-northwesterlies.
Although in fairness - maxima of 3c in London for Thursday, so clearly not
going with that view in the weekly forecast.

GFS has a much stronger Greenland high than EC/UKMO and if this the key
determinant then goodness knows what is going to happen !

Richard
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Old January 27th 08, 03:29 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default That gap in the obs network

On Sun, 27 Jan 2008 04:24:47 -0800 (PST), Ken Cook
wrote:

Hi, All,

Rob McElwee, Countryfile made particular note of the lack of wind
today. Copley currently 1220Z 25028KT (F7) gusting 36KT(42mph).
I have said for some time that there is a distinct lack of real-time
obs in Teesdale!

He was referring to the bulk of England, on Monday.

Rob pointed out that on the Monday pressure chart, there was a mere 4
mB pressure difference forecast between Blackpool and Britanny. That,
to me, indicates not much wind!

It was a good level-headed forecast, I thought - with just a hint of
something "interesting" later in the week.

--
Dave
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Old January 27th 08, 03:33 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default That gap in the obs network

In article ,
Richard Dixon writes:
John Hall wrote in
:

In article ,
Richard Dixon writes:

In defence of Mr McElwee he was showing the lack of lines between Western
England down to central France.


I blame Dr Beeching.


That's one's flown over my head John!


In the 1960s he was responsible for closing a lot of lines (of the
railway variety).
--
John Hall
"Banking was conceived in iniquity and born in sin"
attributed to Sir Josiah Stamp,
a former director of the Bank of England


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Old January 27th 08, 04:39 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default That gap in the obs network

Richard Dixon wrote in
.163:

"Will Hand" wrote in
:

Well GFS 06Z run has 850 hPa of -7C over London on Saturday. I find
it hard to believe that that would mean a max. of 6C? Clearly GFS has
not been followed, which is fair enough, but it shows the
possibilities, writing this one off 5 days away is far too premature
in my view.


Maybe I'm never particularly overwhelmed by cold
northerly-northwesterlies. Although in fairness - maxima of 3c in
London for Thursday, so clearly not going with that view in the weekly
forecast.


Although midday run much milder...

Richard
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Old January 27th 08, 05:00 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default That gap in the obs network


"Richard Dixon" wrote in message
.163...
"Will Hand" wrote in
:

Well GFS 06Z run has 850 hPa of -7C over London on Saturday. I find it
hard to believe that that would mean a max. of 6C? Clearly GFS has not
been followed, which is fair enough, but it shows the possibilities,
writing this one off 5 days away is far too premature in my view.


Maybe I'm never particularly overwhelmed by cold northerly-northwesterlies.
Although in fairness - maxima of 3c in London for Thursday, so clearly not
going with that view in the weekly forecast.

GFS has a much stronger Greenland high than EC/UKMO and if this the key
determinant then goodness knows what is going to happen !

Richard


The key determinant is the strength of the NW'ly jet coming off southern
Greenland on Weds IMHO.

Will
--


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Old January 27th 08, 05:04 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default That gap in the obs network

Will Hand wrote:


The key determinant is the strength of the NW'ly jet coming off southern
Greenland on Weds IMHO.

Will
--



Are we looking for a strong or weak NW'ly jet coming off Greenland for
the coldest plunge, my guess would be strong?

--
Keith (Southend)
http://www.southendweather.net
e-mail: kreh at southendweather dot net
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Old January 27th 08, 05:30 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default That gap in the obs network


"Keith (Southend)" wrote in message
...
Will Hand wrote:


The key determinant is the strength of the NW'ly jet coming off southern
Greenland on Weds IMHO.

Will
--



Are we looking for a strong or weak NW'ly jet coming off Greenland for
the coldest plunge, my guess would be strong?


Strong *and* northwesterly, 12Z GFS loses a bit of strength and backs it more
westerly. But then again it is tending towards the double structure evident in
the 00Z run which seemed strange.

Will
--


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Old January 27th 08, 05:50 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default That gap in the obs network

Will Hand wrote:
"Richard Dixon" wrote in message
.163...
"Will Hand" wrote in
:

Well GFS 06Z run has 850 hPa of -7C over London on Saturday. I find it
hard to believe that that would mean a max. of 6C? Clearly GFS has not
been followed, which is fair enough, but it shows the possibilities,
writing this one off 5 days away is far too premature in my view.

Maybe I'm never particularly overwhelmed by cold northerly-northwesterlies.
Although in fairness - maxima of 3c in London for Thursday, so clearly not
going with that view in the weekly forecast.

GFS has a much stronger Greenland high than EC/UKMO and if this the key
determinant then goodness knows what is going to happen !

Richard


The key determinant is the strength of the NW'ly jet coming off southern
Greenland on Weds IMHO.

Will
--



I know I shouldn't look further ahead, but GFS 12z looks very
interesting beyond next weekend. Maybe we'll have another shot at this then?

--
Keith (Southend)
http://www.southendweather.net
e-mail: kreh at southendweather dot net


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