"Dave Cornwell" wrote in
. uk:

I think Will should be allowed to give a detailed update - Friday
evening ;-)

I'm seeing that inexorable rise in thicknesses ready for Friday's midday
analysis with 528 line just along the south coast with the odd sleety
shower down here in SE London !!

Richard

wrote:
OK I'm cool.

I'm not getting excited about -5 to -10C 850hPa air coming down on
Friday behind
a waving cold front that could well give several inches of snow on
Dartmoor. Or
the prospects of a polar low/trough/ showers on Friday coming into the
SW and
then a severe frost over snow cover friday night.

No I'm cool and calm about it all.

Where did I put that bleedin saw? :-)

Will.
--

What I'm wondering is, am I going to be having to dig away snow before
fence building on saturday here in NE Hampshire?

Sarah

In article ,
Kiticat writes:
What I'm wondering is, am I going to be having to dig away snow before
fence building on saturday here in NE Hampshire?

Judging by the contours in yesterday's MO severe weather warning, they
think it's less than a 20% chance. When the warning is updated later
this morning you may get a more accurate idea.
--
John Hall
"Banking was conceived in iniquity and born in sin"
attributed to Sir Josiah Stamp,
a former director of the Bank of England

"Richard Dixon" wrote in message

I'm seeing that inexorable rise in thicknesses ready for Friday's midday
analysis with 528 line just along the south coast with the odd sleety
shower down here in SE London !!

Richard

Initially I was thinking that the SE would get away with it but the last 2
or 3 runs of the GFS have captured 'something' running down across the SE on
Friday, e.g. the T+60 from 06Z http://85.214.49.20/wz/pics/Rmgfs603.gif Well
organised trough or arctic cold front similar to Jan 2004 ?!
At the moment the GFS appears to be out on a limb with it but even so I'd
keep a close eye on it.

Jon.

John Hall wrote:
In article ,
Kiticat writes:
What I'm wondering is, am I going to be having to dig away snow before
fence building on saturday here in NE Hampshire?

Judging by the contours in yesterday's MO severe weather warning, they
think it's less than a 20% chance. When the warning is updated later
this morning you may get a more accurate idea.

It still seems ok! I'm a bit worried that the panels we put up last
weekend may be tested rather though. Still, it will be good to learn if
we need to revise our technique!
sarah

"Jon O'Rourke" wrote in message
...
Initially I was thinking that the SE would get away with it but the last 2
or 3 runs of the GFS have captured 'something' running down across the SE
on
Friday, e.g. the T+60 from 06Z http://85.214.49.20/wz/pics/Rmgfs603.gif
Well
organised trough or arctic cold front similar to Jan 2004 ?!
At the moment the GFS appears to be out on a limb with it but even so I'd
keep a close eye on it.

Jon - has this not been captured on the EGRR+48h (12Z). Interesting.

Phil

"Phil Layton" wrote in message
...

Jon - has this not been captured on the EGRR+48h (12Z). Interesting.

Phil

Yes, the occlusion on the current T+48 looks like the same feature and it's
now evident on the MetO GM and to some extent EC. The detail should become a
bit clearer today as it's within range of the higher resolution models but
taking the GFS literally (not really a good idea..) and given that theta-w
values are zero-PS02 it looks like just about anywhere in the south could
get at least a slight covering from this feature alone during the second
half of Friday.

Jon.