On Thu, 6 Mar 2008 02:09:19 -0800 (PST), Jon01
wrote:

UKMO now showing Low 934Mb just off the Outer Hebrides at 12:00 Monday

One of the lowest in that area?

R

"Will Hand" wrote in message
...

"Adam Lea" wrote in message
...

"John T" wrote in message
.uk...
could be a big blow on Monday
http://weather.unisys.com/ecmwf/ecmw...panel_eur.html

am playing golf at 1300hr!!

JT
Dorridge



It is there on the GFS as well. Still a long way off, will get a better
idea
from Friday onwards.

http://wxmaps.org/pix/euro.slp.html



Something is going to hit the UK for sure, there's a 200 knot jet coming
out
of States on Saturday into Sunday. The question is, who is going to get
the
damaging winds? ATM SW England and Wales are right in the firing line,
however, I personally think it will be a little further north than that.
As
soon as confidence firms up as to when and where then you can expect an
early warning. On Sunday expect some hill snow in the west and north as
the
528 DAM air digs down into the south once again, maintaining the cold and
wet start to Spring.

Will
--


It looks to me as if the intensity of the low peaks just to the NW of the UK
and then weakens rapidly as it moves SE into Europe. My guess is that the
very strongest winds will be confined to the more lightly populated areas
of NW Ireland and SW Scotland and the UK mainland will experience wind gusts
in the 70-80 mph range. I don't expect very much in the SE.

Adam

On Mar 6, 11:30*pm, "Adam Lea" wrote:
"Will Hand" wrote in message

...







"Adam Lea" wrote in message
...

"John T" wrote in message
. co.uk...
could be a big blow on Monday
http://weather.unisys.com/ecmwf/ecmw...panel_eur.html

am playing golf at 1300hr!!

JT
Dorridge

It is there on the GFS as well. Still a long way off, will get a better
idea
from Friday onwards.

http://wxmaps.org/pix/euro.slp.html

Something is going to hit the UK for sure, there's a 200 knot jet coming
out
of States on Saturday into Sunday. The question is, who is going to get
the
damaging winds? ATM SW England and Wales are right in the firing line,
however, I personally think it will be a little further north than that.
As
soon as confidence firms up as to when and where then you can expect an
early warning. On Sunday expect some hill snow in the west and north as
the
528 DAM air digs down into the south once again, maintaining the cold and
wet start to Spring.

Will
--

It looks to me as if the intensity of the low peaks just to the NW of the UK
and then weakens rapidly as it moves SE into Europe. My guess is that the
very strongest *winds will be confined to the more lightly populated areas
of NW Ireland and SW Scotland and the UK mainland will experience wind gusts
in the 70-80 mph range. I don't expect very much in the SE.

Adam- Hide quoted text -

- Show quoted text -


Latest chart shows the Low further south, with strongest winds over
southern Eire and Wales late on Monday


Jon

On Mar 5, 4:53 pm, Weatherlawyer wrote:
John T wrote:
could be a big blow on Monday
http://weather.unisys.com/ecmwf/ecmw...panel_eur.html

See the remnants of the bad weather now sweeping into the sea from
this link:http://weather.unisys.com/images/sat_sfc_map_loop.html

It was something that came in with this spell (29th Feb 7th Mar:
02:18) and ran from the central US states to where it is now. It looks
to be set to show up as that prophesied storm on Monday perhaps?

There is a change in the weather on at the moment. I believe I saw
some mammatus in Stoke about 3 pm just now and a different storm has
replaced Ophelia on the backdrop. Still the same spell though till the
7th. Then it is anticyclonic proper from 7th Mar (17:14) until the
14th or thereabout.

Monday is the 10th, so the Low will probably drive by to the north
over Iceland through to the north of Norway. Clearing the Midlands by
an arc of some 15 degrees. Hope so as I like being right. I aught to
know by now but to tell the truth I have been too thick to understand
the mechanics.

At first blush I should have a red face now. The rain overnight was
unexpected. Blue sky though?

Latest chart shows the Low further south, with strongest winds over
southern Eire and Wales late on Monday

Jon-

Swell of 40' forecast between Cornwall & Eire, with winds Force 10-12.
Windiest land areas now look like being southern Eire, Pembroke & the
north coasts of Devon & Cornwall.

Course keeps changing a bit though.

Graham
Penzance