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uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
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#11
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On 28 Jun, 08:22, Dawlish wrote:
On Jun 27, 4:19*pm, wrote: Still three days to go, but in the central south of England (say Hampshire), is this month likely to be noteworthy for being very close to long term average on all three counts (temperature, rainfall, sunshine)? Assuming at least a few hours a day of sun in the next three days, no deluges and temps around or just over 20C, I think there must be a fair chance. It's been a while since I remember a month which I have perceived as so "average" Nick It's always that mathematical conundrum that "average" is actually unlikely. To get 3 variables to all end up average at the end of a period of time is "unlikely" x 3!! Even at this stage, with only 3 days to go and with temperature, presently, being bang on average and the other two close, I'd offer you 50/1 against June's temperature (+0.0C), rainfall(100%) and sunshine(100%) all being average in the CET area at the month's end. Paul PS Having said that, I agree with completely about the month being so "average". It could end up the most "average" month ever recorded for a combination of those 3 variables - and I'm still offering 50/1 against it being average with only 3 days to go!! Although temperature's have been close toaverage over much of the UK, a quick look at www.met.rdg.ac.uk/~brugge/CURR.html shows the same cannot be said of rainfall. Rainfall % figures range from 42% at St, Mawgan (Cornwall!!) to 184% at Leeming. Also, a closer look at temperatures will show the diurnal range much greater than normal - around 1C greater here in Penzance. Graham Penzance |
#12
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On 28 Jun, 08:16, Graham Easterling
wrote: Although temperature's have been close toaverage over much of the UK, a quick look atwww.met.rdg.ac.uk/~brugge/CURR.htmlshows the same cannot be said of rainfall. Rainfall % figures range from 42% at St, Mawgan (Cornwall!!) to 184% at Leeming. Also, a closer look at temperatures will show the diurnal range much greater than normal - around 1C greater here in Penzance. Hi, Graham and All, As often happens, CE trend being bucked in the NE England area as you suggest with the Leeming rainfall. Copley to 09Z 28th, Mean Max +0.1C Mean Min +0.4C and rising quickly, Mean +0.2C and rising. Rainfall 109% of month norm, Sun a miserable 70% of month norm. Ken Copley, Teesdale, County Durham |
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