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uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
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#1
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Still three days to go, but in the central south of England (say
Hampshire), is this month likely to be noteworthy for being very close to long term average on all three counts (temperature, rainfall, sunshine)? Assuming at least a few hours a day of sun in the next three days, no deluges and temps around or just over 20C, I think there must be a fair chance. It's been a while since I remember a month which I have perceived as so "average" Nick |
#2
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![]() wrote in message ... Still three days to go, but in the central south of England (say Hampshire), is this month likely to be noteworthy for being very close to long term average on all three counts (temperature, rainfall, sunshine)? Assuming at least a few hours a day of sun in the next three days, no deluges and temps around or just over 20C, I think there must be a fair chance. It's been a while since I remember a month which I have perceived as so "average" Nick Learnt sommat by being on this newsgroup then - that average Junes in the south and I guess the south east as well are evidently pretty lousy affairs. Something I never really even reaslised, only a struggling 20C ! my god. Must be the early part of the years following 2000 that has caused me to see normal Junes as brighter prospects when really they are not. So whats an average July? 21C? with evenings closing in lol DR |
#3
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Still three days to go, but in the central south of England (say
Hampshire), is this month likely to be noteworthy for being very close to long term average on all three counts (temperature, rainfall, sunshine)? Assuming at least a few hours a day of sun in the next three days, no deluges and temps around or just over 20C, I think there must be a fair chance. It's been a while since I remember a month which I have perceived as so "average" Nick .... based on Hurn data (Bournemouth airport) up to this morning, then I'd agree with the *temperature* element (+0.1degC/1971-2000 LTA), but rainfall is currently 72% of average, and sunshine 117%; the latter figure will be boosted over the final days of the month (nothing too significant as regards persistent cloud cover expected), and the rainfall figure may not be added to too much looking at the latest ensemble output. Martin. -- Martin Rowley West Moors, East Dorset (UK): 17m (56ft) amsl Lat: 50.82N Long: 01.88W NGR: SU 082 023 |
#4
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Still three days to go, but in the central south of England (say
Hampshire), is this month likely to be noteworthy for being very close to long term average on all three counts (temperature, rainfall, sunshine)? Here in Devon the only 'average' is the temperature. It seems that sunshine has been above average with rainfall being well below average. And with the closing days probably having reasonably warm nights, even the temperature could end up above the LTA, which is a big surprise given the type of weather regime that has dominated this month. June 2007 was average regarding temperature but opposite to this year with regards to rainfall (well above average) and sunshine (well below average). Min Max Mean Rain Sunshine June 07 11.1°C 19.6°C 15.4°C (+0.7°C) 135.5 mm 157 hours June 08* 9.9°C 20.3°C 15.1°C (+0.4°C) 29.6 mm 205 hours (*1st - 26th). ________________ Nick. Otter Valley, Devon 83 m amsl http://www.ottervalley.co.uk |
#5
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"Dave R." wrote in message
et... Learnt sommat by being on this newsgroup then - that average Junes in the south and I guess the south east as well are evidently pretty lousy affairs. Well, if you enjoy being able to sleep without sweating like a pig, then an average June is rather decent. Unfortunately, the 90s and earlier part of this decade seem to have skewed a lot of people's perception of what "average" actually means! (NB - not a dig, more a comment on the way 15 years of generally above average summer temperatures has an effect). Something I never really even reaslised, only a struggling 20C ! my god. 18.7C for Wye in mid-Kent and 20.2C for Greenwich. (70-2000 averegaes, source: MetO (http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/climate/...000/index.html) Must be the early part of the years following 2000 that has caused me to see normal Junes as brighter prospects when really they are not. So whats an average July? 21C? with evenings closing in lol 1971-2000 July average highs vary from 22.8C in Greenwich to 21.3C in Wye and a refreshing 20.1C on the coast at Eastbourne. |
#6
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On 27 Jun, 16:35, "Martin Rowley"
wrote: ... based on Hurn data (Bournemouth airport) up to this morning, then I'd agree with the *temperature* element (+0.1degC/1971-2000 LTA), but rainfall is currently 72% of average, and sunshine 117%; the latter figure will be boosted over the final days of the month (nothing too significant as regards persistent cloud cover expected), and the rainfall figure may not be added to too much looking at the latest ensemble output. Agreed Martin, up here in the Midlands the average June temperature is +0.1C on the 30-year average, but will still be our coolest June since 1999, so coldest of the century! Rainfall is 54% of average and sunshine over 120% of average. Pretty decent to be honest. Steve Jackson Bablake Weather Station Coventry UK www.bablakeweather.co.uk |
#7
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"Steve J" wrote...
snip Agreed Martin, up here in the Midlands the average June temperature is +0.1C on the 30-year average, but will still be our coolest June since 1999, so coldest of the century! .... oh Lord! When the 'super soaraway Sun' gets hold of that little statistic, we'll never hear the last of it ..... Martin. -- Martin Rowley West Moors, East Dorset (UK): 17m (56ft) amsl Lat: 50.82N Long: 01.88W NGR: SU 082 023 |
#8
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Dave R. wrote:
wrote in message .. . Still three days to go, but in the central south of England (say Hampshire), is this month likely to be noteworthy for being very close to long term average on all three counts (temperature, rainfall, sunshine)? Assuming at least a few hours a day of sun in the next three days, no deluges and temps around or just over 20C, I think there must be a fair chance. It's been a while since I remember a month which I have perceived as so "average" Nick Learnt sommat by being on this newsgroup then - that average Junes in the south and I guess the south east as well are evidently pretty lousy affairs. Something I never really even reaslised, only a struggling 20C ! my god. Must be the early part of the years following 2000 that has caused me to see normal Junes as brighter prospects when really they are not. So whats an average July? 21C? with evenings closing in lol DR Average daily max temps for London over an unspecified 30-year period: May 17 Jun 20 Jul 22 Aug 21 Sep 19 (Source: The Hutchinson World Weather Guide) Norman -- Norman Lynagh Chalfont St Giles, Buckinghamshire 85m a.s.l. (remove "thisbit" twice to e-mail) |
#9
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wrote in message
... Still three days to go, but in the central south of England (say Hampshire), is this month likely to be noteworthy for being very close to long term average on all three counts (temperature, rainfall, sunshine)? Assuming at least a few hours a day of sun in the next three days, no deluges and temps around or just over 20C, I think there must be a fair chance. It's been a while since I remember a month which I have perceived as so "average" Nick Certainly not average wind speeds. A miserable month. Alan |
#10
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On Jun 27, 4:19*pm, wrote:
Still three days to go, but in the central south of England (say Hampshire), is this month likely to be noteworthy for being very close to long term average on all three counts (temperature, rainfall, sunshine)? Assuming at least a few hours a day of sun in the next three days, no deluges and temps around or just over 20C, I think there must be a fair chance. It's been a while since I remember a month which I have perceived as so "average" Nick It's always that mathematical conundrum that "average" is actually unlikely. To get 3 variables to all end up average at the end of a period of time is "unlikely" x 3!! Even at this stage, with only 3 days to go and with temperature, presently, being bang on average and the other two close, I'd offer you 50/1 against June's temperature (+0.0C), rainfall(100%) and sunshine(100%) all being average in the CET area at the month's end. Paul PS Having said that, I agree with completely about the month being so "average". It could end up the most "average" month ever recorded for a combination of those 3 variables - and I'm still offering 50/1 against it being average with only 3 days to go!! |
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