Note: As is usual during the summer half of the year, I'll be leaving soon
for the wolves - hence this shorter analysis.

Here is a summary of the latest NWP output for noon (GMT) on Thursday.
Issued 0459z, 3rd August 2008.

The end of the working week will see unsettled weather for the UK, as a
trough moves swiftly eastwards. Saturday is still looking settled for most,
although it won't be long before the next low moves in from the west.

ECMWF: http://expert.weatheronline.co.uk/da...mwf/ecmwf.html
A trough covers England, with SW'lies in advance and NW'lies following
behind. Westerlies cover the UK on day 6 as a ridge moves eastwards. The
ridge moves over England and Wales on day 7, with southerlies for all.

MetO: http://expert.weatheronline.co.uk/da...ukmo/pslv.html
MetO shows a low to the north and westerlies over tge UK. Westerlies persist
on day 6 as the low moves eastwards.

GFS: http://expert.weatheronline.co.uk/pslv_frame.htm
GFS has a northerly flow over the UK, with low pressure to the east and a
ridge to the WNW. On day 6 the winds become NW'lies as the ridge moves
SE'wards. Day 7 sees southerlies as the ridge continues moving SE'wards.

GEM: http://expert.weatheronline.co.uk/da.../gem/pslv.html
The Canadaian run shows low pressure over the North Sea, with strong
WSW'lies for England and Wales and NW'lies elsewhere.

JMA: http://85.214.49.20/pics/Rjma1201.gif
The Japanese run shows a low to the west of Scotland with a mixture of
SSW'lies and SW'lies over the UK.

On Aug 3, 6:00*am, "Darren Prescott" wrote:
Note: As is usual during the summer half of the year, I'll be leaving soon
for the wolves - hence this shorter analysis.

Here is a summary of the latest NWP output for noon (GMT) on Thursday.
Issued 0459z, 3rd August 2008.

The end of the working week will see unsettled weather for the UK, as a
trough moves swiftly eastwards. Saturday is still looking settled for most,
although it won't be long before the next low moves in from the west.

ECMWF:http://expert.weatheronline.co.uk/da...mwf/ecmwf.html
A trough covers England, with SW'lies in advance and NW'lies following
behind. Westerlies cover the UK on day 6 as a ridge moves eastwards. The
ridge moves over England and Wales on day 7, with southerlies for all.

MetO:http://expert.weatheronline.co.uk/da...ukmo/pslv.html
MetO shows a low to the north and westerlies over tge UK. Westerlies persist
on day 6 as the low moves eastwards.

GFS:http://expert.weatheronline.co.uk/pslv_frame.htm
GFS has a northerly flow over the UK, with low pressure to the east and a
ridge to the WNW. On day 6 the winds become NW'lies as the ridge moves
SE'wards. Day 7 sees southerlies as the ridge continues moving SE'wards.

GEM:http://expert.weatheronline.co.uk/da.../gem/pslv.html
The Canadaian run shows low pressure over the North Sea, with strong
WSW'lies for England and Wales *and NW'lies elsewhere.

JMA:http://85.214.49.20/pics/Rjma1201.gif
The Japanese run shows a low to the west of Scotland with a mixture of
SSW'lies and SW'lies over the UK.

Very, very, very depressing. 2/3 days of consistently awful gfs output
at 9-12 days. Completely backed up by the ECM too. Yeuch.

Paul