Note: I've to leave early today - hence this is a shorter analysis. Normal
service will be resumed tomorrow morning.

Here is a summary of the latest NWP output for noon (GMT) on Sunday. Issued
0449z, 1st October 2008.

The first half of the week looks relatively unsettled across the UK, with
low pressure never far away to the north or NW.

ECMWF: http://85.214.49.20/wz/pics/Recm1201.gif
A col covers the UK, with light winds for all. SSE'lies cover the UK on day
6, with a trough to the west. On day 7 southerlies affect the UK, with a
deep low to the SW of Iceland.

MetO: http://expert.weatheronline.co.uk/da...ukmo/pslv.html
MetO shows a col for Scotland and Northern Ireland with SW'lies elsewhere.
Day 6 brings SW'lies for all, with a low to the WNW.

GFS: http://85.214.49.20/wz/pics/Rtavn1201.png
A series of lows lies over and to the west of the UK, with a shallow low
over Wales. Light winds cover the northern half of the UK, with SW'lies for
much of England. On day 6 the next low lies to the west of Scotland, leading
to SW'lies for all. On day 7 SSE'lies cover much of the UK, with lows to the
north and SW.

GEM: http://expert.weatheronline.co.uk/da.../gem/pslv.html
The Canadian run shows a col for Scotland and Northern Ireland with
northerlies for England and Wales.

JMA: http://85.214.49.20/pics/Rjma1201.gif
The Japanese run brings a trough over the Scottish borders, with NW'lies to
the north and strong SW'lies to the south.