Home |
Search |
Today's Posts |
![]() |
|
uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
Reply |
|
|
LinkBack | Thread Tools | Display Modes |
#1
![]() |
|||
|
|||
![]()
It was the most westerly October over the British Isles since
1986, and the ninth most westerly in 136 years of records. It was therefore a changeable month with the usual contrast between orographic rainfall on western upslopes and eastern rain-shadow considerable enhanced. The second week was notable for a spell of warm and sunny weather in southern, central and eastern districts, and there was a brief Arctic outbreak of rare severity (for October) towards the end of the month. The snowfall on the 28th was quite possibly the heaviest and most widespread such event in lowland Britain in October since 1880. Mean pressure charts will soon be uploaded to: Charts: http://www.climate-uk.com/monpre/0810.htm The Monthly Review will be uploaded later today or Monday to: http://www.climate-uk.com/monthly/0810.htm Graphs: http://www.climate-uk.com/graphs/0810.htm and http://www.climate-uk.com/graphs/200810.htm Not The Long Range Forecast should be available by Nov 4 on: http://www.climate-uk.com/page4.html The sea-level pressure chart shows the Icelandic low much deeper than usual and displaced well to the east with a centre of 992mbar in the eastern Norwegian Sea at 69N 02E. The Azores high is in situ, but more intense than usual at 1026mbar. Pressure is also high over southern Russia and the Caucasus. A rather steep W to SW gradient covers the British Isles, Scandinavia, the Baltic and the North European Plain. At the 500 mbar level the flow is zonal, but a broad, flat trough is identifiable over Europe between 0 and 20degE. The sea-level pressure anomaly field shows well below normal pressure over Scandinavia, the Baltic, the Norwegian Sea, northern Britain, and Iceland. Pressure is generally above normal over the Atlantic from south of the Azores to western Biscay, and also between Greenland and Newfoundland. The main anomaly centres we -13mbar in the Norwegian Sea at 67N 04E + 6mbar just north of the Azores Over the British Isles pressure anomaly ranges from -7mbar over Shetland to +1mbar in Cornwall and southwest Ireland. The anomalous flow is strongly WNW-ly. CET (after Manley) 9.74°C (-0.7 degC wrt 1971-2000) CET (after Hadley) prob 9.7 or 9.8°C E&W Rain (provisional): 98.1mm (103% of 1971-2000 mean) E&W Sunshine (prov): 132.1 hr (118% of 1971-2000 mean) It was the coldest but also the sunniest October over England and Wales since 2003; wetter than last year but not as wet as 2006. CScotT: 8.8°C (-0.8degC) ScotRain: 155mm (135%) ScotSun: 101hr (113%) NIT: 9.6°C (-0.9degC) NI Rain: 117mm (117%) NI Sun: 105hr (113%) Rainfall totals ranged from 646mm at Capel Curig (Snowdonia) and 496mm at Inveruglas (above Loch Lomond) to 31mm at Bramham and 33mm at Church Fenton (both near York) and 35mm at Boulmer (Northumberland). Percentages ranged from 269 at Shap (Cumbria) and 264 at Capel Curig (Snowdonia) to 57 at Boulmer. Sunshine totals ranged from 153.2h at Royston (Herts) [R&D sensor?], 146.2h at Brize Norton (Oxon) [CS recorder], and 146.0h at Eastbourne (Sussex)[CS recorder], to 46.4h at Kinlochewe (Wester Ross) [KZ sensor, horizon partly obscured], 61.8h at Threave (Kirkcudbrightshire) [KZ sensor, horizon partly obscured], and 63.0h at Eskdalemuir (Dumfriesshire) [KZ sensor]. Percentages ranged from 142 at Ross-on-Wye (Herefs) to 82 at Eskdalemuir. (c) Philip Eden |
#2
![]() |
|||
|
|||
![]()
Sometimes, and every so often, its gems like below from Philip Eden, and
thank you, that make it worthwhile continuing to be subscribed to this newsgroup as some can't fathom out why I stay here. Well there's one reason. DaveR westLondon "Philip Eden" philipATweatherHYPHENukDOTcom wrote in message ... It was the most westerly October over the British Isles since 1986, and the ninth most westerly in 136 years of records. It was therefore a changeable month with the usual contrast between orographic rainfall on western upslopes and eastern rain-shadow considerable enhanced. The second week was notable for a spell of warm and sunny weather in southern, central and eastern districts, and there was a brief Arctic outbreak of rare severity (for October) towards the end of the month. The snowfall on the 28th was quite possibly the heaviest and most widespread such event in lowland Britain in October since 1880. Mean pressure charts will soon be uploaded to: Charts: http://www.climate-uk.com/monpre/0810.htm The Monthly Review will be uploaded later today or Monday to: http://www.climate-uk.com/monthly/0810.htm Graphs: http://www.climate-uk.com/graphs/0810.htm and http://www.climate-uk.com/graphs/200810.htm Not The Long Range Forecast should be available by Nov 4 on: http://www.climate-uk.com/page4.html The sea-level pressure chart shows the Icelandic low much deeper than usual and displaced well to the east with a centre of 992mbar in the eastern Norwegian Sea at 69N 02E. The Azores high is in situ, but more intense than usual at 1026mbar. Pressure is also high over southern Russia and the Caucasus. A rather steep W to SW gradient covers the British Isles, Scandinavia, the Baltic and the North European Plain. At the 500 mbar level the flow is zonal, but a broad, flat trough is identifiable over Europe between 0 and 20degE. The sea-level pressure anomaly field shows well below normal pressure over Scandinavia, the Baltic, the Norwegian Sea, northern Britain, and Iceland. Pressure is generally above normal over the Atlantic from south of the Azores to western Biscay, and also between Greenland and Newfoundland. The main anomaly centres we -13mbar in the Norwegian Sea at 67N 04E + 6mbar just north of the Azores Over the British Isles pressure anomaly ranges from -7mbar over Shetland to +1mbar in Cornwall and southwest Ireland. The anomalous flow is strongly WNW-ly. CET (after Manley) 9.74°C (-0.7 degC wrt 1971-2000) CET (after Hadley) prob 9.7 or 9.8°C E&W Rain (provisional): 98.1mm (103% of 1971-2000 mean) E&W Sunshine (prov): 132.1 hr (118% of 1971-2000 mean) It was the coldest but also the sunniest October over England and Wales since 2003; wetter than last year but not as wet as 2006. CScotT: 8.8°C (-0.8degC) ScotRain: 155mm (135%) ScotSun: 101hr (113%) NIT: 9.6°C (-0.9degC) NI Rain: 117mm (117%) NI Sun: 105hr (113%) Rainfall totals ranged from 646mm at Capel Curig (Snowdonia) and 496mm at Inveruglas (above Loch Lomond) to 31mm at Bramham and 33mm at Church Fenton (both near York) and 35mm at Boulmer (Northumberland). Percentages ranged from 269 at Shap (Cumbria) and 264 at Capel Curig (Snowdonia) to 57 at Boulmer. Sunshine totals ranged from 153.2h at Royston (Herts) [R&D sensor?], 146.2h at Brize Norton (Oxon) [CS recorder], and 146.0h at Eastbourne (Sussex)[CS recorder], to 46.4h at Kinlochewe (Wester Ross) [KZ sensor, horizon partly obscured], 61.8h at Threave (Kirkcudbrightshire) [KZ sensor, horizon partly obscured], and 63.0h at Eskdalemuir (Dumfriesshire) [KZ sensor]. Percentages ranged from 142 at Ross-on-Wye (Herefs) to 82 at Eskdalemuir. (c) Philip Eden |
#3
![]() |
|||
|
|||
![]()
On 2 Nov, 19:06, "Philip Eden" philipATweatherHYPHENukDOTcom wrote:
It was the most westerly October over the British Isles since 1986, and the ninth most westerly in 136 years of records. It was therefore a changeable month with the usual contrast between orographic rainfall on western upslopes and eastern rain-shadow considerable enhanced. The second week was notable for a spell of warm and sunny weather in southern, central and eastern districts, and there was a brief Arctic outbreak of rare severity (for October) towards the end of the month. The snowfall on the 28th was quite possibly the heaviest and most widespread such event in lowland Britain in October since 1880. Mean pressure charts will soon be uploaded to: Charts: *http://www.climate-uk.com/monpre/0810.htm The Monthly Review will be uploaded later today or Monday to:http://www.climate-uk.com/monthly/0810.htm Graphs: *http://www.climate-uk.com/graphs/0810.htm*and * * * * * * *http://www.climate-uk.com/graphs/200810.htm Not The Long Range Forecast should be available by Nov 4 on: * * * * * * *http://www.climate-uk.com/page4.html The sea-level pressure chart shows the Icelandic low much deeper than usual and displaced well to the east with a centre of 992mbar in the eastern Norwegian Sea at 69N 02E. The Azores high is in situ, but more intense than usual at 1026mbar. Pressure is also high over southern Russia and the Caucasus. A rather steep W to SW gradient covers the British Isles, Scandinavia, the Baltic and the North European Plain. At the 500 mbar level the flow is zonal, but a broad, flat trough is identifiable over Europe between 0 and 20degE. The sea-level pressure anomaly field shows well below normal pressure over Scandinavia, the Baltic, the Norwegian Sea, northern Britain, and Iceland. Pressure is generally above normal over the Atlantic from south of the Azores to western Biscay, and also between Greenland and Newfoundland. The main anomaly centres we * *-13mbar in the Norwegian Sea at 67N 04E * *+ 6mbar just north of the Azores Over the British Isles pressure anomaly ranges from -7mbar over Shetland to +1mbar in Cornwall and southwest Ireland. The anomalous flow is strongly WNW-ly. CET (after Manley) * 9.74°C *(-0.7 degC wrt 1971-2000) CET (after Hadley) * *prob 9.7 or 9.8°C E&W Rain (provisional): * *98.1mm *(103% of 1971-2000 mean) E&W Sunshine (prov): * * 132.1 hr * (118% of 1971-2000 mean) It was the coldest but also the sunniest October over England and Wales since 2003; wetter than last year but not as wet as 2006. CScotT: * * * * 8.8°C *(-0.8degC) ScotRain: * * 155mm *(135%) ScotSun: * * *101hr * *(113%) NIT: * * * * * *9.6°C *(-0.9degC) NI Rain: * * 117mm (117%) NI Sun: * * *105hr * (113%) Rainfall totals ranged from 646mm at Capel Curig (Snowdonia) and 496mm at Inveruglas (above Loch Lomond) to 31mm at Bramham and 33mm at Church Fenton (both near York) and 35mm at Boulmer (Northumberland). Percentages ranged from 269 at Shap (Cumbria) and 264 at Capel Curig (Snowdonia) *to 57 at Boulmer. Sunshine totals ranged from 153.2h at Royston (Herts) [R&D sensor?], 146.2h at Brize Norton (Oxon) [CS recorder], and 146.0h at Eastbourne (Sussex)[CS recorder], *to 46.4h at Kinlochewe (Wester Ross) [KZ sensor, horizon partly obscured], 61.8h at Threave (Kirkcudbrightshire) [KZ sensor, horizon partly obscured], and 63.0h at Eskdalemuir (Dumfriesshire) [KZ sensor]. Percentages ranged from 142 at Ross-on-Wye (Herefs) to 82 at Eskdalemuir. (c) Philip Eden Although I saw the snow in the Chilterns I was without the internet. Did you get a figure for the lowest 1000-500mb thickness recorded over Southern England? From the forecast charts a few days earlier I would have thought 522 must have been recorded. If so, it must have been close to the lowest ever thickness for October..... |
#4
![]() |
|||
|
|||
![]()
"Pete L" wrote...
snip Although I saw the snow in the Chilterns I was without the internet. Did you get a figure for the lowest 1000-500mb thickness recorded over Southern England? From the forecast charts a few days earlier I would have thought 522 must have been recorded. If so, it must have been close to the lowest ever thickness for October..... .... I've gone through the ascents and archive TTHK charts (ex GFS via wetter3.de), and put up the following page regarding thickness values during the 28th October, 2008 http://freespace.virgin.net/martin.r...008_OCT_28.htm we must have been getting close to 522 across the Chilterns at the end of the day, but as you can see, by 29/00Z, the cold tongue was warming out, and being eroded from the NW, so whether 522 _as such_ was recorded *in the south* is a moot point - it *was* further north of course (see table of data). 6 hr later (29/06Z), the cold tongue was no colder than ~525/526 dam passing 03882, so a little way away from the 'extreme' values there. The extremes were taken from tables that were in the old NMC (behind the Dep. Chief if you remember them Peter), and aren't exhaustive by any means. However, presumably they capture the October 1974 events, another cold such-named month with snow. Martin. -- Martin Rowley West Moors, East Dorset (UK): 17m (56ft) amsl Lat: 50.82N Long: 01.88W NGR: SU 082 023 |
#5
![]() |
|||
|
|||
![]()
On 3 Nov, 16:10, "Martin Rowley"
wrote: "Pete L" wrote... snip Although I saw the snow in the Chilterns I was without the internet. Did you get a figure for the lowest 1000-500mb thickness recorded over Southern England? From the forecast charts a few days earlier I would have thought 522 must have been recorded. If so, it must have been close to the lowest ever thickness for October..... ... I've gone through the ascents and archive TTHK charts (ex GFS via wetter3.de), and put up the following page regarding thickness values during the 28th October, 2008 http://freespace.virgin.net/martin.r...008_OCT_28.htm we must have been getting close to 522 across the Chilterns at the end of the day, but as you can see, by 29/00Z, the cold tongue was warming out, and being eroded from the NW, so whether 522 _as such_ was recorded *in the south* is a moot point - it *was* further north of course (see table of data). 6 hr later (29/06Z), the cold tongue was no colder than ~525/526 dam passing 03882, so a little way away from the 'extreme' values there. The extremes were taken from tables that were in the old NMC (behind the Dep. Chief if you remember them Peter), *and aren't exhaustive by any means. However, presumably they capture the October 1974 events, another cold such-named month with snow. Martin. -- Martin Rowley West Moors, East Dorset (UK): 17m (56ft) amsl Lat: 50.82N * Long: 01.88W NGR: SU 082 023 Excellent! Thanks for that, Martin. It was an exciting weather event and nobody believed me when I said, 'We'll probably see our first snow of the winter soon'....... |
#6
![]() |
|||
|
|||
![]()
On Nov 3, 8:06*am, "Philip Eden" philipATweatherHYPHENukDOTcom
wrote: It was the most westerly October over the British Isles since 1986, and the ninth most westerly in 136 years of records. It was therefore a changeable month with the usual contrast between orographic rainfall on western upslopes and eastern rain-shadow considerable enhanced. The second week was notable for a spell of warm and sunny weather in southern, central and eastern districts, and there was a brief Arctic outbreak of rare severity (for October) towards the end of the month. The snowfall on the 28th was quite possibly the heaviest and most widespread such event in lowland Britain in October since 1880. Mean pressure charts will soon be uploaded to: Charts: *http://www.climate-uk.com/monpre/0810.htm The Monthly Review will be uploaded later today or Monday to:http://www.climate-uk.com/monthly/0810.htm Graphs: *http://www.climate-uk.com/graphs/0810.htm*and * * * * * * *http://www.climate-uk.com/graphs/200810.htm Not The Long Range Forecast should be available by Nov 4 on: * * * * * * *http://www.climate-uk.com/page4.html The sea-level pressure chart shows the Icelandic low much deeper than usual and displaced well to the east with a centre of 992mbar in the eastern Norwegian Sea at 69N 02E. The Azores high is in situ, but more intense than usual at 1026mbar. Pressure is also high over southern Russia and the Caucasus. A rather steep W to SW gradient covers the British Isles, Scandinavia, the Baltic and the North European Plain. At the 500 mbar level the flow is zonal, but a broad, flat trough is identifiable over Europe between 0 and 20degE. The sea-level pressure anomaly field shows well below normal pressure over Scandinavia, the Baltic, the Norwegian Sea, northern Britain, and Iceland. Pressure is generally above normal over the Atlantic from south of the Azores to western Biscay, and also between Greenland and Newfoundland. The main anomaly centres we * *-13mbar in the Norwegian Sea at 67N 04E * *+ 6mbar just north of the Azores Over the British Isles pressure anomaly ranges from -7mbar over Shetland to +1mbar in Cornwall and southwest Ireland. The anomalous flow is strongly WNW-ly. CET (after Manley) * 9.74°C *(-0.7 degC wrt 1971-2000) CET (after Hadley) * *prob 9.7 or 9.8°C E&W Rain (provisional): * *98.1mm *(103% of 1971-2000 mean) E&W Sunshine (prov): * * 132.1 hr * (118% of 1971-2000 mean) It was the coldest but also the sunniest October over England and Wales since 2003; wetter than last year but not as wet as 2006. CScotT: * * * * 8.8°C *(-0.8degC) ScotRain: * * 155mm *(135%) ScotSun: * * *101hr * *(113%) NIT: * * * * * *9.6°C *(-0.9degC) NI Rain: * * 117mm (117%) NI Sun: * * *105hr * (113%) Rainfall totals ranged from 646mm at Capel Curig (Snowdonia) and 496mm at Inveruglas (above Loch Lomond) to 31mm at Bramham and 33mm at Church Fenton (both near York) and 35mm at Boulmer (Northumberland). Percentages ranged from 269 at Shap (Cumbria) and 264 at Capel Curig (Snowdonia) *to 57 at Boulmer. Sunshine totals ranged from 153.2h at Royston (Herts) [R&D sensor?], 146.2h at Brize Norton (Oxon) [CS recorder], and 146.0h at Eastbourne (Sussex)[CS recorder], *to 46.4h at Kinlochewe (Wester Ross) [KZ sensor, horizon partly obscured], 61.8h at Threave (Kirkcudbrightshire) [KZ sensor, horizon partly obscured], and 63.0h at Eskdalemuir (Dumfriesshire) [KZ sensor]. Percentages ranged from 142 at Ross-on-Wye (Herefs) to 82 at Eskdalemuir. (c) Philip Eden Always appreciated, thanks Philip. |
#7
![]() |
|||
|
|||
![]() "Martin Rowley" wrote in message ... ... I've gone through the ascents and archive TTHK charts (ex GFS via wetter3.de), and put up the following page regarding thickness values during the 28th October, 2008 http://freespace.virgin.net/martin.r...008_OCT_28.htm Thanks Martin. Interesting info... and for the link to the MetO hailstorm at Ottery St Mary. Its great that the MetO have responded so quickly. I look forward to the article in 'Weather' in due course. Quite a spectacular event. whats more didnt Jon say he slept through it all ??!! I'm looking forward to his 30 hr TAFs from Thursday... Phil |
#8
![]() |
|||
|
|||
![]() "Phil Layton" wrote in message ... I'm looking forward to his 30 hr TAFs from Thursday... Or even Wednesday the 5th!! |
#9
![]() |
|||
|
|||
![]()
"Phil Layton" wrote in message
... whats more didnt Jon say he slept through it all ??!! I watched the storm for several hours, Phil, but mum and sister who were visiting slept through it all. As did at least one forecaster in the vicinity of Ottery St Mary - he's now undergoing re-training. One of the guys on duty at the time actually went out to investigate and took one or two interesting pictures. I suggested he was lucky to make it back alive.. I'm looking forward to his 30 hr TAFs from Thursday... The first ones will go out at 23Z tomorrow evening valid from 00Z to 06Z on the 6th. Will be interesting to see what happens around the rest of the world in terms of the new times and formatting. Jon. |
#10
![]() |
|||
|
|||
![]()
"Phil Layton" wrote in message
... whats more didnt Jon say he slept through it all ??!! I watched the storm for several hours, Phil, but my mum and sister who were visiting slept through it all. As did at least one forecaster in the vicinity of Ottery St Mary - he's now undergoing re-training. One of the guys on duty at the time actually went out to investigate and took one or two interesting pictures. I suggested he was lucky to make it back alive.. I'm looking forward to his 30 hr TAFs from Thursday... The first ones will go out at 23Z tomorrow evening valid from 00Z to 06Z on the 6th. Will be interesting to see what happens around the rest of the world in terms of the new times and formatting. Jon. |
Reply |
|
Thread Tools | Search this Thread |
Display Modes | |
|
|
![]() |
||||
Thread | Forum | |||
October 2007: Synoptic Overview | uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) | |||
October 2006: synoptic overview | uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) | |||
October 2005: Synoptic Overview | uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) | |||
October 2004: Synoptic Overview | uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) | |||
Synoptic Overview for October 2003 | uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) |