Precipitation now breaking out in SW England and still very light snow here
in Haytor. More wintry precipitation in Scotland in places and some light
snow expected in eastern England spreading southwesterwards tonight. Could
be a few surprises later as it possibly turns moderate due to
de-stabilisation as colder air aloft comes across.

Anyway main emphasis for England and Wales looks like being high pressure
this week with yet more quiet frosty weather. With time a strong inversion
is likely to develop as very cold surface air advects north from France and
mild air at 850hPa (which is a long way up due to high pressure) sinks
south. Fog/low cloud is possible due to low-level moist feed in the north
but in the south the drier air from France may ensure fine sunny conditions.
Scotland and Northern Ireland, however, will see increasingly milder and
drizzly, cloudy conditions but the high may yet hang on further north if
anything.

Will
--

On 4 Jan, 18:44, "Will Hand" wrote:
Precipitation now breaking out in SW England and still very light snow here
in Haytor. More wintry precipitation in Scotland in places and some light
snow expected in eastern England spreading southwesterwards tonight. Could
be a few surprises later as it possibly turns moderate due to
de-stabilisation as colder air aloft comes across.

Anyway main emphasis for England and Wales looks like being high pressure
this week with yet more quiet frosty weather. With time a strong inversion
is likely to develop as very cold surface air advects north from France and
mild air at 850hPa (which is a long way up due to high pressure) sinks
south. Fog/low cloud is possible due to low-level moist feed in the north
but in the south the drier air from France may ensure fine sunny conditions.
Scotland and Northern Ireland, however, will see increasingly milder and
drizzly, cloudy conditions but the high may yet hang on further north if
anything.

Will
--

I think had there been just some precipitation around this past week
peoples' perception of this "cold spell" would be far different to
what it is currently ie "what's the big deal" seems to be the majority
consensus in East London...

On 4 Jan, 19:25, Scott W wrote:
On 4 Jan, 18:44, "Will Hand" wrote:





Precipitation now breaking out in SW England and still very light snow here
in Haytor. More wintry precipitation in Scotland in places and some light
snow expected in eastern England spreading southwesterwards tonight. Could
be a few surprises later as it possibly turns moderate due to
de-stabilisation as colder air aloft comes across.

Anyway main emphasis for England and Wales looks like being high pressure
this week with yet more quiet frosty weather. With time a strong inversion
is likely to develop as very cold surface air advects north from France and
mild air at 850hPa (which is a long way up due to high pressure) sinks
south. Fog/low cloud is possible due to low-level moist feed in the north
but in the south the drier air from France may ensure fine sunny conditions.
Scotland and Northern Ireland, however, will see increasingly milder and
drizzly, cloudy conditions but the high may yet hang on further north if
anything.

Will
--

I think had there been just some precipitation around this past week
peoples' perception of this "cold spell" would be far different to
what it is currently ie "what's the big deal" seems to be the majority
consensus in East London

It's raining now, (only a shower - but a sharpish one) and there were
some rain showers a couple of nights ago. (5mm at Culdrose, 1.5mm
here).

No air frost here this Winter, no ground frost here that I've seen. In
fact, looking back through my records, I can't find an easterly/
anticyclonic spell this long without an air frost at some point. The
low temperatures (so far) have been home grown under still conditions
rather than imported. In fact the Baltic is still warmer than normal
http://lwf.ncdc.noaa.gov/img/climate...t.20081224.gif -
hardly a normal blocked situation.

Graham
Penzance

www.turnstone-cottage.co.uk/recent.html

"Graham Easterling" wrote in message
...

It's raining now, (only a shower - but a sharpish one) and there were
some rain showers a couple of nights ago. (5mm at Culdrose, 1.5mm
here).

No air frost here this Winter, no ground frost here that I've seen. In
fact, looking back through my records, I can't find an easterly/
anticyclonic spell this long without an air frost at some point. The
low temperatures (so far) have been home grown under still conditions
rather than imported. In fact the Baltic is still warmer than normal
http://lwf.ncdc.noaa.gov/img/climate...t.20081224.gif -
hardly a normal blocked situation.

Graham
Penzance

We've had some light rain here in West Wales which caused black ice and made
many roads treacherous. The main road west from Swansea to Carmarthen has
been closed. Current air temperature is -1.7°C.
--
Hungerdunger
To reply by email, remove the MARX from my address

hungerdunger wrote:
"Graham Easterling" wrote in message
...
It's raining now, (only a shower - but a sharpish one) and there were
some rain showers a couple of nights ago. (5mm at Culdrose, 1.5mm
here).

No air frost here this Winter, no ground frost here that I've seen. In
fact, looking back through my records, I can't find an easterly/
anticyclonic spell this long without an air frost at some point. The
low temperatures (so far) have been home grown under still conditions
rather than imported. In fact the Baltic is still warmer than normal
http://lwf.ncdc.noaa.gov/img/climate...t.20081224.gif -
hardly a normal blocked situation.

Graham
Penzance

We've had some light rain here in West Wales which caused black ice and made
many roads treacherous. The main road west from Swansea to Carmarthen has
been closed. Current air temperature is -1.7°C.


I'm glad I stayed indoors, then.

--
--
Regards

Howard Neil
(western end of the Brecon Beacons National Park, at 235 metres asl)

Would someone tell the GFS that it is going to become milder with Westerly
winds..
Its seems to be having none of it in the South out to the 13th.

Phil

On Jan 4, 9:24*pm, "Phil Layton" wrote:
Would someone tell the GFS that it is going to become milder with Westerly
winds..
Its seems to be having none of it in the South out to the 13th.

Phil

Yes vey willfull but usually wrong.